The Toronto Blue Jays and Seattle Mariners meet for Game 5 of the ALCS, with the series tied at 2–2. Held at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, the game is scheduled for Friday, October 17, 2025, at 6:08 PM. This pivotal matchup airs on FS1 amidst a cool, light rain forecast.
Toronto, under the management of John Schneider, enters this game with a regular-season record of 94-68. The Blue Jays have shown strength on the road, most recently winning Game 4 by a convincing 8-2 margin. Their offensive power was evident with 11 hits and two home runs.
The Seattle Mariners, managed by Dan Wilson, finished the regular season at 90-72. Despite a strong home record, Seattle has struggled in recent games against Toronto, dropping the last two. However, their Game 3 victory showcased their ability to capitalize on the Blue Jays’ missteps, maintaining their competitive edge in the series.
Mariners vs Blue Jays ALCS 5 At a Glance
- Game Context: This is Game 5 of the ALCS in the MLB Playoffs.
- Series Status: The series is tied 2–2 between the Toronto Blue Jays and Seattle Mariners.
- Venue: The game takes place at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA.
- Weather: Expect light rain with cool conditions.
- Broadcast Information: The game will be televised on FS1.
- Game Odds: Blue Jays are at -111 and Mariners at -109 on the moneyline.
Mariners Set to Tangle with the Blue Jays: A Game of Precision and Power
Toronto Blue Jays Hitting Overview
The Toronto Blue Jays enter this game with a potent offensive unit. Their performance throughout the 2025 season has demonstrated their ability to drive runs with consistency, ranking 3rd in home runs with 238. Their slugging percentage of .420 ranks 8th, emphasizing their power-hitting prowess.
However, the Blue Jays face a challenge in maintaining their momentum, especially given their recent games against the Mariners where pitching has contained their formidable lineup. The Blue Jays’ ability to adjust and capitalize on the Mariners’ pitching vulnerabilities will be crucial in this matchup.
Key Players to Watch
Kevin Gausman, Toronto’s starting pitcher, will play a pivotal role with his ERA of 3.59 and WHIP of 1.06. His ability to limit base runners will be critical against the Mariners’ explosive hitters like Cal Raleigh and Eugenio Suárez.
Offensively, the Blue Jays rely heavily on their top hitters to provide the spark needed to overcome the Mariners. Key performers like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette will need to be at their best to challenge the Mariners’ pitching staff.
Toronto’s Recent Form and Strategy
The Blue Jays have shown mixed results recently, facing challenges in maintaining a consistent winning form. Their recent performances indicate potential vulnerabilities in their lineup and bullpen, areas that could be exploited by the Mariners.
Toronto’s strategy will likely focus on aggressive baserunning and capitalizing on any defensive lapses by the Mariners. Maintaining pressure on the Mariners’ defense and limiting mistakes will be crucial for the Blue Jays to secure a win.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
- SU Last 3 Games: 2-1 (66.7%)
- SU Last 5 Games: 3-2 (60.0%)
- SU in Away Games: 2-2 (50.0%)
- Runline Last 3: 1-2 (33.3%)
- Runline in Away Games: 2-2 (50.0%)
- O/U Last 3: 2-1 (66.7%)
- O/U in Away Games: 2-2 (50.0%)
Toronto Blue Jays Ready to Battle: A Closer Look at the Seattle Mariners
Mariners’ Hitting Performance
The Seattle Mariners have displayed a commendable batting performance this season. Their batting average stands at .265, leading the league, while their on-base percentage is .331, placing them second. Although their slugging percentage ranks sixth at .427, the Mariners have hit 191 home runs, putting them in the 11th position.
Seattle’s ability to hit doubles has been impressive, with 294, ranking them third in the league. However, they have shown some vulnerability with their walk rate at 520, ranking 13th. The Mariners also have a high strikeout count, ranking second with 1,099 strikeouts.
Mariners’ Pitching Dynamics
The Mariners’ pitching staff has struggled with an earned run average of 4.19, placing them 18th in the league. They have managed to keep opponents’ batting average at .240, which is 10th best. Home runs allowed have been an issue, with 209 given up, ranking 23rd.
Seattle’s pitching has shown strength in quality starts with 57, ranking 11th. However, the bullpen has been a concern with 23 blown saves, making them the sixth highest in this category. The team has recorded 1,430 strikeouts, ranking sixth in the league, showcasing their ability to generate outs via the strikeout.
Key Mariners’ Players
Bryce Miller will be on the mound for the Mariners, carrying an ERA of 5.68 and a WHIP of 1.41. His season record stands at 4-6, indicating inconsistencies in his performance. Key hitters like Julio Rodríguez and Jarred Kelenic will be pivotal to the Mariners’ offensive efforts.
Rodríguez, with his power and speed, is a dual threat, while Kelenic’s ability to hit for power can change the game. Both players will need to be at their best to challenge the Blue Jays’ pitching staff effectively.
Mariners’ Challenges
The Mariners have faced challenges in keeping runs off the board, evidenced by their high ERA and home runs allowed. This has put pressure on their offense to consistently produce. Additionally, their bullpen’s inconsistency has led to blown saves, a critical area they must address against the Blue Jays.
Despite these challenges, the Mariners’ offensive capabilities, particularly in hitting doubles, could be a key factor. Their ability to strike out opposing hitters is a strength that could disrupt the Blue Jays’ lineup.
Team Betting Trends
- SU in Away Games: 3-1 (75.0%)
- Runline in Away Games: 3-1 (75.0%)
- O/U in Away Games: 3-1 (75.0%)
- SU After a Loss: 2-1 (66.7%)
- Runline After a Loss: 2-1 (66.7%)
- O/U After a Loss: 1-2 (33.3%)
Mariners vs Blue Jays Prediction: Over 7.0
The Mariners and Blue Jays are set to play Game 5 of the ALCS at T-Mobile Park. The previous games in the series have mostly been high-scoring affairs, with the last three games all going over the set total of 7.0 runs.
Toronto’s offensive firepower has been evident, highlighted by Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s postseason form and the Blue Jays’ consistent ability to score big. Seattle, while having a solid pitching staff, has shown vulnerability, as evidenced by their recent games conceding a significant number of runs to Toronto.
With Kevin Gausman and Bryce Miller starting, both teams will look to exploit the opposing pitchers’ weaknesses. Given Toronto’s recent offensive success and Seattle’s capacity to score at home, this game seems primed for another over performance.
Considering the historical head-to-head trends and the recent offensive displays, the Over 7.0 appears to be the favorable pick. A projected score of Blue Jays 6 – Mariners 4 aligns with this expectation.
- Mariners vs Blue Jays Prediction: Over 7.0
- Mariners vs Blue Jays Score: Blue Jays 6 – Mariners 4
