In Week 4 of the 2025 College Football regular season, the Georgia State Panthers are set to visit the Vanderbilt Commodores. The game will take place at FirstBank Stadium in Nashville, TN, on Saturday, September 20, 2025, at 7:30 PM. Fans can catch the action on ESNU. The Georgia State Panthers, representing the Sun Belt Conference, enter this game with a 1-2 record. Their lone win this season came in a convincing 37-21 victory over the Murray State Racers. They are yet to record a win on the road, with their previous away game ending in a tough 63-7 loss against Ole Miss. The Vanderbilt Commodores, currently ranked #20 in the AP Poll and #23 in the Coaches Poll, are riding high with a 3-0 record. Their recent triumphs include a 31-7 win over South Carolina and a 44-20 victory against Virginia Tech. Playing at home, the Commodores will look to maintain their undefeated streak in front of their fans.
Vanderbilt vs Georgia State At a Glance
- Game Venue: FirstBank Stadium in Nashville, TN
- Game Time: Saturday, September 20, 2025, at 7:30 PM
- Television Broadcast: ESNU
- Vanderbilt Record: 3-0 this season, ranked #20 in AP Poll
- Georgia State Record: 1-2 this season, competing in the Sun Belt Conference
- Odds: Vanderbilt favored with a moneyline of -3739; Georgia State at +1449
Vanderbilt Commodores: A Powerhouse in the 2025 Season
Offensive Performance
The Vanderbilt Commodores have been impressive this season, scoring 120 points, which ranks them 20th in the nation. Their passing game, though not at the top, has contributed 685 yards, placing them at 61st overall.
On the ground, the Commodores have accumulated 613 rushing yards, securing the 32nd position. This combination of balanced offense has led them to secure 70 first downs, a statistic that ranks them 17th in the nation.
Defensive Strength
Defensively, the Commodores have been stout, allowing only 30 points against them, ranking 16th nationwide. Their ability to pressure opposing quarterbacks is evident with 8 sacks, positioning them 7th overall.
Their secondary has been equally effective, intercepting the ball 3 times, giving them a 4th-place ranking. Additionally, they have demonstrated proficiency in recovering fumbles with 4 recoveries, ranking 2nd in the nation.
Recent Game Success
Vanderbilt’s recent games have showcased their dominance, starting with a commanding 45-3 victory against Charleston Southern Buccaneers. They followed this up with a solid 44-20 win over Virginia Tech Hokies.
Their latest 31-7 triumph over South Carolina Gamecocks further underscores their form. In these games, they’ve consistently outperformed opponents in both rushing and passing yards.
Key Players
Quarterback Diego Pavia has been a standout performer, with 645 passing yards and 7 touchdowns, leading the team in both categories. Running back Sedrick Alexander has made significant contributions on the ground with 197 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns.
Tre Richardson has been a reliable target in the receiving corps, amassing 162 yards and a touchdown. These key players have been pivotal in Vanderbilt’s successful start to the season.
Upcoming Challenges
Vanderbilt is set to host the Georgia State Panthers at FirstBank Stadium, where they are favorites to extend their winning streak. Their following games include matchups against Utah State Aggies and an away game against Texas Longhorns.
With a strong start and a favorable schedule ahead, the Commodores are in a prime position to maintain their momentum and push for higher rankings.
Team Betting Trends
- ATS – Away Games: 5-0 (100.0%)
- SU – All Games: 3-0 (100.0%)
- ATS – All Games: 3-0 (100.0%)
- ATS – After Loss: 6-1 (85.7%)
- SU – As Favorite: 8-2 (80.0%)
Georgia State Panthers Set to Challenge the Commodores
Offensive Overview
The Georgia State Panthers have shown a balanced offensive approach, ranking 51st in passing yards and 79th in rushing yards for the 2025 season. Their ability to convert plays into first downs is notable, securing a 39th-place rank in this category. Despite these achievements, the Panthers have scored only 60 points so far, placing them 64th nationally.
In their recent game against Murray State, the Panthers achieved 325 passing yards and 168 rushing yards, demonstrating their offensive capabilities. However, they did face challenges with turnovers, recording two interceptions and two fumbles.
Defensive Insights
Defensively, the Panthers have faced struggles, allowing 122 points, ranking them 93rd nationally. They have, however, excelled in creating turnovers with five sacks and two interceptions, placing them in the top ten for interceptions. This indicates an aggressive defensive approach that capitalizes on opponents’ mistakes.
Their performance against Memphis was less promising, with 38 points allowed and over 200 rushing yards conceded. This highlights a vulnerability in their run defense, which they will need to address against the Commodores.
Key Players to Watch
Quarterback Cameran Brown has been a standout performer, accumulating 294 passing yards and four touchdowns over three games. His ability to maintain control of the game without interceptions has been critical for the Panthers.
On the ground, Rashad Amos has been the leading rusher with 139 yards and a touchdown, playing a crucial role in the running game. Ted Hurst leads the receiving corps with 275 yards and two touchdowns, providing a reliable target downfield.
Injury Report
The Panthers face some uncertainty with defensive end Sir Mells listed as questionable due to an undisclosed injury. His absence could impact the defensive line’s ability to pressure the opposing quarterback.
Team Betting Trends
- O/U – After Win: Last 4 Games (2023–2024) → 4-0 (100.0%)
- SU – As Favorite: Last 26 Games (2020–2025) → 17-9 (65.4%)
- O/U – Away Games: Last 6 Games (2024–2025) → 4-1-1 (66.7%)
- ATS – Away Games: Last 28 Games (2020–2025) → 17-11 (60.7%)
- ATS – After Win: Last 23 Games (2020–2024) → 14-9 (60.9%)
Vanderbilt vs Georgia State Prediction: Over 53.5
Looking at the offensive performance of Vanderbilt this season, they have scored 120 points, ranking them 20th in points scored. This demonstrates a strong offensive capability that can put up significant numbers against a struggling Georgia State defense that has already allowed 122 points this season, ranking 93rd.
Georgia State, while being an underdog, managed to score 36 points against Vanderbilt in their last encounter, which suggests they have the potential to contribute to a high-scoring game. Despite their 1-2 record, their offense has shown the ability to move the ball through the air, with 734 passing yards, ranking 51st.
With the game being played at Vanderbilt’s home stadium, where the over has hit 63.3% of the time over the last 30 games, the conditions are favorable for a higher scoring game. Vanderbilt’s recent game against South Carolina ended with a total of 38 points, but given Georgia State’s defensive struggles, more points can be expected in this matchup.
Overall, the combination of Vanderbilt’s offensive strength and Georgia State’s defensive vulnerabilities points towards the likelihood of surpassing the set total of 53.5. Anticipating a competitive game, the projected score is Vanderbilt 42 – Georgia State 20, supporting the pick on the over.
- Vanderbilt vs Georgia State Prediction: Over 53.5
- Vanderbilt vs Georgia State Score: Vanderbilt 42 – Georgia State 20
