CFB Game Prediction

Michigan State vs UCLA Prediction & Betting Tips for CFB Week 7 on 10/11/2025

Want our best Michigan State vs UCLA prediction for 10/11/25? Get our College Football betting tip as the UCLA travel to Michigan State in Week 7 on 10/11/25 at Spartan Stadium (MI), in Michigan State. Knup Sports has your free CFB pick!

As we enter Week 7 of the 2025 Regular Season, the UCLA Bruins will travel to East Lansing, MI to play against the Michigan State Spartans. The game will be held at the Spartan Stadium on October 11, 2025, with a scheduled kickoff at 12:00 PM. Fans can tune in to BTN to catch the live action.

The UCLA Bruins have had a challenging season thus far with a record of 1-4. Despite their struggles, they did manage a recent victory against the Penn State Nittany Lions, marking their first win of the season. The Bruins have yet to secure a road win, holding a 0-2 record away from the Rose Bowl.

Michigan State Spartans, on the other hand, stand at 3-2, with an undefeated record at home. Their home ground, Spartan Stadium, has been a fortress where they have secured all their victories this season. The Spartans will be looking to maintain their strong home performance against a UCLA team eager to improve their standing.

Michigan State vs UCLA At a Glance

  • Game Venue: Spartan Stadium in East Lansing, MI
  • Game Day: Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 12:00 PM
  • TV Broadcast: BTN
  • UCLA Season Record: 1-4
  • Michigan State Season Record: 3-2
  • Betting Odds: Michigan State favored by 8.5 points

Michigan State Spartans Gear Up for a Showdown Against the Bruins

Offensive Insights

Michigan State’s offense has shown moderate success in the 2025 season, accumulating 164 points, placing them 41st in the nation. Their passing game has struggled, ranking 90th with 1037 yards, while the rushing attack shares the same rank with 707 yards. Despite these challenges, the team has managed to secure 100 first downs, ranking 43rd.

Quarterback Aidan Chiles leads the offense with 953 passing yards and nine touchdowns over five games. His performance ranks him 85th in the nation for passing yards. Supporting him is Makhi Frazier, the top running back, with 325 rushing yards and two touchdowns.

Defensive Dynamics

On defense, Michigan State has allowed 153 points, ranking 95th. However, their pass rush is formidable, with 11 sacks placing them 13th nationwide. The Spartans also excel at creating turnovers with three interceptions and two fumbles recovered, both ranking among the top ten.

The Spartans’ defense will be tested against UCLA’s offense, which typically employs a balanced attack. Maintaining their strong pass rush and turnover capabilities will be crucial in limiting the Bruins’ scoring opportunities.

Recent Game Performances

In their recent 38-27 loss to Nebraska, Michigan State recorded 17 first downs, surpassing Nebraska’s 15. Despite a solid showing in first downs, their passing and rushing yards were relatively low at 156 and 86, respectively. Turnovers were an issue, with two interceptions thrown.

Previous games saw mixed results, including a 45-31 loss to USC and a 41-24 victory over Youngstown State. Consistency remains a challenge as the Spartans look to find their stride heading into the matchup with UCLA.

Injury Concerns

Injuries have plagued Michigan State, with key players like wide receiver Alante Brown and defensive back Ade Willie listed as questionable. Offensive lineman Luka Vincic and defensive back Caleb Gash are out for the season, adding to the team’s challenges.

The absence of these players could impact both offensive and defensive units, making depth and adaptability vital for the Spartans in upcoming games.

Team Betting Trends

  • SU – As Favorite: Last 20 Games (2021–2025) → 17-3 (85.0%)
  • O/U – As Underdog: Last 6 Games (2024–2025) → 6-0 (100.0%)
  • O/U – After Win: Last 5 Games (2024–2025) → 5-0 (100.0%)
  • O/U – All Games: Last 4 Games (2025) → 4-0 (100.0%)
  • SU – Home Games: Last 3 Games (2025) → 3-0 (100.0%)

UCLA Bruins Seek Victory on the Road Against Michigan State Spartans

Spartans’ Recent Performance

The Michigan State Spartans are gearing up to host the UCLA Bruins at Spartan Stadium. With the Bruins coming off a high-scoring win over Penn State, the Spartans need to be prepared for a robust offensive challenge.

Despite the pressure, Michigan State will rely on their home advantage and tactical adjustments to counter UCLA’s strengths. The Spartans’ performance this season has been solid, and they’ll aim to maintain consistency.

Defensive Strategy

Defensively, the Spartans will need to focus on limiting UCLA’s rushing game, which was a major factor in their recent victory. Michigan State’s defense has been their backbone, often keeping opponents’ scores in check.

However, they must also be wary of UCLA’s aerial attack, as quarterback Nico Iamaleava can exploit defensive lapses. Pressure on the quarterback will be key to Michigan State’s defensive game plan.

Offensive Game Plan

Offensively, the Spartans will need to establish their running game early to control the tempo of the game. Success on the ground can open up opportunities in the passing game, providing a balanced attack.

The Spartans’ quarterback will need to be sharp, ensuring accurate throws and avoiding turnovers. UCLA’s defense, though inconsistent, can capitalize on mistakes, making ball security essential.

Key Players to Watch

For Michigan State, their running backs will play a crucial role in challenging UCLA’s defensive line. A strong performance in the rushing department could tilt the balance in their favor.

Additionally, the Spartans’ wide receivers must be prepared to make impactful plays, stretching the Bruins’ secondary and creating opportunities downfield.

Team Betting Trends

  • SU – Home Games: Last 25 Games → 15-10 (60.0%)
  • ATS – As Favorite: Last 30 Games → 14-16 (46.7%)
  • O/U – After Win: Last 30 Games → 19-11 (63.3%)
  • SU – After Loss: Last 27 Games → 15-12 (55.6%)

Michigan State vs UCLA Prediction: Over 55.0

The upcoming game at Spartan Stadium features Michigan State and UCLA, with a total set at 55.0. Michigan State has shown a tendency to hit the over, as evident in their last four games where they surpassed the total each time. This trend suggests a high-scoring performance is likely.

UCLA’s defensive struggles are apparent, allowing 162 points this season, ranked 101st. With Michigan State’s offense ranked 41st in points scored, the Bruins might face difficulties containing the Spartans’ attack, increasing the likelihood of a high-scoring game.

Michigan State’s home record of 3-0 indicates their offensive efficiency at home, contributing to the potential for a high total. Coupled with UCLA’s road struggles, this matchup presents a favorable opportunity for both teams to capitalize on scoring chances.

Considering both teams’ offensive and defensive statistics, the game is projected to exceed the total of 55.0. The prediction is Michigan State winning 38-24, totaling 62 points.

  • Michigan State vs UCLA Prediction: Over 55.0
  • Michigan State vs UCLA Score: Michigan State 38 – UCLA 24
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