The Cincinnati Reds travel to American Family Field to challenge the Milwaukee Brewers in an NL Central showdown. With a record of 82-78, the Reds sit third in their division and are riding a two-game winning streak. Their recent form is impressive with a 7-3 record over the last 10 games.
On the other side, the Brewers have established themselves as the NL Central leaders with a 96-64 record. Despite a .500 performance in their last ten games, Milwaukee’s home record of 51-28 stands out. However, they are coming off a recent 3-1 loss to the Reds at home.
This game promises to be an exciting one, with FOX broadcasting the night game on September 27, 2025, at 7:15 PM. While the weather is expected to be warm with scattered clouds, the retractable roof at American Family Field means the conditions are unlikely to impact play significantly. The Brewers are slightly favored with a moneyline of -151, whereas the Reds are at +127.
Brewers vs Reds At a Glance
- Teams: Cincinnati Reds (82-78) vs Milwaukee Brewers (96-64)
- Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI
- Game Time: Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 7:15 PM
- Broadcast: Available on FOX
- Weather: Warm with scattered clouds and a light breeze
- Odds: Brewers favored with a moneyline of -151, over/under set at 7.5 runs
Brewers Set to Challenge Reds in Crucial Matchup
Reds Offensive Overview
The Cincinnati Reds have been consistent with a solid team batting average of .259, ranking them third in the league. Their on-base percentage stands at an impressive .331, securing the second spot among MLB teams. Despite ranking 17th in home runs with 164, they compensate by being ninth in doubles with 259.
Walks have been a strong point for the Reds, drawing 555 walks, placing them fourth in the league. They are also a threat on the basepaths, with 162 stolen bases, which ranks them second. However, they do have a tendency to strike out, with 1,247 strikeouts ranking them fifth.
Pitching Performance
On the mound, the Reds boast a remarkable 3.61 ERA, the second best in the league. Their pitching staff has held opponents to a batting average of .230, placing them third in that category. They’ve allowed 165 home runs, ranked fifth, indicating some vulnerability in long ball situations.
The Reds have recorded 46 quality starts, ranking 17th, showing some inconsistency among their starters. With 21 blown saves, also ranked third, late-game scenarios have been a challenge. Their pitchers have amassed 1,409 strikeouts, putting them in the fifth position for strikeouts in the league.
Key Players to Watch
Andrew Abbott will be taking the mound for the Reds with a solid 2.80 ERA and a 1.16 WHIP. He has posted a 9-7 record, making him a reliable starter for Cincinnati. His performance will be pivotal against a Brewers lineup looking to make a mark.
Offensively, the Reds will rely on their ability to get on base and cause havoc with their base running. Their mix of power and speed makes them a formidable offensive unit capable of challenging any pitching staff.
Team Betting Trends
- SU Last 3 Games: 1-2 (33.3%)
- SU Last 5 Games: 1-4 (20.0%)
- SU Last 10 Games: 5-5 (50.0%)
- SU All Games: 96-64 (60.0%)
- SU as Favorite: 59-37 (61.5%)
- SU as Underdog: 37-27 (57.8%)
- SU in Night Games: 58-34 (63.0%)
- SU in Day Games: 38-30 (55.9%)
- SU in Home Games: 51-28 (64.6%)
- SU in Away Games: 45-36 (55.6%)
- SU vs Division Opponents: 41-27 (60.3%)
- SU vs League Opponents: 38-24 (61.3%)
- SU in 1-Run Games: 28-20 (58.3%)
- SU After a Win: 60-36 (62.5%)
- SU After a Loss: 36-27 (57.1%)
The Cincinnati Reds Aim to Extend Winning Ways Against Brewers
Team Overview
The Milwaukee Brewers enter this game with a mixed record in recent games. They have found success in some of their outings but have faced challenges maintaining consistency.
Currently, they hold a respectable earned run average (ERA) of 3.86, placing them 11th in the league. The Brewers’ pitching staff has demonstrated their capability, though they have shown vulnerabilities in certain areas.
Pitching Analysis
Milwaukee’s pitching rotation is led by Robert Gasser, who will take the mound with a 6.00 ERA. Gasser’s WHIP stands at 1.00, indicating control issues have been relatively contained despite the high ERA.
The Brewers have recorded 69 quality starts, ranking 4th, highlighting their pitchers’ ability to go deep into games and keep the team in contention. However, they have struggled with blown saves, tallying 22, which also ranks 4th.
Hitting Performance
Offensively, the Brewers have not been the most explosive team, ranking 17th with 164 home runs this season. Their on-base percentage (OBP) of .314 and batting average of .245 both rank 13th.
Milwaukee’s slugging percentage is slightly below average at .391, placing them 17th. This suggests their power hitting has not been a significant strength this season.
Player Spotlight
Gasser, while struggling with his ERA, will be looking to make an impact and secure a win for the Brewers. His WHIP of 1.00 shows he can limit baserunners when on his game.
The Brewers’ hitters need to step up against Cincinnati’s Andrew Abbott, who has been effective with a 2.80 ERA and a 9-7 record. The matchup against Abbott will be crucial for the Brewers’ success.
Defensive Strength
Milwaukee’s defense has been solid, with a batting average against of .233, ranking them 5th in the league. This reflects their ability to limit the opposition’s scoring opportunities effectively.
Despite giving up 188 home runs, the Brewers’ pitching staff has kept their ERA competitive, suggesting they manage damage control well in games.
Team Betting Trends
- Milwaukee Brewers have an overall winning percentage just above 50%.
- The Brewers have been stronger in night games, with a record of 45-54.
- They have maintained a balanced record in away games, showing resilience on the road.
Brewers vs Reds Prediction: Over 7.5
The upcoming game between the Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers features Andrew Abbott and Robert Gasser as the starting pitchers. Abbott, with a solid ERA of 2.80, faces off against Gasser, who has struggled with an ERA of 6.00. Considering Gasser’s performance, the Brewers might struggle to contain the Reds’ offense, potentially leading to a higher-scoring game.
Historically, games between these teams have seen mixed results in terms of scoring. However, the recent trend shows the potential for games to exceed 7.5 runs, especially given the head-to-head record of 5-5 over the last ten games, which included multiple high-scoring affairs. With the Reds pushing for a playoff spot, their motivation could result in a more aggressive offensive performance.
Additionally, the Brewers have a strong home record at 51-28, which could contribute to a competitive atmosphere, pushing both teams to score more. The combination of Gasser’s high ERA and the Brewers’ motivation to finish the season strong makes the over a favorable pick.
Given the stakes and the pitching matchup, the game is projected to end with a final score of Reds 6 – Brewers 4. This exceeds the 7.5 total, supporting the over bet.
- Brewers vs Reds Prediction: Over 7.5
- Brewers vs Reds Score: Reds 6 – Brewers 4
