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Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Free Betting Pick | April 26, 2025

The Oklahoma City Thunder will play the Memphis Grizzlies at the FedExForum on Saturday, April 26, 2025. The game starts at 3:30 PM and will be shown on TNT. This is the fourth game in the Western Conference First Round of the NBA Playoffs.

The Thunder lead the series 3-0. They won the last game against the Grizzlies by 6 points, with a score of 114-108. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 31 points in that game. Jalen Williams and Chet Holmgren also played well, contributing significantly to the team’s success.

The Grizzlies have struggled in this series. They lost the last game by 6 points. Scotty Pippen Jr. was the top scorer for the Grizzlies with 28 points. Jaren Jackson Jr. and Desmond Bane also added points, but it was not enough to win.

Grizzlies Preview

The Memphis Grizzlies are in Game 4 of the Western Conference First Round in the NBA Playoffs. Their postseason record stands at 1-4. At home, they have a record of 1-1, while on the road, they have struggled with a 0-3 record. Interim head coach Tuomas Iisalo leads the team during this challenging time.

In the regular season, the Grizzlies had a 48-34 record. They performed better at home with a 26-15 record compared to their 22-19 away record. They ranked 8th in the Western Conference and 2nd in the Southwest Division. Their last 10 games in the regular season ended with a 4-6 record.

During the postseason, Ja Morant leads the team with 19.8 points per game. Desmond Bane follows with 18.0 points and 6.6 rebounds per game. Jaren Jackson Jr. contributes 18.8 points and 5.8 rebounds per game. Zach Edey leads in rebounds with 10.2 per game.

In recent games against the Oklahoma City Thunder, the Grizzlies lost by 6 points at home. Scotty Pippen Jr. scored 28 points in that game. In the previous away game, they lost by 19 points. Desmond Bane had 19 points and 12 rebounds in that game. The team aims to improve their performance in the upcoming games.

Thunder Preview

The Oklahoma City Thunder have a strong record in the postseason. They are currently 3-0 in the Western Conference First Round. The team has won both home games and one away game. This shows they are performing well in both environments.

During the regular season, the Thunder had a record of 68-14. They were ranked first in the Western Conference and the Northwest Division. Their home record was 36-6, and their away record was 32-8. This consistency helped them secure a top spot.

Offensively, the Thunder lead the league in points per game and possessions per game. They also rank high in field goal attempts and three-pointers made per game. Their effective field goal percentage is among the top in the league, showing their scoring efficiency.

Defensively, the Thunder allow the third-fewest points per game. They are first in field goal percentage allowed and three-point percentage allowed. This strong defense has been a key part of their success this season.

Statistical Breakdown for Grizzlies vs Thunder

The game between the Memphis Grizzlies and Oklahoma City Thunder will be influenced by several key stats. The Thunder’s strong offense, leading the league in points and possessions per game, will challenge the Grizzlies’ defense. The Grizzlies will need to capitalize on their rebounding strength, ranking third in rebounds per game, to counter the Thunder’s top-ranked rebounding. Defensively, the Thunder’s ability to limit opponents’ field goal percentage and three-point percentage could make scoring difficult for the Grizzlies.

  • Thunder Points Per Game: 121.0 (1st)
  • Thunder Possessions Per Game: 100.2 (1st)
  • Thunder Rebounds Per Game: 50.7 (1st)
  • Grizzlies Rebounds Per Game: 45.2 (3rd)
  • Thunder Points Per Game Allowed: 95.7 (3rd)
  • Thunder Field Goal Percentage Allowed: 40.1 (1st)
  • Thunder Three Point Percentage Allowed: 28.0 (1st)
  • Grizzlies Points Per Game: 104.6 (12th)

Betting Insights

As the Oklahoma City Thunder and Memphis Grizzlies prepare for their next game, bettors will find several key trends to consider. The Thunder have shown strong performance against the spread (ATS) during the postseason, especially at home. Meanwhile, the Grizzlies have had mixed results but are coming off a win. Both teams have leaned towards the under in recent games, which could influence betting decisions. Here are the top five betting trends to keep in mind:

  1. Oklahoma City Thunder have a 2-0 ATS record at home in the 2025 postseason.
  2. Thunder have hit the under in all three postseason games, with an average combined score of 216.67.
  3. Memphis Grizzlies have a 3-2 ATS record in the 2025 postseason.
  4. Both teams are on a 3-game under streak in the postseason.
  5. Thunder had a strong regular season ATS record of 41-18-1, with a 22-7-1 record at home.

Free Betting Prediction for Grizzlies vs Thunder

The Oklahoma City Thunder have shown strong performance in the postseason with a 3-0 record. Their offense leads the league in points and possessions per game. This makes them a tough opponent for the Memphis Grizzlies. The Thunder’s defense also ranks high, allowing the third-fewest points per game. This balance of offense and defense gives them an edge.

The Memphis Grizzlies have struggled in the postseason with a 1-4 record. They have shown some strength in rebounding, ranking third in the league. However, their scoring has been inconsistent. With the Thunder’s strong defense, the Grizzlies may find it hard to score. The Grizzlies will need to improve their performance to compete in this game.

Considering the Thunder’s strong postseason record and the Grizzlies’ struggles, the Thunder are likely to win. The spread of -15.0 reflects the Thunder’s dominance. The Grizzlies will need a strong effort to cover the spread. The under trend in recent games suggests a lower-scoring game.

  • Our Free Prediction: Thunder -15.0
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