As we enter Week 8 of the 2025 Regular Season, the Florida State Seminoles head to Stanford Stadium for a night game against the Stanford Cardinal. Florida State, from the Atlantic Coast Conference, currently holds a 3-3 record, struggling in conference play with an 0-3 record. The game will be broadcast on ESPN at 10:30 PM. Stanford, also part of the Atlantic Coast Conference, looks to improve on their 2-4 record. Notably, the Cardinal have been strong at home, securing both of their victories at Stanford Stadium. This contest offers them a chance to capitalize on their home field advantage. The odds heavily favor Florida State, with a consensus moneyline of -922 compared to Stanford’s +606. The spread is set at -17.5 for Florida State and +17.5 for Stanford, with the total over/under at 53.5. Both teams aim to break recent losing streaks and gain momentum as the season progresses.
Stanford vs Florida State At a Glance
- Game Location: Stanford Stadium in Stanford, CA
- Game Date & Time: Saturday, October 18, 2025 at 10:30 PM
- Broadcast Channel: ESPN
- Florida State Record: 3-3 overall, 0-1 on the road
- Stanford Record: 2-4 overall, 2-0 at home
- Betting Odds: Florida State favored with a spread of -17.5
Stanford Cardinal: A Close Look at Their Season Journey
Offensive Performance
The Stanford Cardinal has scored 113 points this season, ranking them 82nd in the nation. Their passing game has been more effective, with 1,445 yards placing them 58th. However, their rushing attack has struggled, only accumulating 569 yards, ranking 120th.
Last season, Stanford scored 274 points, demonstrating a slight decrease in their offensive output this year. Their passing attack was less prolific last season, with 2,295 yards ranked 106th.
Defensive Challenges
Defensively, Stanford has allowed 181 points this season, placing them 108th. Despite the high points allowed, their pass rush has been effective with 12 sacks, ranked 14th nationally.
Last year, they conceded 404 points, ranking them 131st, showing slight improvement this season. Their ability to intercept passes has been noteworthy, with one interception ranking them 2nd.
Recent Game Performance
In their recent game against SMU, Stanford lost 34-10. They achieved more first downs and passing yards than SMU, yet struggled with rushing and turnovers.
Their narrow victory against San Jose State, 30-29, showcased their passing strength, gaining 444 yards. However, they again faced challenges in rushing with only 37 yards.
Upcoming Games
Stanford will face the Florida State Seminoles next at home. The Cardinal are 18.0-point underdogs with a total set at 53.5 points.
Following that, they will travel to face the Miami Hurricanes. Their upcoming games present opportunities to improve both offensive and defensive metrics.
Team Betting Trends
- SU – Home Games: Last 3 Games (2024–2025) → 3-0 (100.0%)
- O/U – Home Games: Last 3 Games (2024–2025) → 3-0 (100.0%)
- SU – As Favorite: Last 10 Games (2020–2025) → 8-2 (80.0%)
- O/U – After Loss: Last 7 Games (2024–2025) → 5-2 (71.4%)
- O/U – All Games: Last 4 Games (2025) → 3-1 (75.0%)
Florida State Seminoles Ready to Challenge Stanford Cardinal
Offensive Highlights
The Seminoles have been explosive this season, ranking 5th in the nation with 265 points scored. Their rushing attack is particularly impressive, also ranked 5th, accumulating 1,655 yards. With 160 first downs, the team is highly efficient at moving the chains, placing them 3rd overall.
Quarterback Tommy Castellanos has been pivotal, leading with 1,365 passing yards and 9 touchdowns. His ability to avoid interceptions, with only 5 thrown, showcases his precision. Castellanos’ top target, Duce Robinson, has amassed 443 receiving yards, making him a vital part of the passing game.
Defensive Prowess
Defensively, Florida State has shown strength in their pass rush, recording 16 sacks, ranking them 10th in the nation. Their secondary has also been effective, intercepting 8 passes, positioning them 9th overall. While they’ve struggled somewhat with points against, ranked 82nd, their ability to force turnovers is a critical asset.
Despite some defensive challenges, the Seminoles have been able to recover fumbles effectively, contributing to their overall defensive strategy. Their focus on creating opportunities through turnovers is an integral part of their game plan.
Recent Performance
Florida State’s recent games have been a mixed bag. They suffered a narrow 34-31 loss to Pittsburgh, despite out-rushing their opponent. The Seminoles’ offensive potential was clear in their commanding 77-3 win over East Texas A&M, showcasing their capability to dominate.
Inconsistencies have appeared, however, as evidenced by a close 28-22 loss to Miami. The Seminoles’ ability to rack up first downs in this game highlights their offensive strengths, yet closing out games remains a challenge.
Betting Trends
- After Win: 22-5 (81.5%) in last 27 games
- As Favorite: 24-6 (80.0%) in last 30 games
- Over/Under as Favorite: 5-0 in last 5 games
- Over/Under after Win: 3-0 in last 3 games
- Home Games: 20-9 (69.0%) in last 29 games
Florida State’s betting trends indicate strong performances after wins and as favorites, providing confidence for those backing them in these scenarios.
In their upcoming game against Stanford, the Seminoles will look to leverage their offensive firepower and improve on closing out tight games. Their record as favorites and after wins suggests a favorable outcome, but execution will be key.
Stanford vs Florida State Prediction: ‘Stanford +17.5’
The Florida State Seminoles have struggled on the road this season, sitting at a 0-1 record away from home. Despite their strong offensive rankings, their 0-3 conference record and 12th place standing in the ACC underscore challenges against competitive teams. These stats indicate potential vulnerabilities that Stanford might exploit.
Stanford, with a solid 2-0 record at home, has shown they can perform when playing in familiar territory. Although the Cardinals have a subpar overall record, their ability to cover the spread in home games at a rate of 66.7% over the last three games suggests they can keep this game closer than the 17.5-point spread indicates. Their recent trends of performing well against the spread at home bolster confidence in their ability to stay within range.
Given the historical data, Stanford’s consistent performance at home, and Florida State’s road difficulties, the Cardinals can cover the +17.5 point spread. Florida State’s inability to secure conference wins further supports the likelihood of Stanford keeping the game competitive. Expect Stanford to capitalize on their home-field advantage.
The projected final score leans towards a closer contest, with Stanford leveraging their home success to stay competitive. Based on this analysis, the recommended pick is Stanford to cover the spread at +17.5.
- Stanford vs Florida State Prediction: Stanford +17.5
- Stanford vs Florida State Score: Florida State 34 – Stanford 21
