Week 7 of the 2025 regular season brings an intriguing game between the San Diego State Aztecs and the Nevada Wolf Pack. The game will take place at Mackay Stadium in Reno, NV, with a kickoff time of 10:30 PM. Fans can tune in to watch the action on CBSS. San Diego State enters this game with a 4-1 record, having demonstrated strong performances, particularly at home with a perfect 3-0 record. The Aztecs recently secured a convincing 45-24 victory over the Colorado State Rams, showcasing their offensive capabilities. Their road record stands at 1-1, and they’ll be looking to improve that against Nevada. The Nevada Wolf Pack, on the other hand, have faced challenges this season with a 1-4 record. Their recent narrow loss to Fresno State by a score of 20-17 shows they are competitive. Playing at home with a 1-1 record might give them an edge as they aim to halt their losing streak.
Nevada vs San Diego State At a Glance
- Game Location: Mackay Stadium in Reno, NV
- Game Time: Saturday, October 11, 2025, at 10:30 PM
- TV Channel: CBSS
- San Diego State Record: 4-1 overall, 1-0 in the Mountain West Conference
- Nevada Record: 1-4 overall, 0-1 in the Mountain West Conference
- Odds: San Diego State -281, Nevada +227
The Nevada Wolf Pack: A Season of Ups and Downs
Offensive Overview
The Nevada Wolf Pack’s offensive unit has encountered several challenges this season. Ranking 90th in points for, the team has accumulated a total of 77 points. Their passing game struggles are evident, ranking 121st with only 741 yards.
On the brighter side, Nevada has shown strength in their rushing game. They rank 56th with 882 rushing yards, which is a testament to their ground capabilities. Their ability to secure first downs is also notable, ranking 54th with 87 first downs this season.
Defensive Insights
Nevada’s defense has shown resilience in certain areas, particularly in sacks and interceptions. They have managed to secure 13 sacks, placing them 11th in this category. Additionally, their defense ranks 5th with 4 interceptions, indicating a strong secondary.
However, the team has conceded 128 points, placing them at 74th. Their ability to recover fumbles ranks 8th, with one recovery so far this season.
Recent Performances
The Wolf Pack has faced a series of narrow losses, including their recent 20-17 defeat against Fresno State. Despite losing, Nevada showed tenacity, gaining 13 first downs and 129 rushing yards. However, their passing game struggled with only 117 yards and three interceptions.
Earlier, they lost 31-16 to Western Kentucky, where they matched their opponent in first downs with 22 each. Their rushing game was a standout in this game, with 207 yards compared to Western Kentucky’s 146.
Key Players to Watch
Chubba Purdy, leading the quarterbacks, has thrown for 518 yards over five games. Despite challenges, he has shown potential, ranking first on the team for passing yards. Caleb Ramseur leads the running backs with 243 rushing yards, showcasing the team’s strength in ground plays.
On the receiving end, Marcus Bellon has been a key player with 15 receptions and 193 receiving yards. His performance ranks him first in team receptions and yards, making him a crucial target in Nevada’s passing game.
Nevada Betting Trends
- ATS – Away Games: 16-9 (64.0%)
- SU – As Favorite: 14-9 (60.9%)
- O/U – Totals ≥ 50: 16-14 (53.3%)
- ATS – As Underdog: 12-10 (54.5%)
- ATS – After Loss: 12-10 (54.5%)
San Diego State Aztecs: A Road Test Awaits
Offensive Overview
The San Diego State Aztecs’ offensive unit enters this game with a points-for ranking of 57th nationally, having accumulated 140 points this season. Their ground attack stands out, with 876 rushing yards ranked 59th, indicating a balanced offensive approach. However, their passing game remains an area for improvement, ranked 104th with 923 passing yards.
In the recent game against Colorado State, the Aztecs showcased their rushing prowess with 282 yards on the ground, contributing significantly to their 45-24 victory. With players like Lucky Sutton leading the charge, the team can rely on a strong running game to complement their overall offensive strategy.
Defensive Strengths
The Aztecs’ defense has been a key factor in their success, ranking 29th in points allowed with just 63 points against them this season. They have demonstrated an ability to pressure quarterbacks, with 13 sacks placing them 11th in the nation.
The defense also excels in forcing turnovers, with three interceptions ranking 4th and a fumble recovery rank of 8th. This opportunistic approach was evident in their dominant 34-0 win over the California Golden Bears, where they held the opposition scoreless and showcased their defensive capabilities.
Key Players to Watch
Quarterback Jayden Denegal has been a consistent performer, with 896 passing yards and five touchdowns through five games. His ability to manage the game and make key plays will be crucial against the Nevada Wolf Pack.
Running back Lucky Sutton continues to be a standout performer, with 450 rushing yards and five touchdowns, providing a reliable offensive option. Wide receiver Jordan Napier, with 443 receiving yards, offers a dynamic threat in the passing game.
Recent Performance
The Aztecs are riding a wave of momentum, winning their last three games, including a convincing 45-24 victory over Colorado State. Their ability to control both sides of the ball has been a hallmark of their recent success.
Despite a setback against Washington State in Week 2, the Aztecs have rebounded strongly, emphasizing a balanced attack and solid defense. Their recent form suggests they are well-prepared for upcoming challenges.
Betting Trends
- SU – As Favorite: 21-4 (84.0%) in last 25 games
- SU – Totals ≤ 42: 9-1 (90.0%) in last 10 games
- ATS – Totals ≤ 42: 5-0 (100.0%) in last 5 games
- SU – All Games: 3-0 (100.0%) in last 3 games
- ATS – All Games: 3-0 (100.0%) in last 3 games
- O/U – As Underdog: 5-1 (83.3%) in last 6 games
Nevada vs San Diego State Prediction: Under 41.5
San Diego State’s defense has been solid this season, allowing just 63 points across their first five games, ranking 29th in points against. Their offensive production, however, is more modest with 140 points scored, ranking 57th. The Aztecs’ ability to control the pace with their defense and running game favors a lower-scoring outcome.
Nevada, on the other hand, has struggled offensively, putting up only 77 points this season, which places them 90th in points for. Despite their struggles, their defense has shown moments of resilience, giving up 128 points, which is not far off the Aztecs’ total. This suggests a game where both teams might find it difficult to put points on the board.
Historical data also points towards a lower-scoring game. Their last two meetings have both gone under the total with scores of 6-0 and 23-7. Given these trends and their current performances, the under 41.5 appears to be a prudent choice for this contest.
Projecting a final score based on these insights, we might anticipate a scenario where San Diego State prevails with a score of 21-14 over Nevada.
- Nevada vs San Diego State Prediction: Under 41.5
- Nevada vs San Diego State Score: San Diego State 21 – Nevada 14
