Game Previews

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat Prediction & Free Betting Pick | April 11, 2025

The Miami Heat will play against the New Orleans Pelicans at the Smoothie King Center. The game is set for Friday, April 11, 2025, at 8:00 PM. Fans can expect an exciting evening of basketball.

The Miami Heat have had mixed results in their recent games. They lost to the Chicago Bulls by 8 points, scoring 111. Before that, they won against the Philadelphia 76ers by 12 points. In another game, they lost to the Milwaukee Bucks by 6 points.

The New Orleans Pelicans have struggled in their recent games. They lost to the Milwaukee Bucks by 25 points. They also faced a close loss to the Brooklyn Nets by 5 points. Earlier, they lost to the Bucks again by 4 points.

Pelicans Preview

The New Orleans Pelicans have had a challenging season. They hold a record of 21-59. At home, they have won 14 games and lost 25. Their performance on the road has been tougher, with only 7 wins and 34 losses.

In their last 10 games, the Pelicans have won 2 and lost 8. They are ranked 14th in the Western Conference. In the Southwest Division, they are in 5th place. The team is 45 games back from the top spot.

The Pelicans’ recent games show some struggles. Against the Milwaukee Bucks, they lost by 25 points. In another game against the Brooklyn Nets, they lost by 5 points. Their game against the Bucks at home ended with a 4-point loss.

Key players have contributed throughout the season. CJ McCollum leads the team with 21.1 points per game. Trey Murphy III follows closely with 21.2 points per game. Zion Williamson adds 24.6 points per game. Yves Missi leads in rebounds with 8.2 per game.

Heat Preview

The Miami Heat have a record of 36 wins and 44 losses. They are ranked 10th in the Eastern Conference. Their home record stands at 19 wins and 21 losses. In their last 10 games, they have won 7 and lost 3.

In a recent home game against the Philadelphia 76ers, the Heat won by 12 points. Kel’el Ware had a strong performance with 19 points and 17 rebounds. Davion Mitchell contributed with 12 points and 9 assists.

Tyler Herro is the leading scorer for the Heat, averaging 23.9 points per game. He also averages 5.5 assists and 5.2 rebounds per game. Bam Adebayo is another key player, averaging 18 points and 9.6 rebounds per game.

The Heat allow 110 points per game, which ranks them 7th in the league for points allowed. They are first in the league for blocked shots per game with 3.8. Their field goal percentage allowed is 46.6%, ranking them 13th in the league.

Statistical Breakdown for Pelicans vs Heat

The game between the New Orleans Pelicans and the Miami Heat will be shaped by several key stats. The Pelicans struggle defensively, allowing 118.9 points per game, which ranks them 26th. On the other hand, the Heat allow only 110 points per game, ranking 7th. The Heat’s strong defense, especially in blocked shots, could be a deciding factor. The Pelicans’ ability to grab offensive rebounds might give them extra chances to score.

  • Pelicans Points Per Game: 110.0 (24th)
  • Heat Points Per Game: 110.0 (25th)
  • Pelicans Points Per Game Allowed: 118.9 (26th)
  • Heat Points Per Game Allowed: 110.0 (7th)
  • Pelicans Offensive Rebounds Per Game: 12.1 (7th)
  • Heat Blocked Shots Per Game: 3.8 (1st)
  • Pelicans Field Goal Percentage: 45.4 (24th)
  • Heat Field Goal Percentage: 46.3 (18th)

Betting Insights

The Miami Heat and New Orleans Pelicans have similar ATS records this season. The Heat have a slight edge at home, while the Pelicans perform better as underdogs. Both teams have been hitting the over recently. Here are the top betting trends for this game:

  1. Miami Heat have a 16-14-1 ATS record at home.
  2. New Orleans Pelicans have a 17-11-1 ATS record at home.
  3. Miami Heat are on a 3-game over streak.
  4. New Orleans Pelicans are on a 2-game over streak.
  5. Miami Heat’s average combined score is 220.05, slightly above their average over/under line of 218.92.

Free Betting Prediction for Pelicans vs Heat

The Miami Heat have a strong defense, allowing only 110 points per game. This ranks them 7th in the league. The New Orleans Pelicans, on the other hand, allow 118.9 points per game, ranking them 26th. The Heat’s defensive strength, especially in blocked shots, could limit the Pelicans’ scoring opportunities.

Offensively, both teams score around 110 points per game. The Pelicans have key players like Zion Williamson and CJ McCollum who can score. However, the Heat’s defense might make it difficult for them to reach their average. The Heat’s Tyler Herro and Bam Adebayo will be crucial in maintaining their scoring pace.

Considering the Heat’s recent form and defensive capabilities, they are likely to win this game. The Pelicans have struggled recently, especially against strong teams. The Heat’s home advantage and better record in recent games give them the edge.

  • Our Free Prediction: Heat -13.5
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