In Week 9 of the 2025 College Football season, the Utah State Aggies travel to face the New Mexico Lobos. The game will be held at University Stadium in Albuquerque, NM, kicking off at 3:00 PM local time. Fans can catch the action live on MWN. Both teams enter this contest with identical 4-3 records, making this Mountain West conference game a pivotal one for both programs. Utah State has struggled on the road, holding a 0-3 record away from Logan, whereas New Mexico has been strong at home with a 3-0 record. This dynamic could play a significant role in the outcome of the game. Looking at recent performances, the Aggies are coming off a narrow 30-25 victory over San Jose State. Meanwhile, the Lobos secured a tight 24-22 win against Nevada. With both teams eager to improve their standing in the conference, expect a competitive game on Saturday afternoon.
New Mexico vs Utah State At a Glance
- Game Venue: University Stadium in Albuquerque, NM
- Broadcast: Live on MWN
- Game Odds: Utah State Aggies +109, New Mexico Lobos -131
- Spread: Utah State Aggies +2.5 (-110), New Mexico Lobos -2.5 (-110)
- Current Records: Both teams are 4-3 this season
- Game Date & Time: Saturday, October 25, 2025, at 3:00 PM
New Mexico Lobos Ready for Another Test in College Football
Offensive Overview
The New Mexico Lobos offense has been relatively balanced this season, ranking 74th in passing yards with 1532 and 70th in rushing yards with 1039. This balance has contributed to their 199 points scored, placing them 47th in the nation.
Despite a decrease in overall points scored compared to last season, the Lobos have shown resilience in securing critical first downs, ranking 31st with 149. This efficiency is crucial as they look to capitalize on scoring opportunities.
Defensive Performance
The Lobos defense has had its challenges, allowing 184 points, which places them at 100th nationally. However, their pass rush has been effective, with 16 sacks, positioning them 13th in the rankings.
The secondary has also been a strong suit, managing three interceptions, ranked 4th. Their ability to disrupt opposing offenses will be key in future games.
Recent Game Recaps
In their recent 24-22 victory over Nevada, New Mexico demonstrated their ability to control the ground game with 213 rushing yards. They also managed to secure more first downs than their opponents, with a total of 22.
However, their road game against Boise State highlighted areas for improvement, particularly in run defense, as they allowed 163 rushing yards. Despite a strong passing game against San Jose State, they were unable to secure a win, losing 35-28.
Player Spotlight
Quarterback Jack Layne has been a focal point for the Lobos, leading with 1415 passing yards and 8 touchdowns. His ability to manage the offense will be essential in the coming games.
On the ground, Scottre Humphrey has contributed with 339 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns, adding depth to their offensive strategy. Wide receiver Keagan Johnson leads with 390 receiving yards, providing a reliable target for Layne.
Injury Concerns
The Lobos have been dealing with several injuries, including key players like Michael Buckley, who is questionable. The status of these players could impact their performance in upcoming games.
Defensive backs Abraham Williams and Jayden Sheridan are notable mentions, with Sheridan out for the season. Their absence could challenge the Lobos’ defensive stability.
Team Betting Trends
- SU – Home Games: 4-0 in the last 4 home games (2024–2025)
- O/U – All Games: 20-8 over the last 28 games (2023–2025)
- O/U – As Underdog: 20-8 over the last 28 games (2022–2025)
- O/U – After Win: 9-2 over the last 11 games (2023–2025)
- O/U – Home Games: 13-4 over the last 17 games (2022–2025)
- SU – As Favorite: 3-0 in the last 3 games (2025)
- O/U – Totals ≥ 50: 3-0 in the last 3 games (2025)
Utah State Aggies: Ready for Another Showdown on the Road
Offensive Insights
The Utah State Aggies have demonstrated a balanced offensive attack this season, ranking 26th in points for with 238 points. Their passing game is a significant contributor, with 1,859 passing yards positioning them 35th in the nation. Additionally, their ground game has been solid, amassing 1,145 rushing yards and ranking 56th.
The Aggies’ ability to move the chains is evident as they have secured 145 first downs, placing them 35th overall. This offensive versatility makes them a threat to defenses on both the ground and through the air.
Defensive Overview
On the defensive side, Utah State has faced challenges, allowing 221 points, ranking them 120th in points against. However, their pass rush and turnover creation have been bright spots. The Aggies have recorded 16 sacks, placing them 13th, and have secured six interceptions, ranking them 7th nationally.
Despite their struggles in preventing points, the Aggies have been effective at forcing fumbles, recovering two, which ranks 8th. Their ability to create turnovers and pressure quarterbacks is a critical aspect of their defensive strategy.
Recent Performance
Utah State’s recent games have been a mixed bag, highlighted by a 30-25 victory over San Jose State. However, they suffered setbacks against Hawaii and Vanderbilt, conceding 44-26 and 55-35, respectively. The Aggies’ ability to bounce back with strong performances after losses will be crucial moving forward.
Victories against McNeese State and Air Force showcased their offensive firepower, scoring 48 and 49 points. These wins highlight the Aggies’ potential when both their offense and defense perform in harmony.
Key Players
Quarterback Bryson Barnes has been a standout performer, throwing for 1,644 yards and 13 touchdowns. His leadership under center has been pivotal in the Aggies’ offensive success. Running back Miles Davis contributes significantly on the ground with 466 rushing yards.
Wide receiver Braden Pegan leads the receiving corps with 546 yards and four touchdowns, providing Barnes with a reliable target. These key players’ contributions will be essential as Utah State continues their season.
Betting Trends
- O/U – As Underdog: Last 10 Games (2024–2025) → 10-0 (100.0%)
- SU – As Favorite: Last 25 Games (2021–2025) → 21-4 (84.0%)
- SU – Home Games: Last 6 Games (2024–2025) → 6-0 (100.0%)
- ATS – Home Games: Last 6 Games (2024–2025) → 6-0 (100.0%)
- ATS – All Games: Last 10 Games (2024–2025) → 9-1 (90.0%)
- ATS – Totals ≥ 50: Last 10 Games (2024–2025) → 9-1 (90.0%)
- ATS – As Underdog: Last 5 Games (2024–2025) → 5-0 (100.0%)
- O/U – Away Games: Last 5 Games (2024–2025) → 5-0 (100.0%)
- ATS – After Win: Last 5 Games (2024–2025) → 5-0 (100.0%)
- O/U – All Games: Last 17 Games (2024–2025) → 13-4 (76.5%)
New Mexico vs Utah State Prediction: Over 61.5
New Mexico and Utah State come into this game with identical records of 4-3. Both teams have shown the ability to score, with Utah State’s offense ranking 26th nationally in points for and New Mexico’s offense ranking 47th. The total points scored by both teams this season suggest a high-scoring game could unfold.
New Mexico’s recent trends support the over, as they have hit the over in 20 out of their last 28 games. Additionally, after a win, New Mexico has seen nine of their last 11 games go over. Playing at home, New Mexico has hit the over in 13 of their last 17 games, further indicating potential for high scoring.
Utah State’s defense struggles, ranking 120th in points allowed this season, which could open the door for New Mexico to score significantly. Their ability to give up points, coupled with their own strong offensive output, suggests they can contribute to a high-scoring affair.
Given both teams’ offensive capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities, especially Utah State’s, the pick is on the over. A projected final score would be New Mexico 35 – Utah State 30, surpassing the over/under line of 61.5.
- New Mexico vs Utah State Prediction: Over 61.5
- New Mexico vs Utah State Score: New Mexico 35 – Utah State 30
