The Toronto Blue Jays and Seattle Mariners are set to continue their intense ALCS battle at T-Mobile Park for Game 4. With Seattle holding a narrow 2–1 series lead, both teams are eager to gain momentum in this best-of-7 showdown. Scheduled for October 16, 2025, this night game will be broadcast on FS1, adding to the postseason excitement.
Toronto comes into the game off an impressive 13-4 victory in Game 3, showcasing their offensive strength with 18 hits and five home runs. Manager John Schneider will be looking for his team to replicate that performance, especially given their 40-41 road record during the regular season. The Blue Jays’ previous win demonstrated the hitting prowess of stars like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Alejandro Kirk.
Seattle, led by manager Dan Wilson, will aim to defend their home turf, where they performed well during the regular season with a 51-30 record. Despite the recent setback in Game 3, the Mariners have shown resilience throughout the playoffs. Key contributors like Julio Rodríguez and Randy Arozarena will be crucial in helping the Mariners bounce back at their home stadium with its retractable roof minimizing weather impact.
Mariners vs Blue Jays ALCS 4 At a Glance
- Game Context: This is Game 4 of the ALCS with the Seattle Mariners leading the series 2-1.
- Venue: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA, equipped with a retractable roof.
- TV Coverage: The game will be broadcast on FS1.
- Weather Conditions: Overcast clouds with a mild day and light breeze, wind may not affect play due to the retractable roof.
- Team Records: Toronto Blue Jays finished the regular season with a 94-68 record, while the Seattle Mariners recorded a 90-72 season.
- Game Odds: Mariners are favored with a moneyline of -135, while Blue Jays are at +114.
The Mariners’ Next Challenge: Battling the Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays: Offensive Overview
The Toronto Blue Jays have demonstrated impressive power this season, ranking third in the league with 238 home runs. This suggests a lineup capable of changing the game’s momentum with a single swing. Their slugging percentage stands at .420, placing them eighth, indicating their strength in hitting for extra bases.
However, their batting average sits at .244, ranking them 11th, which shows room for improvement in consistent hitting. Their ability to draw walks, ranked seventh, with a .319 on-base percentage, reflects a patient approach at the plate.
Key Players to Watch
Max Scherzer takes the mound for the Blue Jays with a record of 5-5 and an ERA of 5.19. His season WHIP of 1.29 points to a pitcher who allows frequent baserunners, which could be exploited by Seattle’s offense. The veteran pitcher will need to be at his best to contain the Mariners’ potent lineup.
Offensively, the Blue Jays rely on their power hitters to provide the spark. With their impressive home run tally, any of their top sluggers can make a significant impact in the game.
Pitching Analysis
Toronto’s pitching staff has been solid, with an ERA of 3.87, ranking 12th in the league. Their opponents’ batting average against is .240, placing them 10th, which indicates a competitive edge on the mound. The Blue Jays’ 67 quality starts rank them sixth, highlighting the consistency of their starters.
Despite a solid pitching foundation, the team has given up 192 home runs, ranked 16th, showing a vulnerability to power hitters. They have recorded 1426 strikeouts, ranking seventh, showcasing their ability to punch out hitters effectively.
Team Betting Trends
- SU Last 3 Games: 2-1 (66.7%)
- SU Last 5 Games: 3-2 (60.0%)
- Runline Last 3: 2-1 (66.7%)
- Runline Last 5: 3-2 (60.0%)
- O/U Last 3: 2-1 (66.7%)
- O/U Last 5: 3-2 (60.0%)
In summary, the Blue Jays’ combination of power hitting and strong pitching presents a formidable challenge for the Mariners. Both teams will need to rely on their strengths to gain the upper hand in this crucial postseason clash.
Blue Jays Look to Continue Strong Performance in Upcoming Game
Team Overview
The Blue Jays are entering this game with momentum after a commanding 13-4 victory over the Mariners. Their lineup has shown exceptional depth, highlighted by an 18-hit performance, including multiple home runs. With such a strong showing, they aim to even the series against the Mariners.
Toronto’s batting average stands at .265, leading the league, while their on-base percentage is an impressive .331, ranking them second. This combination of power and discipline at the plate makes them a formidable opponent for any pitching staff.
Key Players to Watch
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is a key player for the Blue Jays, boasting a .292 batting average and leading the team with 23 home runs. His recent performance, going 4-for-4 with a home run, suggests he is hitting his stride at the perfect time.
George Springer provides another powerful bat, with a .309 average and 32 home runs this season. His ability to come through in clutch situations makes him a vital component of the Blue Jays’ offensive attack.
Alejandro Kirk continues to be a reliable force behind the plate and in the lineup, hitting .282 with 15 home runs. His contributions are essential, both in managing the pitching staff and in driving in runs.
Pitching Matchup
Max Scherzer is set to start for the Blue Jays, looking to improve on his 5.19 ERA. While his regular season was inconsistent, his veteran experience in high-pressure situations could be crucial.
Opposing him will be Luis Castillo of the Mariners, who sports a 3.54 ERA. The Blue Jays’ strategy will likely focus on patience at the plate to wear down Castillo and create scoring opportunities.
Team Betting Trends
- SU in Away Games: 2-1 (66.7%)
- SU After a Loss: 2-1 (66.7%)
- Runline in Away Games: 2-1 (66.7%)
- O/U in Away Games: 2-1 (66.7%)
Mariners vs Blue Jays Prediction: Over 7.5
The upcoming game between the Seattle Mariners and the Toronto Blue Jays in the ALCS is positioned to be a high-scoring encounter. The Blue Jays’ recent offensive performance, scoring 13 runs on 18 hits in Game 3, highlights their batting capabilities. Additionally, their regular season numbers, being first in batting average and second in on-base percentage, suggest they have the offensive firepower to maintain this momentum.
Toronto will send Max Scherzer to the mound, whose 5.19 ERA and 1.29 WHIP indicate susceptibility to allowing runs, potentially giving the Mariners opportunities to score. On the other side, Mariners’ Luis Castillo has been solid with a 3.54 ERA but faces a potent Blue Jays lineup. Given the recent trend of games going over, the offensive capabilities of both teams, and the pitchers’ performances, the total is likely to exceed 7.5 runs.
The Blue Jays’ recent head-to-head results against the Mariners also favor an over bet, with five of the last six regular-season encounters surpassing the set total. Seattle has also shown offensive strength, particularly at home, where they hold a 51-30 record. Given these factors, betting on the over seems to be the optimal choice.
For a projected final score, anticipate a competitive and high-scoring affair, with the Blue Jays winning 6-5. Both teams have shown they can produce runs consistently, and this game should follow the same pattern.
- Mariners vs Blue Jays Prediction: Over 7.5
- Mariners vs Blue Jays Score: Blue Jays 6 – Mariners 5
