In an NL East showdown, the New York Mets take on the Miami Marlins at loanDepot Park. The Mets, with a record of 82-78, currently rank second in the division, while the Marlins hold third place with a 78-82 record. Both teams aim to finish their seasons on a high note as they square off under the retractable roof in Miami.
The Mets, led by manager Carlos Mendoza, come into the game with a recent loss to the Marlins, dropping 6-2 on September 26, 2025. Despite a .500 record over their last ten games, the Mets have struggled on the road with a 33-46 record this season. Their recent inconsistency might be a factor as they face a Marlins team on a hot streak.
Meanwhile, the Marlins, managed by Clayton McCullough, have been impressive in their last ten outings, posting an 8-2 record. Following a 6-2 victory over the Mets, they aim to continue their winning momentum at home, where they have a 37-42 record this season. With a light breeze and scattered clouds expected, the weather should not be a major factor in this afternoon game.
Marlins vs Mets At a Glance
- Game Location: The game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami, FL, which features a retractable roof.
- Weather Conditions: Forecast predicts a very hot day with a light breeze and scattered clouds.
- New York Mets Record: The Mets hold an 82-78 record, currently ranked 2nd in the NL East.
- Miami Marlins Record: The Marlins are 78-82, sitting in 3rd place in the NL East.
- Broadcast Info: The game will be televised on SNY.
- Game Odds: The Mets are favored with a moneyline of -125, while the Marlins have a moneyline of +105.
Marlins Seek Victory Against New York Mets: A Crucial Showdown
New York Mets: Offensive Overview
The New York Mets have been consistent at the plate, utilizing a balanced lineup to maintain their competitiveness. They have struggled somewhat in hitting for power, ranking 22nd in the league with 154 home runs. However, their ability to get on base has been effective, posting a .314 on-base percentage, which ranks 13th in MLB.
One of the strengths of the Mets’ lineup is their ability to hit doubles, ranking 5th with 269 on the season. This extra-base hitting prowess can be crucial in games where manufacturing runs is necessary. They will be relying on this aspect against a solid Marlins pitching staff.
Pitching Dynamics
The Mets’ pitching staff has had its ups and downs, with an earned run average (ERA) of 4.62, placing them 26th in the league. This might raise concerns as they prepare to face a capable Marlins lineup. Their strikeout ability, with 1270 strikeouts, ranks 21st, showing that while they can make batters miss, consistency is needed.
The Mets have been relatively strong in avoiding blown saves, ranking 4th with only 22. Their bullpen’s ability to hold leads will be vital against Miami, especially in close contests. Limiting home runs given up will be crucial, as they rank 18th in this area with 198 homers allowed.
Key Players to Watch
Clay Holmes will take the mound for the Mets, boasting an 11-8 record with a 3.66 ERA. His ability to navigate through the Marlins’ batting order will be key. Holmes’ WHIP of 1.33 suggests that while he allows baserunners, he has been effective at limiting scoring.
Offensively, the Mets will look to their top hitters to set the tone early. With a lineup capable of hitting doubles, players like Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso are pivotal in driving in runs and maintaining offensive momentum.
Team Betting Trends
- SU Last 3 Games: 1-2 (33.3%)
- SU Last 5 Games: 3-2 (60.0%)
- SU Last 10 Games: 8-2 (80.0%)
- Runline Last 3: 2-1 (66.7%)
- Runline Last 5: 4-1 (80.0%)
- O/U Last 3: 1-2 (33.3%)
- O/U Last 5: 2-3 (40.0%)
The Mets have shown resilience in recent games, as evidenced by their 8-2 record over the last 10 contests. Their runline performance has been impressive, going 4-1 in the last 5 games, demonstrating their ability to cover spreads.
In terms of totals, the Mets have been in lower-scoring affairs lately, as indicated by their 1-2 record in the last 3 over/under lines. Keeping games under control will be crucial as they look to contain the Marlins’ bats.
Can the Mets Turn Things Around Against the Marlins?
Team Overview
The Miami Marlins head into the upcoming game with a batting average of .250, ranking 9th in the league. Their on-base percentage is .325, placing them 5th, and they have shown power with a slugging percentage of .429, also ranking 5th. With 223 home runs, the Marlins are 4th in this category, underscoring their long-ball capabilities.
On the pitching front, the Marlins have an ERA of 4.06, which is 18th in the league, while their batting average against is .246, placing them 13th. The team has given up 149 home runs, ranking 2nd, indicating some vulnerability in preventing the long ball. They have managed 38 quality starts this season, ranking 20th, showing room for improvement in their starting rotation.
Key Players to Watch
One of the Marlins’ standout performers is their power-hitting core, with notable contributors to their 223 home runs this season. Their ability to hit for power can change the complexion of a game quickly, making it crucial for the Mets to keep them in check.
On the mound, Eury Pérez will start for the Marlins. Pérez holds an ERA of 4.20 and a WHIP of 1.04, with a win-loss record of 7-5. His performance will be critical as the Marlins aim to capitalize on the Mets’ recent struggles.
Recent Form and Performance
The Marlins’ recent outings have shown their capability to score and leverage their power effectively. Their pitching has had its ups and downs, as evident from the high number of home runs allowed, but their ability to strike out opponents, with 1376 strikeouts ranking 10th, could be pivotal.
As the season progresses, maintaining consistency on the mound and at the plate will be vital for the Marlins to sustain their competitive edge against teams like the Mets, who are fighting to stay alive in the playoff race.
Team Betting Trends
- SU Last 3 Games: 1-2 (33.3%)
- Runline All Games: 72-88 (45.0%)
- O/U All Games: 76-84 (47.5%)
Marlins vs Mets Prediction: Marlins +105
The Miami Marlins have been on a strong run in their recent games, winning eight of their last ten. Their offensive firepower was evident in the recent game against the Mets, where they scored six runs in a single inning. With the Marlins playing at home and having momentum from their last matchup, they are poised to continue their winning streak.
Despite having a lower overall season record than the Mets, the Marlins have shown they can perform well in day games, boasting a 54.4% win rate. Eury Pérez, with a 4.20 ERA, will be looking to capitalize on the Mets’ recent struggles, particularly without key hitter Brett Baty. The Mets’ road record of 33-46 further suggests they might struggle in this away game.
The Marlins’ recent head-to-head performance against the Mets has been impressive, winning the last three encounters. Given the Mets’ recent performance issues and the Marlins’ offensive capabilities, Miami looks favorable for another win. Pérez has a solid WHIP of 1.04, indicating his ability to limit baserunners, which could be crucial against a Mets lineup missing some key players.
Considering the odds, the Marlins at +105 present a valuable opportunity for bettors. With the Marlins’ ability to score in bursts and their recent history against the Mets, they are well-positioned to secure another victory at loanDepot Park.
- Marlins vs Mets Prediction: Marlins +105
- Marlins vs Mets Score: Marlins 5 – Mets 3
