In Week 9 of the 2025 College Football season, the Missouri State Bears will play against the New Mexico State Aggies at Aggie Memorial Stadium in Las Cruces, NM. Both teams enter this game with identical records of 3-3. Fans can catch the action live on CBSS at 9:00 PM on Wednesday, October 22, 2025.
The Missouri State Bears have demonstrated strength on the road this season, holding a 2-1 record away from home. Their most recent victory came against the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders, where they edged out a 22-20 win. The Bears currently have a conference record of 1-1 in Conference USA.
The New Mexico State Aggies, on the other hand, have been invincible at home with a perfect 3-0 record at Aggie Memorial Stadium. However, their last outing resulted in a narrow 30-27 loss to the Liberty Flames. The Aggies hold a conference record of 1-2 and will look to defend their home turf under the lights.
New Mexico State vs Missouri State At a Glance
- Game Time: Wednesday, October 22, 2025 at 9:00 PM
- Venue: Aggie Memorial Stadium in Las Cruces, NM
- TV Broadcast: CBSS
- Missouri State Bears Record: 3-3 overall, 2-1 on the road
- New Mexico State Aggies Record: 3-3 overall, 3-0 at home
- Game Odds: Missouri State -122, New Mexico State +102
New Mexico State Aggies: A Deep Dive Into Their Season Performance
Offensive Overview
The New Mexico State Aggies have put up 138 points this season, ranking 78th nationally. Their passing game has shown promise, with 1,546 yards placing them 71st. However, their rushing attack has been less effective, managing only 405 yards, placing them 127th in the nation.
The Aggies have struggled to convert offensive opportunities into first downs, achieving 109 first downs which ranks them 63rd. This suggests a reliance on their aerial attack to advance the ball.
Defensive Insights
On the defensive side, New Mexico State has allowed 144 points, ranking 73rd. Their pass rush has been effective with 9 sacks, earning them a 20th-place ranking.
Their secondary has been a strong point, with 7 interceptions, placing them 8th nationally. Additionally, their ability to recover fumbles, with 5 recovered, ranks them 5th, highlighting their opportunistic defense.
Recent Game Performance
In their recent game against Liberty Flames, the Aggies narrowly lost 30-27. Despite the loss, they managed to achieve 23 first downs compared to Liberty’s 19.
Their passing game was on display with 242 yards, but ball security was an issue with 2 fumbles. The Aggies did not throw any interceptions, demonstrating discipline in their passing game.
Top Performers
Quarterback Logan Fife has been a standout, ranking 58th with 1,512 passing yards. His 8 touchdown passes rank 84th, showcasing his ability to find the end zone.
Running back Kadarius Calloway has contributed with 242 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns. Wide receiver Donovan Faupel has been a reliable target with 26 receptions for 363 yards.
Upcoming Challenges
The Aggies will soon host the Missouri State Bears at Aggie Memorial Stadium. This game presents a chance to improve their home record and offensive consistency.
Following that, they will face Western Kentucky Hilltoppers away, requiring a strong defensive performance to limit the opposition’s scoring opportunities.
Injury Concerns
The Aggies are dealing with significant injuries, with key players like Ma’Kyi Lee and Dakerric Hobbs out for the season. These absences could impact their depth and overall performance.
Reeves Baller and Tyler Martinez remain questionable, and their availability could be pivotal in upcoming games. Managing these injuries will be critical for the Aggies’ success.
Team Betting Trends
- As Favorite: 13-3 SU (81.2%) over the last 16 games.
- O/U in Away Games: 4-0 in the last 4 games.
- Home Games: 3-0 SU in 2025.
- ATS in Home Games: 13-5 over the last 18 games.
- O/U as Underdog: 11-4-1 over the last 16 games.
Missouri State Bears: A Closer Look at Their 2025 Season Performance
Team Offense Overview
The Missouri State Bears’ offense has recorded 130 points, placing them 85th in the rankings for the 2025 season. They have accumulated 1587 passing yards, which ranks them 65th, showcasing a significant improvement compared to the previous season. However, their rushing game struggles at 639 yards, earning them a 122nd rank.
First downs are another area where the Bears have shown improvement with 110 first downs, putting them in the 62nd position. Their offensive progress is evident when comparing to last season’s performance, where they ranked 115th in points scored.
Defensive Strengths
Defensively, Missouri State has allowed 178 points, standing at 96th in the nation. However, their ability to pressure the quarterback has been effective, as evidenced by their 9 sacks, ranking them 20th. The Bears’ defense is particularly strong in creating turnovers with 3 interceptions and 5 fumbles recovered, both of which rank them in the top 5 nationally.
These defensive statistics suggest a robust unit capable of influencing the game by disrupting the opponent’s offense. Their ability to force turnovers can be a critical factor in close games, as demonstrated by their recent win over Middle Tennessee.
Quarterback Performance
Jacob Clark has been the standout performer at quarterback for Missouri State, with 1195 passing yards and 8 touchdowns over 5 games. His performance has been a crucial element for the Bears, despite facing a knee injury that currently lists him as questionable. Deuce Bailey has also contributed with 335 passing yards and 2 touchdowns in 3 games.
Clark’s efficiency will be key if he is available for the upcoming game, as his ability to manage the game and make crucial plays has been a significant advantage for Missouri State this season.
Key Skill Players
Shomari Lawrence leads the Bears’ rushing attack with 349 yards and 2 touchdowns, placing him 140th in the league. In the receiving department, Dash Luke has been the primary target with 24 receptions for 335 yards and 2 touchdowns. These players have been instrumental in executing the offensive strategy for Missouri State.
The balance between the passing and rushing game, supported by these key players, has been vital for the Bears’ offensive success. Their contributions will be essential in maintaining the offensive momentum against future opponents.
Recent Game Performances
Missouri State has had a mixed set of results in their recent games. They secured a narrow 22-20 victory over Middle Tennessee, showcasing their ability to win tight contests. However, they also suffered a close 27-22 defeat against Western Kentucky at home.
These recent games illustrate the Bears’ capability to compete in closely contested games, highlighting their resilience and ability to perform under pressure.
Upcoming Challenges
The Bears are set to play away at New Mexico State, where they are slight favorites by -1.5 points. The total for the game is set at 51.5, indicating expectations for a competitive encounter. This game will be an opportunity for Missouri State to continue building on their positive trends and address areas requiring improvement.
Team Betting Trends
- SU – After Loss: 3-0 in the last 3 games (100.0%)
- O/U – Away Games: 4-2 in the last 6 games (66.7%)
- ATS – As Underdog: 5-3 in the last 8 games (62.5%)
- ATS – After Loss: 5-3 in the last 8 games (62.5%)
- ATS – All Games: 6-4 in the last 10 games (60.0%)
- ATS – Totals ≥ 50: 6-4 in the last 10 games (60.0%)
New Mexico State vs Missouri State Prediction: New Mexico State +1.5
The New Mexico State Aggies are strong on their home turf, maintaining a 3-0 record this season at Aggie Memorial Stadium. Their ability to perform well in front of a home crowd is further supported by a 72.2% success rate against the spread in their last 18 home games. As a 1.5-point underdog, the Aggies have a favorable chance to not only cover the spread but potentially secure a win.
Missouri State, while having a decent road record of 2-1, has shown vulnerability in its defensive ranks, ranking 96th in points against. With New Mexico State’s offense marginally outperforming Missouri State, scoring 138 points compared to 130, the Aggies could exploit these defensive weaknesses. Their previous game against Liberty, where they narrowly lost 27-30, suggests they can hold their ground against competitive teams.
Missouri State’s passing game might challenge the Aggies with their 65th-ranked passing yards, but New Mexico State’s home advantage and their historical performance against the spread as underdogs make them a compelling pick. Additionally, New Mexico State has gone 6-2 against the spread as underdogs in their last eight games, reinforcing the potential for covering this week.
Given these insights, and the Aggies’ historical strength as an underdog, New Mexico State +1.5 stands out as the optimal choice. A projected final score would favor New Mexico State, 28-24, providing a favorable outcome for those backing the Aggies in this encounter.
- New Mexico State vs Missouri State Prediction: New Mexico State +1.5
- New Mexico State vs Missouri State Score: New Mexico State 28 – Missouri State 24
