MLB Game Prediction

New York Mets vs San Diego Padres Prediction & Betting Tips for 9/18/2025

Want our best New York Mets vs San Diego Padres prediction for 9/18/25? Get our MLB betting tip as the Padres travel to the Mets on 9/18/25 at Citi Field, in New York. Knup Sports has your free pick!

The San Diego Padres, currently holding a solid 83-69 record, are set to take on the New York Mets at Citi Field. With a recent victory against the Mets, the Padres will be looking to extend their momentum. Managed by Mike Schildt, the Padres are second in the NL West division and have been performing well with a 6-4 record in their last ten games.

On the other side, the New York Mets come into this game with a record of 78-74 and are looking to bounce back after a loss to the Padres. Despite their recent struggles, going 2-8 in their last ten, the Mets have a strong home record and will aim to leverage that advantage. Carlos Mendoza will be guiding the Mets as they attempt to regain their form.

The game will be played at Citi Field, an outdoor venue, where weather conditions are expected to be mild with overcast clouds and a light breeze. As both teams battle for playoff positioning, the betting odds indicate a close contest with the Mets slightly favored. Catch the action live on SNY at 1:10 PM on September 18, 2025.

Mets vs Padres At a Glance

  • Game Date and Time: Thursday, September 18, 2025 at 1:10 PM (Afternoon Game)
  • Stadium: Citi Field in New York, NY — Outdoor Field
  • Weather Forecast: Mild day with a light breeze, overcast clouds expected
  • TV Channel: SNY
  • Padres Recent Performance: Coming off a 7-4 win against the Mets
  • Game Odds: Padres Moneyline +113, Mets Moneyline -133

Mets Look to Rebound Against Padres in Crucial Game

San Diego Padres: Team Overview

The San Diego Padres have had an impressive power display this season with 211 home runs, placing them third in the league. Their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities is also highlighted by their fourth-ranked on-base percentage of .326.

Despite their success in hitting, the Padres’ pitching staff has had challenges, as evidenced by their 16th-ranked ERA of 4.04. They have allowed 140 home runs, which is the second most in the league, indicating vulnerability in their pitching lineup.

Key Players to Watch

Randy Vásquez will be starting on the mound for the Padres. With an ERA of 3.72 and a WHIP of 1.35, Vásquez has been a steady presence for the team, holding a 5-6 record this season.

Juan Soto remains a key offensive threat, having matched his career-high with 41 home runs this season. His ability to change the dynamics of the game with a single swing makes him a focal point for any opposing pitcher.

Team Strengths and Weaknesses

The Padres excel in their offensive game, not just with home runs but also with doubles, ranking 11th in the league with 247. This versatility in hitting allows them to pressure opposing pitchers in various ways.

However, their pitching staff’s tendency to give up the long ball could be a critical weakness. With 140 home runs allowed, keeping the Mets’ power hitters in check will be crucial for their success in the upcoming game.

Betting Trends for San Diego Padres

  • Padres’ recent games have shown a mixed bag of results with a record of 2-8 in their last 10.
  • Their strength lies in being underdogs, where they have a better win percentage compared to when favored.
  • Day games have been less favorable for the Padres, with a lower win percentage than night games.
  • At home, the Padres have struggled slightly more compared to their performance on the road.

Padres Poised for Battle: San Diego’s Game Against the Mets

New York Mets Overview

The New York Mets enter this contest with mixed results in their recent games. Their overall performance has been inconsistent, reflected in their record over the past ten games. The Mets are looking to capitalize on their home advantage at Citi Field.

Despite some struggles, the Mets’ lineup includes several key players capable of shifting the game’s momentum. The team will rely on their batting order to spark offensive production. Consistency at the plate remains critical for their success.

Key Players to Watch

Jonah Tong is set to start for the Mets, bringing an 8.49 ERA and a WHIP of 1.71 into the game. Despite his struggles this season, his ability to find form will be crucial against the Padres’ lineup.

The Mets will also look to their experienced players to step up. Their veteran presence and leadership on the field could make a difference in tight situations. Offensively, the Mets need to produce timely hits to support their pitching staff.

Mets’ Batting Performance

The Mets have shown flashes of offensive potential, but consistency has been elusive. Their lineup includes power hitters capable of changing the game with one swing. They will need to avoid striking out and capitalize on scoring opportunities.

Generating runs early in the game could put pressure on the Padres’ pitching staff. The Mets’ ability to execute small ball tactics, such as bunting and stealing bases, could also play a pivotal role in their strategy.

Team Betting Trends

  • Against the spread, the Mets have been inconsistent, with a 1-2 record in the last three games.
  • In terms of total runs, the Mets have favored the over in recent matchups, indicating a high-scoring trend.
  • At home, the Mets have shown resilience, with a record that suggests they are more competitive in front of their fans.

Mets vs Padres Prediction: Over 9.0

The San Diego Padres are on a good run with a record of 6-4 in their last 10 games. They’ve demonstrated offensive power, as seen in their recent 7-4 victory over the Mets. With a division race heating up, the Padres will look to keep their offensive momentum against a shaky Mets pitching staff.

The New York Mets, despite a recent streak of poor results, are still in contention for a playoff spot. They have shown flashes of offensive prowess, scoring eight runs in their last win against the Padres. With Jonah Tong’s ERA at 8.49, the Mets’ defense is prone to giving up runs, which could lead to a high-scoring game.

Given the Mets’ recent form and their pitching struggles, along with the Padres’ ability to score, there is a strong potential for a high-scoring game. The over/under set at 9.0 reflects the expectation for a considerable amount of scoring from both teams.

With the weather conditions favorable for hitters and both teams having the capability to score runs, the total should go over the set mark of 9.0 runs. Expect a competitive game with both offenses getting ample opportunities to put runs on the board.

  • Mets vs Padres Prediction: Over 9.0
  • Mets vs Padres Score: Padres 7 – Mets 5
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