The New York Mets, currently second in the NL East with a 76-70 record, head to Citizens Bank Park to take on the division-leading Philadelphia Phillies. The Mets are in the midst of a tough stretch, having lost their last five games, including several defeats to the Phillies themselves. Their recent form shows a 3-7 record in the last ten games, highlighting a need for improvement as they face a formidable division rival.
Meanwhile, the Philadelphia Phillies have been on a roll, winning their last three games and maintaining a strong 7-3 record over the last ten. With an 86-60 record, the Phillies hold the top spot in the division, showcasing their prowess at Citizens Bank Park with a remarkable 48-23 home record. Under the management of Rob Thomson, the Phillies are looking to extend their winning streak against the struggling Mets.
Thursday’s night game is set for September 11, 2025, at 7:15 PM, with FOX covering the action from Philadelphia. The weather forecast suggests a warm evening with scattered clouds, providing a pleasant backdrop for what promises to be an intriguing encounter. With the Phillies favored on the moneyline and a total over/under set at 8.5 runs, fans can expect an intense battle at the outdoor field.
Phillies vs Mets At a Glance
- Game Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA
- Weather: Warm day with a light breeze and scattered clouds
- Television Broadcast: FOX
- Mets Record: 76-70, currently 2nd in NL East
- Phillies Record: 86-60, leading the NL East
- Game Odds: Phillies favored with a moneyline of -143
The Phillies Aim to Continue Their Streak Against the Mets
Mets Overview
The New York Mets are set to challenge the Philadelphia Phillies, boasting a season record of 9-5 for starter David Peterson. With a 3.72 ERA and a WHIP of 1.32, Peterson has demonstrated consistent performances on the mound.
The Mets have struggled against division opponents, which could be a hurdle in their upcoming game. However, with Peterson’s reliability, they aim to make a statement against the Phillies.
Key Players to Watch
David Peterson has been a key asset for the Mets, with 9 wins this season. His control and ability to limit baserunners will be crucial against the Phillies’ potent lineup.
On the offensive side, the Mets will look to their consistent performers to spark some offense. Keeping pace with the Phillies’ firepower will be essential for their success.
Pitching Strengths
The Mets’ pitching staff ranks well in terms of limiting home runs, which will be pivotal against the Phillies’ sluggers. Their focus will be on keeping the ball in the park at Citizens Bank Park.
Peterson’s ability to deliver quality starts adds a layer of confidence to the Mets’ strategy. His previous outings suggest he can handle high-pressure situations effectively.
Team Betting Trends
- SU Last 3 Games: 3-0 (100.0%)
- SU Last 5 Games: 4-1 (80.0%)
- SU Last 10 Games: 7-3 (70.0%)
- SU All Games: 86-60 (58.9%)
- SU as Favorite: 73-45 (61.9%)
- SU as Underdog: 13-15 (46.4%)
- SU in Night Games: 57-36 (61.3%)
Mets Hope to Halt Skid Against Phillies in Crucial Showdown
Team Overview
The New York Mets are looking to rebound after a string of losses as they prepare to take on the Philadelphia Phillies. They currently hold a record of 76-70 and are striving to maintain their position in the wild card standings, where they lead the San Francisco Giants by two games. Despite recent struggles, their batting lineup boasts impressive power, ranking 5th in home runs with 199 for the season.
Offensively, the Mets have shown strength in their on-base percentage, ranking 4th in the league with a .328 OBP. However, consistency has been an issue, as evidenced by their recent loss to the Phillies where they went 3-for-9 with runners in scoring position. They will need to capitalize on scoring opportunities to turn their fortunes around.
Key Players to Watch
Pete Alonso is a key player for the Mets, with a .269 batting average and 33 home runs this season. His ability to drive in runs has been critical, as he leads the team with 113 RBIs. Alonso’s power at the plate will be essential in the upcoming games against the Phillies.
Juan Soto has also been a standout performer, boasting a .264 average with 39 home runs and 95 RBIs. Soto’s recent performance against the Phillies was notable, as he went 3-for-5, demonstrating his capability to impact the game offensively. His presence in the lineup adds significant depth to the Mets’ batting order.
Pitching Analysis
David Peterson will take the mound for the Mets, bringing a 9-5 record with a 3.72 ERA into the game. Peterson’s consistency and ability to limit opposing hitters will be crucial against a potent Phillies lineup. His performance could play a pivotal role in halting the Mets’ current losing streak.
The Mets’ pitching staff ranks 16th in ERA at 4.01, highlighting areas for improvement. With a league-leading 133 home runs given up, containing the Phillies’ power hitters will be a priority for Peterson and the bullpen. The Mets’ ability to execute their pitching strategy could define the outcome of this contest.
Betting Trends
- SU Last 3 Games: 0-3 (0.0%)
- SU Last 5 Games: 0-5 (0.0%)
- SU Last 10 Games: 3-7 (30.0%)
- Runline Last 3: 0-3 (0.0%)
- Runline Last 5: 0-5 (0.0%)
- O/U Last 3: 2-1 (66.7%)
- O/U Last 5: 2-3 (40.0%)
As the Mets aim to break their five-game losing streak, betting trends highlight their challenges. Their recent struggles against the spread (ATS) are evident with a 2-8 record in the last 10 games. Meanwhile, their overall performance against division opponents stands at 31-32, underscoring the competitive nature of these matchups.
With the stakes high, the Mets are eager to deliver a strong performance against the Phillies. A win could provide much-needed momentum as they continue their quest for a playoff spot. The outcome of this game will be crucial in shaping their postseason aspirations.
Phillies vs Mets Prediction: Over 8.5
The Philadelphia Phillies’ recent offensive surge positions them to continue producing high scores. In their last game, they scored 11 runs against the Mets, exemplifying their ability to capitalize on the Mets’ struggling pitching staff. Additionally, the Phillies have hit the over in 6 of their last 10 games against the Mets.
The New York Mets have been in a slump, dropping their last five games, but their offense can still put runs on the board. With players like Juan Soto showing strong individual performances, the potential for scoring remains. This series has seen high totals recently, with two of the last three games exceeding the set line.
Given the starting pitching matchups, there’s a likelihood of runs being allowed. David Peterson, with a 3.72 ERA, and Jesús Luzardo, with a 4.01 ERA, may give up several runs, especially considering the Phillies’ offensive momentum. Both teams have shown tendencies to hit the over in recent matchups.
Taking into account the offensive capabilities of both teams, and recent game trends, the over looks promising. The Phillies’ current form and the Mets’ potential to contribute to the scoreline suggest that an over 8.5 total runs is achievable.
- Phillies vs Mets Prediction: Over 8.5
- Phillies vs Mets Score: Phillies 7 – Mets 4
