CFB Game Prediction

Miami vs Louisville Prediction & Betting Tips for CFB Week 8 on 10/17/2025

Want our best Miami vs Louisville prediction for 10/17/25? Get our College Football betting tip as the Louisville travel to Miami in Week 8 on 10/17/25 at Hard Rock Stadium, in Miami. Knup Sports has your free CFB pick!

In Week 8 of the 2025 college football regular season, the Louisville Cardinals travel to face the Miami Hurricanes at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL. The game is scheduled for Friday, October 17, 2025, at 7:00 PM and will be broadcast on ESPN. As a night game, the atmosphere is expected to be electric under the lights. The Louisville Cardinals enter this contest with a 4-1 record, including a narrow loss to Virginia 30-27 in their most recent game. Their road performance has been strong, maintaining an unbeaten streak away from home this season. The Cardinals’ offense has shown a robust passing attack, as seen in their previous games. Miami Hurricanes, ranked #2 in both the AP and Coaches Polls, come in with an unblemished 5-0 record. They have demonstrated dominance at home, achieving a 4-0 record at Hard Rock Stadium. In their last game, the Hurricanes edged out Florida State Seminoles 28-22, showcasing their resilience and ability to perform in tight situations.

Miami vs Louisville At a Glance

  • Game Details: Louisville Cardinals take on Miami Hurricanes in Week 8 of the 2025 Regular Season.
  • Location: The game is set at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL.
  • Kickoff Time: Scheduled for Friday, October 17, 2025, at 7:00 PM.
  • Broadcast: Fans can catch the action on ESPN.
  • Weather Forecast: Check local listings closer to game day for updates.
  • Game Odds: Miami is favored with a -13.5 spread, while the total is set at 52.5 points.

Miami Hurricanes Set to Challenge Louisville Cardinals

Offensive Performance

The Miami Hurricanes have been experiencing a notable decline in offensive statistics compared to the previous season. In 2025, they have scored 175 points, placing them 47th overall, which is a stark contrast to their 2nd place finish with 571 points last year.

Their passing game has also taken a hit, ranking 71st with 1321 yards, while their rushing game sits at 90th with 813 yards. The team is striving to regain its offensive dominance from the prior season.

Defensive Strength

Defensively, the Hurricanes have shown marked improvement, allowing only 68 points so far, ranking 29th. They have also been formidable in turnovers, with 5 interceptions and 3 fumbles recovered, both ranked 6th in the nation.

Their pass rush has been effective with 12 sacks, ranking 14th. This defensive resilience will be crucial against the Cardinals.

Quarterback Analysis

Carson Beck leads the Miami offense with 1213 passing yards, ranking 73rd nationally. He has thrown 11 touchdowns, placing him 33rd, yet his 3 interceptions rank him 2nd in the team, highlighting the need for improved decision-making.

Beck’s consistency and ability to limit turnovers will be key in maintaining offensive momentum against a competitive Louisville defense.

Running Backs and Receivers

Mark Fletcher Jr. has been a standout in the backfield with 428 rushing yards, ranking 56th, alongside 5 touchdowns. His contributions are vital to balancing the Hurricanes’ offensive approach.

Among the receivers, Malachi Toney has emerged as a reliable target, boasting 375 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns. Their performance will be instrumental in stretching the field against Louisville.

Betting Trends

  • SU – Home Games: 10-0 (100.0%) in the last 10 games.
  • SU – All Games: 16-2 (88.9%) over the last 18 games.
  • SU – As Favorite: 15-2 (88.2%) in the last 17 games.
  • ATS – All Games: 3-0 (100.0%) in the last 3 games.
  • ATS – As Favorite: 3-0 (100.0%) in the last 3 games.

These trends indicate strong performance both at home and as favorites, showcasing their ability to cover spreads and secure victories. As they prepare to face the Cardinals, maintaining these trends will be vital for continued success.

Louisville Cardinals Gear Up for a Crucial Showdown

Offensive Insights

The Louisville Cardinals’ offensive unit has scored 180 points this season, placing them at the 45th rank nationally. Their passing game has been relatively efficient, amassing 1,445 yards, which ranks them 58th. However, their rushing attack has struggled, ranking 119th with only 579 yards.

Last season, the Cardinals’ offense was more potent, finishing 17th in scoring with 474 points. Their passing and rushing yards also showed more balance and effectiveness, ranking 27th and 31st, respectively. The decline in rushing yards this season could be a significant factor in their overall offensive performance.

Defensive Dynamics

On the defensive side, Louisville has allowed 105 points, positioning them 56th in the rankings. Their pass rush has been impressive, recording 14 sacks to rank 12th, while their secondary has been active with six interceptions, securing the 7th spot.

Comparatively, last season saw the Cardinals giving up more points with a 91st rank in points against. Despite this, their ability to generate turnovers through interceptions and fumbles has shown consistent improvement. This defensive prowess could be pivotal against strong offensive opponents.

Recent Game Performance

In their recent contest against Virginia, Louisville fell short with a 30-27 loss. Despite gaining more first downs and passing yards, turnovers, including three fumbles, hindered their progress.

Their previous outing was a 34-27 victory over Pittsburgh, where they capitalized on three interceptions to secure the win. Such defensive plays might be crucial in upcoming games to offset any offensive shortcomings.

Key Players to Watch

Quarterback Miller Moss has been a standout performer, leading the team with 1,358 passing yards and seven touchdowns. Despite throwing four interceptions, his ability to accumulate passing yards remains vital for the Cardinals.

Wide receiver Chris Bell is also a key offensive weapon, with 502 receiving yards and four touchdowns. His performance will be critical in stretching the field and creating scoring opportunities.

Team Betting Trends

  • SU – As Favorite: Last 27 Games → 22-5 (81.5%)
  • SU – Home Games: Last 23 Games → 19-4 (82.6%)
  • SU – Totals ≥ 50: Last 26 Games → 21-5 (80.8%)
  • SU – All Games: Last 30 Games → 22-8 (73.3%)
  • SU – After Loss: Last 12 Games → 10-2 (83.3%)
  • O/U – Away Games: Last 3 Games → 3-0 (100.0%)
  • SU – After Win: Last 22 Games → 16-6 (72.7%)

Miami vs Louisville Prediction: Miami -13.5

Miami enters this contest with an impressive home record, remaining undefeated in their last ten games at Hard Rock Stadium. Their strong performance as favorites, with a 15-2 record over the last 17 games, reinforces their ability to cover spreads. Given these trends and Miami’s current momentum, backing them to cover the -13.5 spread against Louisville seems a solid choice.

Louisville has demonstrated resilience this season with a 4-1 record, but they face a daunting task against a top-ranked Miami team. The Hurricanes’ defense has been notably effective, ranking 29th in points against, which could stifle Louisville’s offensive production. With Miami’s superior home and favorite records, they are likely to maintain their winning ways.

The Hurricanes’ offense, while not as explosive as last season, still ranks 47th in points for, and their balanced attack should find success against a Louisville defense that ranks 56th in points against. The game is projected to be competitive, but Miami’s robust home-field advantage and defensive prowess could prove too much for Louisville.

Considering Miami’s recent streak of covering the spread in all three of their 2025 games and their superior overall play, they are positioned to extend their home dominance. A projected scoreline of Miami 35, Louisville 17 supports Miami covering the -13.5 spread comfortably.

  • Miami vs Louisville Prediction: Miami -13.5
  • Miami vs Louisville Score: Miami 35 – Louisville 17
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