In Week 8 of the 2025 college football season, the UTSA Roadrunners will travel to Denton, TX to play against the North Texas Mean Green. The game is scheduled to kick off at 3:30 PM at DATCU Stadium and will be available for viewing on ESPN+. This matchup features two teams from the American Conference, each looking to improve their standing within the conference.
The UTSA Roadrunners come into this game with a 3-3 overall record, showing strength at home with a 2-1 record but have struggled on the road, posting a 1-2 record. They recently had a dominant 61-13 win over Rice Owls, demonstrating their potential for explosive plays. As they face North Texas, they’ll aim to build on their recent success and even their conference record.
Meanwhile, the North Texas Mean Green have had a strong start to their season, holding a 5-1 overall record and a 3-1 record at home. Despite a recent setback with a 63-36 loss to South Florida Bulls, the Mean Green have shown resilience in past games, including a notable 59-10 victory over Washington State Cougars. They’ll look to leverage their home-field advantage and bounce back against UTSA.
North Texas vs UTSA At a Glance
- Game Date: Saturday, October 18, 2025 at 3:30 PM
- Venue: DATCU Stadium in Denton, TX
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- UTSA Roadrunners Record: 3-3 this season
- North Texas Mean Green Record: 5-1 this season
- Game Odds: North Texas is favored with a moneyline of -194
North Texas Mean Green: A Statistical Analysis for Their Upcoming Game
Team Overview
North Texas Mean Green has shown a strong offensive performance this season. They rank 6th in points scored with 260 and have accumulated 1,609 passing yards, placing them 35th. Their rushing game is solid, with 1,010 yards ranking 58th, and their 144 first downs rank 16th.
On the defensive side, North Texas has allowed 163 points, placing them 95th. Their pass rush has been effective with 13 sacks, ranking 13th, while their secondary has secured 7 interceptions, ranking 8th. They also excel in recovering fumbles, ranking 2nd with 7 recoveries.
Recent Performance
North Texas faced a challenging game against South Florida, losing 63-36 despite a strong passing performance with 326 yards. However, their rushing defense was exposed, allowing 308 yards. This could be a focal point for improvement in upcoming games.
The Mean Green bounced back against South Alabama with a 36-22 victory, showing a balanced offensive attack. They accumulated 234 passing yards and 201 rushing yards, demonstrating their ability to adapt and execute efficiently.
Key Players
Quarterback Drew Mestemaker has been pivotal, leading the team with 1,573 passing yards and 13 touchdowns. Running back Caleb Hawkins contributes significantly to the rushing attack with 356 yards and 7 touchdowns. Wyatt Young leads the receiving corps with 294 yards and 3 touchdowns.
Defensively, the team is driven by its strong pass rush and secondary, with a focus on creating turnovers. Their ability to recover fumbles and intercept passes has kept them competitive, even in high-scoring games.
Upcoming Game and Betting Trends
- SU – As Favorite: 23-3 in the last 26 games (88.5%).
- O/U – Away Games: 7-1 in the last 8 games (87.5%).
- SU – Away Games: 3-0 in the last 3 games (100.0%).
- O/U – After Win: 16-6 in the last 22 games (72.7%).
- SU – All Games: 6-1 in the last 7 games (85.7%).
Looking ahead, North Texas is favored by 4.5 points in their upcoming game at home. Their ability to cover as a favorite and maintain a strong straight-up record should give them confidence. They will need to shore up their rushing defense to ensure success in the next outing.
UTSA Roadrunners Set to Navigate Past the Mean Green
Offensive Overview
The UTSA Roadrunners have shown a solid offensive performance this season with 207 points scored, ranking 34th. Their passing game, led by Owen McCown, has accumulated 1,280 yards, placing them 81st in the nation. Meanwhile, their rushing attack is stronger, with 1,122 yards, ranking 42nd.
Owen McCown has been pivotal, ranking 70th in passing yards nationally, showcasing his ability to lead UTSA’s air assault. Complementing the passing game is running back Robert Henry Jr., who ranks 4th in the nation with 730 rushing yards. Together, McCown and Henry Jr. form a dynamic offensive duo capable of challenging any defense.
Defensive Dynamics
On defense, UTSA has allowed 161 points this season, ranking 93rd. They have been effective in pressuring quarterbacks, with 12 sacks, which ranks them 14th nationally. The Roadrunners’ secondary has also been impressive, securing 4 interceptions, placing them 5th in the rankings.
Despite these strengths, UTSA must address some vulnerabilities, especially in stopping the run. The defense will need to tighten up against North Texas to limit any big plays. Maintaining their turnover-generating capabilities will be crucial for the Roadrunners to stay competitive.
Recent Game Performances
In their most recent game, the Roadrunners dominated Rice with a commanding 61-13 victory. The offensive line showcased its strength, allowing the team to rack up 246 passing yards and 194 rushing yards. This high-scoring affair highlighted the potential of their offensive unit.
However, they experienced a setback against Temple with a 27-21 loss, where they struggled to establish their running game, managing only 70 rushing yards. The Roadrunners will need to adjust their strategy to ensure a balanced offensive output against North Texas.
Injury Concerns
UTSA faces several injury concerns, particularly with key players on the offensive line, including Jaylen Garth and Venly Tatafu, both listed as questionable. Camron Cooper’s absence for the rest of the season is a significant blow to their defense. These injuries might impact their game plan, requiring adjustments to their lineup.
Betting Trends
- SU – Home Games: 27-3 (90.0%) in the last 30 games
- O/U – Home Games: 7-0 in the last 7 games
- O/U – After Loss: 7-0 in the last 7 games
- ATS – As Underdog: 3-0 in the last 3 games
- SU – Away Games: 15-13 in the last 28 games
North Texas vs UTSA Prediction: North Texas -4.5
The North Texas Mean Green are coming off a tough loss to South Florida but have proven their mettle at home with a solid 3-1 record. Their offense, ranked 6th in the nation with 260 points, should exploit UTSA’s defense, which ranks 93rd in points against. North Texas has an impressive ATS record of 3-1 in their last four home games this season, signaling their capability to cover the spread.
UTSA has struggled on the road, holding a 1-2 record, which doesn’t bode well against a North Texas team that thrives at home. While UTSA’s defense has been effective in creating turnovers, the Mean Green’s offensive firepower should be able to overcome that challenge. Given these dynamics, backing North Texas to cover the -4.5 spread appears a solid bet.
Historically, UTSA has had the upper hand in this matchup, winning the last several meetings. However, North Texas’s current form and home advantage suggest a shift in momentum. Expect North Texas to capitalize on their offensive edge and secure a victory.
With the Mean Green’s offensive unit firing on all cylinders, a high-scoring contest is likely. North Texas should manage to pull away in the second half, projecting a final score of North Texas 42 – UTSA 31.
- North Texas vs UTSA Prediction: North Texas -4.5
- North Texas vs UTSA Score: North Texas 42 – UTSA 31
