The Bowling Green Falcons are set to visit the Ohio Bobcats in Week 5 of the 2025 regular season. Both teams hold a 2-2 record as they prepare for their conference opener in the Mid-American Conference. The game will take place at Peden Stadium in Athens, Ohio, with a kickoff scheduled for 12:00 PM and will be broadcast on CBSS.
Bowling Green has struggled on the road this season, with a 0-2 record away from Doyt L. Perry Stadium. In their recent outing, they suffered a 40-17 loss to Louisville. Meanwhile, Ohio is undefeated at home, coming off a 52-35 victory against Gardner-Webb.
Despite their identical records, the consensus odds favor Ohio with a moneyline of -397, while Bowling Green stands at +308. The spread is set at -10 for Ohio, suggesting they are expected to control the game. With both teams aiming to secure their first conference win, this matchup is crucial for their season trajectory.
Ohio vs Bowling Green At a Glance
- Game Date: Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 12:00 PM (Afternoon Game)
- Venue: Peden Stadium in Athens, OH
- TV Channel: CBSS
- Bowling Green Falcons Record: 2-2 (0-2 on the road)
- Ohio Bobcats Record: 2-2 (2-0 at home)
- Ohio Moneyline Odds: -397
Ohio Bobcats Prepare for a Showdown
Offensive Overview
The Ohio Bobcats have accumulated a total of 109 points so far this season, placing them at 47th in scoring. Their passing game has contributed 889 yards, ranking them 60th. Meanwhile, their rushing attack has been more effective, gaining 770 yards and ranking 36th.
In their recent victory over Gardner-Webb, the Bobcats demonstrated a balanced offensive approach. They amassed 290 passing yards and an impressive 319 rushing yards. This balance helped them secure a 52-35 victory, despite a competitive game from their opponents.
Defensive Standings
Defensively, the Bobcats have conceded 116 points this season, which ranks them 83rd in points allowed. Despite this, their defensive line has been formidable, recording 6 sacks and ranking 12th. Additionally, they have been effective at forcing turnovers, with 4 interceptions placing them 5th.
Against Gardner-Webb, the Ohio defense struggled at times, allowing 35 points. However, they managed to keep the game under control by forcing one interception and maintaining pressure throughout.
Key Players
Quarterback Parker Navarro has been a standout performer, with 870 passing yards and 6 touchdowns, leading the team’s offensive efforts. Running back Sieh Bangura has also been crucial, rushing for 299 yards and scoring 4 touchdowns. Wide receiver Chase Hendricks has made significant contributions with 456 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns.
The defensive efforts have been bolstered by the performance of players like Ronald Jackson Jr., who, despite his questionable status due to injury, remains a key player in the secondary. His potential absence could impact the Bobcats’ ability to defend against the pass.
Betting Trends
- Ohio has a 90.9% win rate as a favorite in their last 22 games.
- At home, they have won 90.5% of their last 21 games.
- In games with totals of 50 or more, they have an 89.5% win rate in their last 19 games.
- Following a loss, Ohio has been perfect, winning 100% of their last 8 games.
- Overall, they have a 75.0% win rate in their last 28 games.
Bowling Green Falcons Ready to Soar Against Ohio Bobcats
Offensive Performance
The Bowling Green Falcons’ offense has shown a mixed bag of results this season, tallying 86 points which ranks them 63rd nationally. Their passing game has struggled, amassing only 660 yards and placing them 104th. However, their rushing attack is more promising with 610 yards, ranking 64th overall.
Despite these challenges, the Falcons have managed to secure 69 first downs, a respectable 38th in the nation. This indicates their ability to keep drives alive even when yardage gains are hard to come by. Moving forward, they will aim to enhance their passing efficiency to complement their ground game.
Defensive Strengths
The Falcons’ defense has been a beacon of hope, with 10 sacks ranking them 8th nationally, demonstrating their ability to apply pressure on opposing quarterbacks. Additionally, their prowess in creating turnovers is evident with 2 interceptions and 4 fumbles recovered, both ranking in the top three.
While they have allowed 94 points, placing them 64th, their ability to disrupt plays and force turnovers is a crucial aspect of their game plan. With a strategic focus on defensive turnovers, they have the potential to shift momentum in tight contests.
Recent Game Recap
Bowling Green recently faced a tough loss against the Louisville Cardinals, with a final score of 40-17. They struggled to contain Louisville’s passing game, allowing 313 yards through the air. On the bright side, the Falcons outperformed Louisville on the ground with 190 rushing yards compared to 126.
In their prior game, the Falcons secured a 23-13 victory over Liberty, showcasing their ability to capitalize on turnovers with zero interceptions while forcing two. Their balanced offensive effort with 164 rushing yards and 146 passing yards proved effective against Liberty’s defense.
Key Players to Watch
Quarterback Drew Pyne leads the Falcons with 660 passing yards, although improvement in passing touchdowns is needed, with only 3 so far this season. On the ground, Kaderris Roberts has been a steady presence, rushing for 172 yards across four games.
Wide receiver RJ Garcia II has emerged as a reliable target, with 13 receptions and 134 receiving yards. Tight end Jyrin Johnson adds another dimension with 159 receiving yards and a touchdown, providing Pyne with multiple options in the passing game.
Betting Trends
- ATS – As Underdog: 8-0 in last 8 games (2023–2025)
- SU – After Loss: 4-0 in last 4 games (2024–2025)
- O/U – Totals ≤ 42: 4-0 in last 4 games (2023–2024)
- ATS – Away Games: 9-2 in last 11 games (2023–2025)
- ATS – All Games: 3-0 in last 3 games (2025)
Ohio vs Bowling Green Prediction: Over 50.5
The Ohio Bobcats have shown offensive strength this season, ranking 47th in points for with 109 points and an impressive 770 rushing yards, ranking 36th. Their recent 52–35 victory over Gardner-Webb further indicates their ability to score effectively. Bowling Green, on the other hand, has allowed 94 points against them this season, ranking 64th, which could result in a high-scoring game for Ohio.
Bowling Green’s offensive output, although moderate with 86 points, indicates they can find the end zone, especially considering Ohio’s defense has conceded 116 points, ranked 83rd. Ohio’s recent games with totals over 50 have seen the over hit 75% of the time in their last four games. This trend suggests the likelihood of a high-scoring affair.
Additionally, Ohio’s strong track record as a favorite and their home advantage, where they have been successful in scoring heavily, further supports this projection. Given Ohio’s offensive capability and Bowling Green’s defensive struggles, it’s reasonable to expect the total to go over 50.5.
Based on these statistics and recent performances, a projected final score of Ohio 38 – Bowling Green 21 would align with the over bet, surpassing the total of 50.5.
- Ohio vs Bowling Green Prediction: Over 50.5
- Ohio vs Bowling Green Score: Ohio 38 – Bowling Green 21
