The upcoming game in Week 7 of the 2025 Regular Season features the Air Force Falcons taking on the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, NV. Scheduled for Saturday, October 11, 2025, at 3:30 PM, this Mountain West Conference showdown will be broadcast on CBSS. Both teams enter the game with contrasting season records, setting the stage for an intriguing contest.
The Air Force Falcons have faced challenges this season, holding a record of 1-4. They have yet to secure a victory on the road and are 0-3 in conference play. In contrast, the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels are riding high with a 5-0 start, including a 2-0 record at home and an unblemished 1-0 mark within the conference.
The odds reflect UNLV’s strong season, with a moneyline of -229 and a spread of -6.5. Air Force, meanwhile, is listed at +188 on the moneyline and +6.5 on the spread. With a total over/under set at 68.0, both teams will aim to capitalize on their strengths in this afternoon game.
UNLV vs Air Force At a Glance
- Game Date and Time: Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 3:30 PM
- Location: Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, NV
- Broadcast: Available on CBSS
- Air Force Record: 1-4 overall, 0-3 in conference
- UNLV Record: 5-0 overall, 1-0 in conference
- Game Odds: UNLV favored with a spread of -6.5
UNLV Runnin’ Rebels Set Sights on Another Win
Offensive Analysis
UNLV’s offense has demonstrated a strong ability to score, currently ranked 33rd in points with 178 this season. While their passing game ranks 84th with 1,079 yards, their rushing attack is more potent, ranking 39th with 991 yards.
First downs have come consistently, with the Runnin’ Rebels securing 110, placing them 33rd in the rankings. This balance between rushing and passing allows them to adapt to various defensive schemes effectively.
Defensive Performance
The Runnin’ Rebels defense has allowed 130 points, placing them 76th, which shows room for improvement in containing opposing offenses. However, their ability to pressure quarterbacks is evident, with their 7 sacks ranking 17th.
UNLV’s secondary has been opportunistic, securing 9 interceptions, which ranks them 10th. Additionally, their knack for recovering fumbles ranks 5th, demonstrating a defense that can create turnovers.
Recent Game Success
The Runnin’ Rebels have seen recent success, with a notable 31-17 win against the Wyoming Cowboys. Their rushing game was particularly effective, outgaining Wyoming 154 to 102 yards.
In another high-scoring game, UNLV edged Miami (OH) RedHawks 41-38, showcasing their ability to win in shootouts. The offense was diverse, accumulating 293 passing yards and 220 rushing yards.
Key Players to Watch
Quarterback Anthony Colandrea has been a standout performer, leading the team with 1,042 passing yards and 9 touchdowns in five games. Running back Jai’Den Thomas has also impressed, ranking 15th in rushing yards with 489.
Wide receiver Jaden Bradley is a key target, with 420 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns. His contributions have been critical to the Rebels’ offensive output.
Team Betting Trends
- SU – As Favorite: Last 26 Games → 23-3 (88.5%)
- SU – Away Games: Last 12 Games → 11-1 (91.7%)
- SU – All Games: Last 29 Games → 23-6 (79.3%)
- SU – Totals ≥ 50: Last 17 Games → 14-3 (82.4%)
- ATS – Away Games: Last 29 Games → 22-7 (75.9%)
- SU – After Win: Last 22 Games → 17-5 (77.3%)
The Runnin’ Rebels have a solid track record when favored, with a 23-3 record in their last 26 games as the favorite. Their success on the road is notable, winning 11 of their last 12 away games.
Air Force Falcons Prepare for Battle: A Game Preview
Offensive Analysis
The Air Force Falcons have shown impressive offensive capabilities this season, ranking 14th in rushing yards with a total of 1233. Despite their strong rushing game, their passing offense ranks 81st, accumulating 1113 yards. The team’s ability to secure first downs is commendable, as they rank 34th with 109 first downs this season.
Last season, the Falcons’ rushing attack was equally formidable, ranking 16th with 2705 yards. However, their passing game struggled, ranking 127th with just 1077 yards. This season, they aim to balance their offensive strategies to ensure a more versatile attack.
Defensive Performance
The Falcons’ defense has experienced mixed results this season, ranking 111th in points allowed with 189. Their pass rush has been effective, securing 9 sacks, placing them 15th in the rankings. Moreover, the Falcons have been opportunistic in creating turnovers, ranking 3rd in interceptions and 7th in fumble recoveries.
Compared to last season, the defense has shown improvement in points allowed, moving from 73rd to 111th in rankings. While their ability to force interceptions remains strong, there has been a slight dip in their pass rush effectiveness, dropping from 33rd to 15th in sacks.
Key Players to Watch
Quarterback Liam Szarka has been pivotal for the Falcons, leading the team with 852 passing yards and 7 touchdowns. His performance will be crucial in orchestrating the offense against their upcoming opponents. Running back Kade Frew, with 111 rushing yards and 1 touchdown, also plays a significant role in the team’s ground game.
On the receiving end, Cade Harris has been a standout player, securing 19 receptions for 448 yards and 2 touchdowns. His ability to stretch the field will be vital in opening up the Falcons’ passing attack.
Recent Games Recap
Air Force’s recent performance has been a rollercoaster, with their last game ending in a narrow 34-31 loss to Navy. Despite a solid effort, the Falcons were unable to clinch the win. In their prior games, they faced defeats against Hawaii (44-35) and Boise State (49-37), highlighting areas for improvement.
However, the Falcons started the season strong with a decisive 49-13 win over Bucknell, showcasing their potential when firing on all cylinders. As the season progresses, they aim to recapture this winning form in upcoming contests.
Betting Trends
- O/U – All Games: Last 6 Games (2024–2025) → 6-0 (100.0%)
- ATS – As Underdog: Last 6 Games (2024–2025) → 5-1 (83.3%)
- SU – After Win: Last 18 Games (2022–2025) → 15-3 (83.3%)
- ATS – Away Games: Last 5 Games (2024–2025) → 4-1 (80.0%)
- O/U – Totals ≥ 50: Last 6 Games (2024–2025) → 6-0 (100.0%)
UNLV vs Air Force Prediction: Over 68.0
With the total set at 68 points for this Mountain West matchup, the offensive capabilities of both teams are a focal point. Air Force has consistently shown an ability to put up points, averaging 36.4 points per game this season, while UNLV is not far behind, averaging 35.6 points per game.
Historically, games between these two teams have seen high-scoring outcomes, evidenced by their 2023 meeting that ended with a 31-27 score favoring UNLV. Both teams are ranked within the top 40 in offensive points for this season, suggesting a potential for another high-scoring game.
Defensively, Air Force has struggled, ranking 111th in points against, allowing an average of 37.8 points per game. Although UNLV’s defense has been slightly better, they still allow 26 points per game, leaving room for Air Force to capitalize.
Given these offensive and defensive stats, along with their historical scoring patterns, I anticipate a high-scoring game that will surpass the 68-point total. A projected scoreline of 38-35 in favor of UNLV supports this over prediction.
- UNLV vs Air Force Prediction: Over 68.0
- UNLV vs Air Force Score: UNLV 38 – Air Force 35
