MLB Game Prediction

Miami Marlins vs New York Mets Prediction & Betting Tips for 9/28/2025

Want our best Miami Marlins vs New York Mets prediction for 9/28/25? Get our MLB betting tip as the Mets travel to the Marlins on 9/28/25 at loanDepot Park, in Miami. Knup Sports has your free pick!

The New York Mets, sitting at 83-78 with a division rank of 2, head into their final game of the season with a recent 5-0 victory against the Miami Marlins. The Mets have had a mixed record over their last ten games, going 5-5, but they are coming off a win. Manager Carlos Mendoza will be looking for his team to end on a high note, especially with their road record of 34-46 indicating room for improvement.

The Miami Marlins, with a record of 78-83, are ranked 3rd in the NL East and have shown a stronger performance in their last 10 games, winning 7 of them. Despite their recent loss to the Mets, they have demonstrated the ability to compete, as shown in their recent 6-2 win over New York. Manager Clayton McCullough will aim to leverage the home advantage at loanDepot Park, where their record stands at 37-43.

Set to take place at 3:10 PM at loanDepot Park, the game is influenced by conditions that include a very hot day with light rain expected, though the retractable roof might mitigate any weather impact. The Mets are slight favorites with a moneyline of -131, while the Marlins are at +111. Fans can catch the action on FDSFL, as both teams look to conclude their seasons with a positive outcome.

Marlins vs Mets At a Glance

  • Stadium: The game will be held at loanDepot Park in Miami, FL, featuring a retractable roof.
  • Weather Forecast: A very hot day is expected with light rain; wind may not impact play due to the retractable roof.
  • Team Records: The New York Mets hold a record of 83-78, while the Miami Marlins stand at 78-83.
  • Division Standings: Mets are 2nd in NL East, Marlins are 3rd.
  • Game Odds: Mets are favored with a moneyline of -131; Marlins are at +111.
  • Broadcast Info: The game will be aired on FDSFL at 3:10 PM.

The Miami Marlins: A Dive Into Their Upcoming Game Against the Mets

Team Overview

The Miami Marlins have had a rollercoaster season, with a batting average ranked 8th at .250. Their on-base percentage is slightly lower, ranking 14th with a value of .313.

Offensively, they have struggled to hit home runs, ranking 24th with 154 home runs this season. However, they’ve made up for it with doubles, ranking 6th with 269 doubles.

Offensive Standouts

Agustín Ramírez has been a key player for the Marlins, leading the team with 21 home runs and ranking 23rd in the league. His batting average, however, is on the lower side at .231.

Xavier Edwards stands out with a batting average of .282, showing consistency at the plate. Despite his solid average, he has only managed to hit 3 home runs this season.

Pitching Insights

Edward Cabrera will be starting for the Marlins, boasting an ERA of 3.66. He has a balanced record of 7-7, demonstrating reliability on the mound.

The Marlins’ overall pitching has been less effective, with a team ERA of 4.62, ranking 25th. They have struggled to prevent home runs, allowing 199 this season.

Recent Performance

The Marlins’ recent games have been inconsistent. They managed a win against the Mets on September 26th, 6-2, but suffered a shutout loss on September 27th, 5-0.

Eury Pérez made headlines with a career-high 11 strikeouts in the recent game against the Mets, despite the team’s loss. His performance has shown promise for the future.

Betting Trends

  • SU Last 3 Games: 1-2 (33.3%)
  • SU All Games: 78-83 (48.4%)
  • Runline All Games: 94-67 (58.4%)
  • Runline as Underdog: 84-50 (62.7%)
  • O/U All Games: 80-81 (49.7%)

Upcoming Matchup

In their upcoming game, the Marlins will be up against the Mets with Sean Manaea on the mound. Manaea’s ERA is 5.80, providing a potential advantage for the Marlins’ hitters.

The Marlins will look to capitalize on Manaea’s higher ERA, hoping to improve their offensive output after being shut out in their last encounter.

Mets Aim to Dominate in Miami Finale

Team Overview

The Miami Marlins are set to host the New York Mets in what promises to be a pivotal game for both teams. The Marlins enter this matchup with a consistent on-base percentage, ranking 5th in the league with a .325 OBP, demonstrating their ability to get on base effectively. Additionally, their slugging percentage of .428 ranks 6th, indicating their capacity to drive in runs.

Miami’s lineup has been productive with the long ball, having hit 224 home runs this season, securing them the 5th spot in MLB rankings. Their ability to strike with power will be crucial against a Mets team fighting for a postseason spot. However, the Marlins’ strikeout rate could pose an issue, as they are ranked 10th with 1314 strikeouts, indicating potential vulnerabilities against strong pitching.

Key Players to Watch

Edward Cabrera will take the mound for Miami with a solid ERA of 3.66 and a matching WHIP of 1.22, showcasing his ability to limit base runners and manage damage. Cabrera’s record stands at 7-7, highlighting his competitive outings this season.

Offensively, the Marlins will rely heavily on their ability to capitalize on scoring opportunities, as they have demonstrated proficiency in turning hits into runs with a top-10 ranking in doubles (261). The team’s ability to execute in clutch situations will be essential against a Mets squad eager to secure their playoff spot.

Pitching Dynamics

While Cabrera anchors the starting rotation, the Marlins’ bullpen will need to be vigilant. They have faced challenges with blown saves, ranking 11th in the league, which could be a factor in tight games. With 28 blown saves, Miami must ensure late-inning leads are protected to avoid giving the Mets any late-game hope.

However, the Marlins’ pitching staff has been adept at limiting home runs, allowing only 149 this season, which places them 2nd in the league. This capability will be critical against Mets sluggers like Pete Alonso, who is known for his power at the plate.

Team Betting Trends

  • SU in Home Games: 49-32 (60.5%)
  • Runline as Underdog: 25-22 (53.2%)
  • O/U in Home Games: 40-41 (49.4%)
  • O/U Totals ≥ 9: 23-29 (44.2%)
  • SU vs Division Opponents: 33-36 (47.8%)

Marlins vs Mets Prediction: Mets -131

The upcoming game between the New York Mets and Miami Marlins features two teams closing out their regular season campaigns with different motivations. The Mets, holding an 83-78 record, are in a must-win situation to keep their postseason hopes alive. Despite Sean Manaea’s struggle this season with a 5.80 ERA, the Mets’ recent 5-0 victory and their division ranking give them a slight edge.

Conversely, the Marlins, standing at 78-83, have displayed strong recent form, winning seven of their last ten games. Edward Cabrera’s solid 3.66 ERA provides stability on the mound, but their overall home record of 37-43 may not suffice. The Marlins have been inconsistent against division opponents, further pointing to the Mets’ advantage in this setting.

With the stakes high for the Mets and a slight edge in head-to-head matchups this season, the -131 moneyline for the Mets offers value. The Mets’ urgency for a playoff berth, combined with the Marlins’ lesser home performance, tilts the balance in favor of the visiting team.

Expect a competitive game, but the Mets’ playoff aspirations and recent shutout win suggest they are likely to close the season on a high note. A final score prediction stands at Mets 4 – Marlins 3, reflecting a tight contest but a crucial victory for the Mets.

  • Marlins vs Mets Prediction: Mets -131
  • Marlins vs Mets Score: Mets 4 – Marlins 3
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