The Baylor Bears head into Week 5 of the 2025 season with a 2-2 record. They will be traveling to Boone Pickens Stadium in Stillwater, OK, for an afternoon game against the Oklahoma State Cowboys. Baylor’s last outing ended in a narrow 27-24 loss to Arizona State. Oklahoma State enters this contest with a 1-2 record, seeking redemption after a 19-12 defeat against Tulsa. This game marks their third home game of the season, where they have been 1-1 so far. The Cowboys will aim to leverage their home field advantage to improve their standing in the Big 12. With both teams having faced challenges early in the season, the matchup on ESPN2 provides an opportunity to turn the tide. Baylor’s lone road game resulted in a 48-45 win, showcasing their potential away from home. Meanwhile, Oklahoma State looks to build on their Week 1 home victory over UT Martin.
Oklahoma State vs Baylor At a Glance
- Game Location: Boone Pickens Stadium in Stillwater, OK
- Game Time: Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 3:30 PM
- TV Broadcast: ESPN2
- Baylor Bears Record: 2-2 overall, 1-0 on the road
- Oklahoma State Cowboys Record: 1-2 overall, 1-1 at home
- Consensus Game Odds: Baylor favored by 20.5 points
Oklahoma State Cowboys Seek Redemption on the Gridiron
Offensive Performance and Strategy
The Oklahoma State Cowboys’ offensive unit has displayed a mixed bag of results this season. Despite putting up a respectable 42 points over the season, their passing attack ranks a disappointing 124th with only 517 yards. In contrast, their rushing game has been more effective, accumulating 456 yards to rank 104th.
The Cowboys’ offensive strategy heavily relies on their ability to move the chains, with 53 first downs placing them 52nd in that category. Maintaining this effectiveness will be crucial as they look to improve their standing. Oklahoma State’s offensive balance is key, with potential to exploit defensive gaps through both air and ground attacks.
Defensive Insights
On the defensive side, Oklahoma State has shown resilience, allowing 95 points and ranking 65th in that category. The Cowboys’ defensive line has excelled in pressuring quarterbacks, with four sacks ranking 14th. The secondary has been alert as well, securing an interception and a fumble recovery, ranking them second and fifth, respectively.
This defensive fortitude has been tested, especially in their recent games against teams like Oregon. The Cowboys will need to bolster their defense to contain high-scoring opponents effectively. Focus on minimizing big plays and improving tackling will be essential as they prepare for upcoming challenges.
Recent Game Analysis
Oklahoma State’s recent 19-12 loss to Tulsa highlighted some offensive inconsistencies, as they managed only 218 passing yards. Their ground game was more productive, contributing 185 rushing yards. However, the Cowboys fell short in key moments, unable to convert yards into points.
The earlier 69-3 defeat against Oregon was a significant setback, with the Cowboys struggling to establish their offensive rhythm. In contrast, the 27-7 victory over UT Martin showcased their potential when both offense and defense clicked. Consistency will be vital as they aim to bounce back from recent setbacks.
Player Contributions and Injury Updates
Quarterback Zane Flores has been a pivotal figure for the Cowboys, leading with 417 passing yards across three games. However, the passing game has been hampered by injuries, with QB Hauss Hejny questionable due to a foot injury. The Cowboys’ depth will be tested as they manage these setbacks.
On the ground, Rodney Fields Jr. has emerged as a reliable option, rushing for 143 yards over two games. The Cowboys also face challenges with key players like DeSean Brown and Talyn Shettron out for the season. Managing injuries and finding suitable replacements will be critical for maintaining their competitive edge.
Betting Trends
- As Favorite: 23-6 (79.3%) over the last 29 games.
- Home Games: 22-8 (73.3%) over the last 30 games.
- After Win: 20-10 (66.7%) over the last 30 games.
- O/U as Underdog: 6-2 (75.0%) over the last 8 games.
- ATS After Win: 18-12 (60.0%) over the last 30 games.
Oklahoma State’s betting trends reveal strength when playing as favorites and at home. However, they have shown mixed results as underdogs. These insights provide a valuable perspective for those analyzing the betting landscape for upcoming games.
Baylor Bears Ready for Another Road Challenge
Offensive Overview
The Baylor Bears have shown a potent offensive display so far in the 2025 season, ranking 4th in passing yards with 1354 yards. They have also accumulated 138 points, placing them 25th in scoring. However, their rushing game ranks 79th with 555 yards, suggesting room for improvement on the ground.
Defensive Performance
Defensively, the Bears have allowed 117 points, placing them 84th. Despite this, their pass rush has been effective, with six sacks, ranking 12th. Additionally, they have been strong in creating turnovers with four interceptions and one fumble recovery, both ranking 5th.
Key Players to Watch
Quarterback Sawyer Robertson has been a standout performer, ranking 1st in passing yards among his team with 1320 yards and 13 touchdowns. On the ground, Bryson Washington has rushed for 415 yards, ranking 1st on the team. Josh Cameron leads the receiving corps with 21 receptions for 309 yards.
On the defensive side, the Bears will miss linebacker Phoenix Jackson and safety Devin Turner for the remainder of the season. Defensive lineman Cooper Lanz remains questionable for the upcoming game.
Recent Game Performance
The Bears are coming off a narrow 27-24 loss to the Arizona State Sun Devils. In this game, Baylor struggled to stop the run, allowing 180 rushing yards. They also turned the ball over three times, including two fumbles and an interception.
Injury Impact
Baylor’s injury list is extensive, with several key players sidelined, including Phoenix Jackson and Devin Turner. This could impact their defensive depth and performance moving forward. The health of players like Cooper Lanz and Carl Williams IV will be pivotal for their defensive success.
Upcoming Game Details
The Bears are set to play against the Oklahoma State Cowboys on September 27, 2025, at Boone Pickens Stadium. Baylor is favored by 20.5 points, with the total set at 58.5. This away game will be crucial for Baylor to rebound from their recent loss.
Baylor Bears Betting Trends
- O/U – As Underdog: Last 6 Games (2024–2025) → 5-0-1 (83.3%)
- O/U – Away Games: Last 16 Games (2022–2025) → 13-3 (81.2%)
- SU – Away Games: Last 4 Games (2024–2025) → 4-0 (100.0%)
- ATS – Away Games: Last 4 Games (2024–2025) → 4-0 (100.0%)
- O/U – After Loss: Last 4 Games (2024–2025) → 4-0 (100.0%)
- SU – As Favorite: Last 27 Games (2020–2025) → 19-8 (70.4%)
- SU – All Games: Last 10 Games (2024–2025) → 8-2 (80.0%)
- SU – Totals ≥ 50: Last 10 Games (2024–2025) → 8-2 (80.0%)
- O/U – All Games: Last 13 Games (2024–2025) → 9-3-1 (69.2%)
- ATS – Totals ≥ 50: Last 14 Games (2023–2025) → 10-4 (71.4%)
Oklahoma State vs Baylor Prediction: Over 58.5
The upcoming game between Oklahoma State and Baylor is expected to see a lot of offensive action. Baylor’s offense ranks 4th in passing yards and has scored 138 points this season, indicating their potential to put up points against Oklahoma State’s defense. Additionally, Oklahoma State’s defense is ranked 65th in points against, suggesting that they might struggle to contain Baylor’s potent offense.
Historically, games between these two teams have often surpassed the set totals. The last meeting saw a total of 66 points, and the current line is set at 58.5, a mark that could be exceeded given both teams’ offensive capabilities. Oklahoma State’s recent trend of going over in games as an underdog further supports the expectation of a high-scoring affair.
While Oklahoma State has had a rough start to the season, they have managed to score in double digits consistently. This consistency, combined with Baylor’s offensive prowess, could lead to a game where both sides contribute significantly to the scoreboard. Oklahoma State’s trend of going over the total in the majority of their recent games as an underdog is another factor to consider.
In conclusion, given the offensive strengths of Baylor and the defensive vulnerabilities of Oklahoma State, the projection leans towards the over 58.5 in this game. Expect a final score where both teams contribute to a high total, with Baylor likely leading the scoring efforts.
- Oklahoma State vs Baylor Prediction: Over 58.5
- Oklahoma State vs Baylor Score: Baylor 38 – Oklahoma State 24
