CFB Game Prediction

Oregon vs Oregon State Prediction & Betting Tips for CFB Week 4 on 9/20/2025

Want our best Oregon vs Oregon State prediction for 9/20/25? Get our College Football betting tip as the Oregon State travel to Oregon in Week 4 on 9/20/25 at Autzen Stadium, in Oregon. Knup Sports has your free CFB pick!

Week 4 of the 2025 college football season brings a storied rivalry back to life as the Oregon Ducks host the Oregon State Beavers at Autzen Stadium in Eugene, Oregon. Scheduled for Saturday, September 20, 2025, this afternoon game will be televised on BTN. The Ducks, ranked #6 in the AP Poll, look to continue their strong start to the season.

The Oregon State Beavers arrive with a 0-3 record, having struggled in the early weeks of the season. Their recent loss to the Texas Tech Red Raiders, 45-14, highlighted defensive vulnerabilities, particularly against the pass. Despite their current form, the Beavers will be keen to disrupt Oregon’s momentum in this conference matchup.

On the other side, the Ducks maintain a flawless 3-0 record, following a dominant 69-3 victory over Oklahoma State at home. They have shown offensive firepower, with notable performances in both passing and rushing yards in recent games. With a conference record of 1-0, Oregon aims to solidify their position in the Big Ten standings.

Oregon vs Oregon State At a Glance

  • Game Date and Time: Saturday, September 20, 2025 at 3:00 PM
  • Venue: Autzen Stadium in Eugene, OR
  • TV Channel: BTN
  • Oregon State Beavers Record: 0-3 this season
  • Oregon Ducks Record: 3-0 this season
  • Game Odds: Oregon favored by 35.0 points

The Oregon Ducks: A Closer Look at Their Next Rival

Team Overview

The Oregon Ducks have been on a roll this season, showing impressive offensive and defensive stats. Their ability to score, ranked 3rd in points, coupled with a solid defensive performance, has been key to their success.

In their recent games, Oregon has demonstrated dominance, particularly in their 69-3 victory over Oklahoma State. This sets the stage for an intriguing game against their next opponent.

Offensive Strengths

The Ducks’ offense has been highly effective, averaging 162 points this season. With a strong rushing game ranked 8th, they can control the game tempo and keep the chains moving.

Quarterback Dante Moore has been a standout player, leading the team with 657 passing yards and 7 touchdowns. His performance will be crucial in maintaining the Ducks’ offensive momentum.

Defensive Capabilities

Defensively, Oregon has allowed only 30 points against them, ranking 16th in points allowed. Their pass rush, with 7 sacks, is ranked 8th, showcasing their ability to pressure the opposing quarterback.

Additionally, the Ducks have a knack for creating turnovers with 4 interceptions, ranking them 5th. This aggressive defense will be a challenge for any team facing them.

Key Players to Watch

Running back Jordon Davison has been effective on the ground with 40 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns. His ability to find the end zone makes him a vital part of the Ducks’ offense.

Wide receiver Malik Benson adds depth to their passing attack with 161 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns. His contributions are crucial for spreading the field and creating opportunities.

Betting Trends

  • SU – As Favorite: 26-1 (96.3%) in last 27 games
  • SU – Home Games: 28-2 (93.3%) in last 30 games
  • SU – All Games: 27-2 (93.1%) in last 29 games
  • SU – After Win: 20-1 (95.2%) in last 21 games
  • SU – Totals ≥ 50: 22-2 (91.7%) in last 24 games
  • SU – Away Games: 6-0 (100.0%) in last 6 games

Oregon State Beavers Seek Redemption on the Road

Recent Performance Overview

The Oregon State Beavers have struggled to find their footing in the 2025 season, suffering three consecutive losses. Their most recent defeat came at the hands of Texas Tech, where they fell 45-14. This challenging start has seen the Beavers concede a high number of points, highlighting areas in need of improvement.

In their opening game, the Beavers were outplayed by California, losing 34-15. Against Fresno State, despite securing more first downs and passing yards, the Beavers were unable to convert their efforts into a victory, ending with a 36-27 loss. The recurring theme of strong starts but insufficient finishes has been prevalent in their recent outings.

Offensive Struggles and Key Players

Oregon State’s offense has shown potential, especially through the air, ranking 22nd in passing yards. However, their rushing attack has been less effective, placing 116th in the nation. Quarterback Maalik Murphy has been a bright spot, ranking 11th in passing yards nationally, yet he has also thrown five interceptions, which has hurt the team’s momentum.

Running back Anthony Hankerson has contributed 190 rushing yards, though the ground game overall hasn’t provided much support. The receiving corps, led by Trent Walker with 302 receiving yards, has been a consistent factor, yet they have struggled to find the end zone. The offensive line’s performance, marred by injuries, has been a concern, affecting both protection and rushing efficiency.

Defensive Challenges

Defensively, the Beavers have allowed 115 points, ranking 89th in the nation. Their pass rush has been effective with two sacks, while the secondary has been impressive with three interceptions, ranking 4th. However, the inability to recover fumbles has been a setback, affecting their ability to change game momentum.

The defense has been put under pressure in every game, partly due to offensive turnovers. Improving their ability to recover fumbles and tighten pass coverage will be key to turning their season around. With several defensive injuries, including key players like Noble Thomas Jr., the team faces an uphill battle in solidifying their defense.

Injury Impact

The Beavers are dealing with significant injuries, impacting both their offensive and defensive units. Key offensive linemen Tyler Voltin and Jacob Strand are questionable, which could further strain their protection schemes. Wide receiver Darrius Clemons’ absence due to a torn Achilles has left a gap in their receiving options.

Defensively, players like Noble Thomas Jr. and Tevita Pome’e are uncertain, affecting their depth and flexibility. The uncertain status of these players forces Oregon State to adapt and rely on less experienced personnel, challenging their game strategy. Managing these injuries and adapting effectively will be crucial for their upcoming games.

Upcoming Game Outlook

Oregon State faces a formidable opponent in the Oregon Ducks, and they’ll need to address their current weaknesses. Playing away at Autzen Stadium, the Beavers are significant underdogs with a 35-point spread against them. The team’s success will hinge on their ability to limit turnovers and make strategic defensive stops.

With their offensive line under scrutiny and a defense needing to hold firm, Oregon State’s preparation will focus on consistency and discipline. They must harness the potential shown in their passing game and translate it into points while ensuring their defense is ready to contend with a high-powered Ducks offense.

Oregon State Beavers Betting Trends

  • SU – As Favorite: 21-7 (75.0%) over the last 28 games.
  • SU – Home Games: 20-7 (74.1%) over the last 27 games.
  • O/U – Home Games: 3-0 (100.0%) over the last 3 games.
  • ATS – After Win: 21-9 (70.0%) over the last 30 games.
  • ATS – Home Games: 19-8 (70.4%) over the last 27 games.
  • ATS – As Favorite: 17-11 (60.7%) over the last 28 games.
  • SU – After Win: 17-11 (60.7%) over the last 28 games.
  • SU – Totals ≥ 50: 17-12 (58.6%) over the last 29 games.
  • ATS – Totals ≥ 50: 17-12 (58.6%) over the last 29 games.
  • O/U – After Win: 9-5 (64.3%) over the last 14 games.

Oregon vs Oregon State Prediction: Over 55.5

The Oregon Ducks have demonstrated an explosive offense this season, ranking 3rd in the nation with 162 points scored across three games. Their offensive prowess is further highlighted by their top 10 rushing yards ranking. With Oregon playing at home, where they tend to perform even better, we can expect their high-scoring trend to continue.

On the other hand, the Oregon State Beavers have struggled defensively, having allowed 115 points in their first three games of the season. Although their passing defense ranks high, their rushing defense is among the worst in the country. This mismatch against Oregon’s strong rushing attack indicates a likelihood of Oregon scoring freely.

Previous head-to-head matchups between these teams have frequently resulted in high scores, with three of the last five games going over their respective totals. Moreover, with the Ducks’ recent trend of covering totals over 50 points in their last four home games, the over seems to be the logical pick. Autzen Stadium’s environment often aids in high-scoring affairs, adding further weight to the over selection.

Given these observations, the projected final score supports taking the over. Oregon’s offensive capabilities combined with Oregon State’s defensive vulnerabilities set the stage for a game exceeding the total of 55.5 points.

  • Oregon vs Oregon State Prediction: Over 55.5
  • Oregon vs Oregon State Score: Oregon 49 – Oregon State 17
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