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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers Prediction & Free Betting Pick | June 16, 2025

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The Indiana Pacers and Oklahoma City Thunder will meet for Game 5 of the NBA Finals. This game will take place at the Paycom Center on Monday, June 16, 2025, at 8:30 PM. Fans can watch the game on ABC.

The Pacers are coming off a loss in Game 4, where they scored 104 points against the Thunder’s 111. Pascal Siakam led the team with 20 points, while Tyrese Haliburton added 18 points and 7 assists. In Game 3, the Pacers won by 9 points, with Bennedict Mathurin scoring 27 points.

The Thunder won Game 4 by 7 points, with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scoring 35 points. Chet Holmgren contributed with 14 points and 15 rebounds. In Game 2, the Thunder secured a 16-point victory, with Gilgeous-Alexander scoring 34 points and 8 assists.

Thunder Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder are led by head coach Mark Daigneault. They are part of the Western Conference and play in the Northwest Division. The team has shown strong performance in the 2025 postseason.

In the 2025 postseason, the Thunder have a record of 14-6. At home, they have won 9 out of 11 games. Their away record stands at 5-4. They are currently on a one-game winning streak.

During the NBA Finals, the Thunder have played four games against the Indiana Pacers. They won Game 4 with a score of 111-104. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 35 points in that game.

The Thunder rank second in points per game with 116.2 in the postseason. Their field goal percentage is 46.2, placing them sixth. They allow 106.9 points per game, which ranks sixth in defense.

Pacers Preview

The Indiana Pacers have had a strong postseason run in 2025. They have a record of 14-6 in the postseason. At home, they have won 7 out of 10 games. Their away record is also 7-3.

In the Eastern Conference First Round, the Pacers finished with a 4-1 record. They were undefeated at home with a 3-0 record. On the road, they split their games, going 1-1.

During the Eastern Conference Semifinals, the Pacers again went 4-1. They won all three away games in this round. At home, they were 1-1. This consistency helped them advance further.

In the Eastern Conference Finals, the Pacers had a 4-2 record. They were 2-1 both at home and away. This performance secured their place in the NBA Finals, where they are currently tied 2-2.

Statistical Breakdown for Thunder vs Pacers

The game between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Indiana Pacers will be shaped by key stats. The Thunder rank second in points per game, while the Pacers are third. The Thunder’s defense allows fewer points per game than the Pacers. The Pacers have the best field goal percentage, which could be a factor. Both teams have similar postseason records, making this game important for both.

  • Thunder Points Per Game: 116.2 (2nd)
  • Pacers Points Per Game: 115.8 (3rd)
  • Thunder Points Allowed Per Game: 106.9 (6th)
  • Pacers Points Allowed Per Game: 113.2 (15th)
  • Pacers Field Goal Percentage: 49.2 (1st)
  • Thunder Field Goal Percentage: 46.2 (6th)
  • Thunder Home Record: 9-2
  • Pacers Away Record: 7-3

Betting Insights

The Indiana Pacers and Oklahoma City Thunder have shown different trends in the 2025 postseason. The Pacers have been strong against the spread, while the Thunder have struggled on the road. Both teams have seen a mix of overs and unders in their games. Here are the top betting trends to consider for this game:

  1. Indiana Pacers have a 12-7 ATS record in the 2025 postseason.
  2. Oklahoma City Thunder are 1-8 ATS on the road in the 2025 postseason.
  3. Indiana Pacers are on a 2-game under streak in the NBA Finals.
  4. Oklahoma City Thunder have a 9-10 ATS record in the 2025 postseason.
  5. Both teams have a 2-game under streak in the NBA Finals.

Free Betting Prediction for Thunder vs Pacers

The Oklahoma City Thunder have been strong at home, winning 9 out of 11 games in the postseason. Their defense ranks sixth, allowing 106.9 points per game. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s scoring ability will be key for the Thunder, especially after his 35-point performance in Game 4.

The Indiana Pacers have a solid away record of 7-3. They have the best field goal percentage in the postseason at 49.2%. This efficiency could help them against the Thunder’s defense. The Pacers’ ability to perform on the road will be important in this game.

Both teams have similar postseason records, making this game crucial. The Thunder’s strong home performance gives them an edge. However, the Pacers’ shooting could keep the game close. The Thunder are favored, but the Pacers’ ability to cover the spread makes them a good option.

  • Our Free Prediction: Pacers +9.5
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