In Week 6 of the 2025 regular season, the New Mexico Lobos travel to San Jose, CA to take on the San Jose State Spartans. This Mountain West Conference game is set to kick off at 10:00 PM on Friday, October 3rd, under the lights of CEFCU Stadium. Fans can catch the action live on FS1.
The New Mexico Lobos enter this game with a solid 3-1 record, including a recent 38-20 victory over New Mexico State. Their performance on the road has been mixed, with a 1-1 record, but they have shown strong offensive capabilities, particularly in their win against UCLA where they amassed 298 rushing yards. This game also marks their first conference matchup of the season.
San Jose State, on the other hand, stands at 1-3 for the season, with their lone win coming against Idaho. Despite their struggles, the Spartans have demonstrated resilience in tight contests, such as their recent 30-29 loss to Stanford. Playing at home, where they hold a 1-1 record, they will be looking to leverage their familiarity with CEFCU Stadium to secure a much-needed conference win.
San Jose State vs New Mexico At a Glance
- Game Location: CEFCU Stadium in San Jose, CA
- Game Time: Friday, October 3, 2025 at 10:00 PM
- TV Channel: FS1
- New Mexico Lobos Record: 3-1 this season
- San Jose State Spartans Record: 1-3 this season
- Game Odds: San Jose State is favored with a moneyline of -136
San Jose State Spartans: A Preview of the Season Ahead
Offensive Performance
The San Jose State Spartans have shown impressive passing capabilities this season. Ranking 39th in passing yards with 1,191 yards, they have demonstrated their ability to advance the ball through the air effectively. However, their ground game has not been as productive, with only 410 rushing yards placing them 122nd in the rankings.
In their recent games, the Spartans scored a total of 81 points, ranking them 80th. Despite challenges, their offense has been able to maintain pressure on opponents, as evidenced by their 77 first downs, placing them 49th overall.
Defensive Strengths
Defensively, the Spartans have made their mark with an exceptional performance in forcing turnovers. They are ranked 2nd in interceptions and 4th in fumbles recovered, demonstrating their ability to capitalize on opponents’ mistakes.
Their defense has also been aggressive in the pass rush, recording six sacks and placing 15th overall in this category. This defensive pressure is crucial for disrupting opposing quarterbacks and creating opportunities for turnovers.
Key Players to Watch
Quarterback Walker Eget has been a standout performer, with 1,191 passing yards and six passing touchdowns, leading the team’s aerial attack. His ability to connect with receivers like Danny Scudero, who has 520 receiving yards, has been pivotal to their offensive success.
On the ground, Jabari Bates has contributed significantly, rushing for 192 yards and scoring two touchdowns. His role in balancing the offense is crucial as the team looks to enhance their rushing game.
Recent Game Performances
The Spartans are coming off a close 30-29 loss against Stanford, where they showcased their passing prowess with 473 yards through the air. Despite the loss, they managed to outgain Stanford in both passing and rushing yards.
In their victory over Idaho Vandals, they demonstrated a balanced attack with 222 passing yards and 198 rushing yards. This win highlighted their potential to integrate both facets of their offense effectively.
Team Betting Trends
- SU – As Favorite: 26-4 (86.7%) in the last 30 games.
- ATS – Away Games: 11-2 (84.6%) in the last 13 games.
- SU – Home Games: 22-8 (73.3%) in the last 30 games.
- ATS – After Win: 16-8 (66.7%) in the last 24 games.
- SU – After Loss: 6-2 (75.0%) in the last 8 games.
- SU – All Games: 14-8 (63.6%) in the last 22 games.
- ATS – All Games: 16-10 (61.5%) in the last 26 games.
New Mexico Lobos Ready to Take On the Road: A Preview
Offensive Performance
The New Mexico Lobos have scored 122 points this season, ranking them 56th overall in points for. With 868 passing yards, they stand at 88th, while their rushing game has achieved 700 yards, placing them at 77th in rushing yards. Their ability to secure first downs has been notable, with 87 so far, earning them the 41st rank.
Defensive Prowess
Defensively, the Lobos have allowed 86 points, placing them 54th in points against. Their pass rush has been effective, accumulating 11 sacks, which ranks them 10th. Additionally, they have demonstrated solid ball-hawking skills with 3 interceptions and 1 fumble recovery, both ranking in the top 6 nationally.
Recent Game Highlights
The Lobos are coming off a convincing 38–20 win over New Mexico State. In this game, they demonstrated balanced offensive play with 344 passing yards and 133 rushing yards. This victory highlighted their ability to control the game tempo with 24 first downs.
Key Players
Quarterback Jack Layne has been a standout performer, contributing 818 passing yards and 7 touchdowns across four games. Running back Scottre Humphrey has been a key player in the rushing department, with 263 yards and 3 touchdowns. Tight end Dorian Thomas has added to the aerial attack with 247 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns.
Upcoming Challenges
The Lobos will travel to CEFCU Stadium to play against San Jose State Spartans. Following this, they face a tough away schedule against Boise State Broncos and later Utah State Aggies at home. These games will test their consistency and ability to perform under pressure.
Injury Concerns
New Mexico faces several injury challenges with players like Jayden Sheridan, RJ Adams, and Austin Brawley listed as questionable. Key players like Elvin Harris and Keith Reddix are confirmed to miss games, affecting depth in their respective positions.
Betting Trends
- O/U – Home Games: 13-3 (81.2%) over the last 16 games.
- ATS – As Underdog: 4-0 (100.0%) in the last 4 games.
- O/U – All Games: 20-8 (71.4%) over the last 28 games.
- SU – All Games: 3-0 (100.0%) in the last 3 games.
- O/U – As Underdog: 18-8 (69.2%) over the last 26 games.
With a strong start to the season, the Lobos will look to leverage their current momentum and betting trends to succeed against their upcoming opponents.
San Jose State vs New Mexico Prediction: Over 58.5
San Jose State’s recent games have often hit the over, with a notable trend of 9-6 in home games in the last two years. Their high-scoring loss to Stanford, where the total reached 59 points, indicates their capability to participate in games that exceed the set total. This trend aligns with the current total of 58.5, suggesting a potential for another high-scoring affair.
New Mexico has put up competitive offensive numbers this season, ranking 56th in points for with 122 points. Their previous matchups against San Jose State have frequently gone over the total, as seen in their last two meetings which both exceeded 55 points. This history adds confidence to the expectation of a game surpassing the current total.
Both teams have had defensive struggles this season, with San Jose State allowing 112 points and New Mexico giving up 86 points. This defensive vulnerability from both sides can contribute to a higher scoring game. Given these factors, the projection leans towards an over 58.5 total.
Considering the offensive capabilities and defensive inconsistencies of both teams, a projected final score of San Jose State 35 – New Mexico 31 seems plausible. This score supports the over, continuing the trend of high-scoring encounters between these teams.
- San Jose State vs New Mexico Prediction: Over 58.5
- San Jose State vs New Mexico Score: San Jose State 35 – New Mexico 31
