CFB Game Prediction

Louisiana-Monroe vs Troy Prediction & Betting Tips for CFB Week 8 on 10/18/2025

Want our best Louisiana-Monroe vs Troy prediction for 10/18/25? Get our College Football betting tip as the Troy travel to Louisiana-Monroe in Week 8 on 10/18/25 at Malone Stadium, in Louisiana-Monroe. Knup Sports has your free CFB pick!

The Week 8 matchup between the Troy Trojans and the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks is set to take place at Malone Stadium in Monroe, LA. The Trojans, with a record of 4-2, will look to extend their winning momentum after a recent victory over Texas State. This afternoon game is scheduled for October 18, 2025, and will be broadcast on ESPN+. Troy’s performance this season has been strong, particularly in their conference games, where they hold a 2-0 record. Their recent games have showcased their offensive strength, including a high-scoring win over Texas State with 415 passing yards. With a balanced road record of 2-1, the Trojans aim to continue their success in Sun Belt Conference play. Meanwhile, the Warhawks hold a 3-3 record, with notable strength at home, winning both of their games at Malone Stadium. Despite recent struggles on the road, Louisiana-Monroe will aim to capitalize on their home-field advantage. The game odds indicate a competitive battle, with Troy favored by a 6-point spread.

Louisiana-Monroe vs Troy At a Glance

  • Game Date and Time: Saturday, October 18, 2025, at 3:00 PM
  • Venue: Malone Stadium in Monroe, LA
  • TV Coverage: Available on ESPN+
  • Weather Forecast: Game is outdoors; check local weather updates
  • Team Records: Troy Trojans are 4-2; Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks are 3-3
  • Betting Odds: Troy favored with a -6.0 spread; Moneyline – Troy: -219, Louisiana-Monroe: +182

Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks Prepare for Troy Trojans Challenge

Team Overview

The Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks have faced a challenging 2025 season thus far, ranking 88th in points scored with 103. Their offense has been heavily reliant on the ground game, accumulating 1101 rushing yards, which places them 48th in the nation. Despite these efforts, they have struggled through a tough schedule, evident in their recent performance against Coastal Carolina.

Offensive Struggles

Passing has not been a strong suit for the Warhawks this season. With 864 passing yards, they rank 117th in the country, highlighting a need for improvement in the air attack. Quarterback Aidan Armenta has shown some promise, throwing for 739 yards and seven touchdowns over six games.

Rushing Attack

Running back Braylon McReynolds is a standout performer for the Warhawks, leading the team with 444 rushing yards and two touchdowns. His contributions have been crucial in maintaining offensive momentum on the ground. As they prepare to meet the Trojans, McReynolds’ ability to break through defenses will be vital.

Defensive Performance

Defensively, the Warhawks have been effective at pressuring opposing quarterbacks with 14 sacks, ranking them 12th nationally. They have also been adept at forcing turnovers, recording four interceptions and two fumble recoveries. Despite this, they have allowed 179 points against them, placing them 107th in scoring defense.

Recent Game Recaps

In their most recent outing, the Warhawks were defeated by Coastal Carolina, 23-8. Despite putting up more passing yards (176) than their opponent, they were unable to capitalize on these opportunities. Earlier in the season, they achieved a notable victory against Arkansas State, 28-16, showcasing their ability to compete when firing on all cylinders.

Injury Concerns

The Warhawks are dealing with a significant injury list, including key players like Korian Wilson and Levontae Jacobs, both of whom are questionable for upcoming games. The availability of these players could impact both the defensive and offensive capabilities of the team. Their status will be crucial as they aim to turn their season around.

Betting Trends

  • O/U – As Underdog: Last 9 Games (2024–2025) → 8-1 (88.9%)
  • SU – As Favorite: Last 9 Games (2022–2025) → 7-2 (77.8%)
  • O/U – Away Games: Last 11 Games (2023–2025) → 8-3 (72.7%)
  • SU – Home Games: Last 8 Games (2024–2025) → 6-2 (75.0%)
  • O/U – All Games: Last 13 Games (2024–2025) → 9-4 (69.2%)

Looking Ahead

As the Warhawks get ready to host the Troy Trojans, they will need to address their passing deficiencies and tighten their defense. Playing at Malone Stadium should provide a slight advantage, though they enter as six-point underdogs. A solid performance from their key players could shift the momentum in their favor and set a positive tone for the rest of the season.

Troy Trojans: Charging into the Game with Momentum

Offensive Overview

The Troy Trojans have been a strong offensive unit this season, scoring 161 points, which ranks them 56th nationally. Their passing game has accumulated 1,259 yards, placing them at the 86th rank, while their ground attack has added 815 rushing yards, ranking 89th. With 120 first downs, Troy is 39th in the nation, showcasing their ability to sustain drives and control the clock.

Last season, the Trojans posted 312 points and ranked 69th in scoring, highlighting their capability to improve as the season progresses. Their previous season’s passing and rushing yards were 2,556 and 1,945, respectively, indicating a more balanced offensive approach.

Defensive Strengths

Troy’s defense has allowed 157 points, positioning them at 90th in the rankings. However, their pass rush has been formidable, recording 15 sacks and placing them 11th nationally. The Trojans are also adept at creating turnovers, with 3 interceptions and 2 fumbles recovered, ranking 4th and 7th, respectively.

Comparatively, last season saw their defense giving up 341 points, ranking 108th. The improvement in points against and their ability to pressure the quarterback is evident in their enhanced defensive metrics this year.

Key Players to Watch

Quarterback Tucker Kilcrease has been a standout for the Trojans, with 831 passing yards and 8 touchdowns, ranking him first on the team in both categories. Running back Tae Meadows leads the rushing attack with 432 yards and 3 touchdowns. Wide receiver DJ Epps is a primary target with 20 receptions for 255 yards and 3 touchdowns.

On the defensive side, the team’s ability to generate sacks and turnovers will be crucial in upcoming games. Their improved defensive rankings show a team capable of making game-changing plays.

Recent Performance

Troy’s recent form includes a 48-41 victory over Texas State, indicating their offensive prowess. Their win against South Alabama, 31-24, further demonstrates their ability to perform in high-scoring games. A narrow win over Buffalo, 21-17, showcased their defensive resilience in close contests.

Despite a 28-7 loss to Memphis, the Trojans have shown consistent improvement, particularly on offense. Their ability to bounce back from losses will be critical as they face more challenging opponents.

Team Betting Trends

  • SU – As Favorite: 24-3 in the last 27 games.
  • SU – After Win: 23-5 in the last 28 games.
  • ATS – Away Games: 17-4 in the last 21 games.
  • SU – Home Games: 18-5 in the last 23 games.
  • SU – All Games: 3-0 in the last 3 games.
  • ATS – All Games: 3-0 in the last 3 games.
  • SU – As Underdog: 3-0 in the last 3 games.
  • ATS – As Underdog: 3-0 in the last 3 games.
  • ATS – After Win: 3-0 in the last 3 games.
  • O/U – After Win: 9-3 in the last 12 games.
  • O/U – As Favorite: 7-2 in the last 9 games.
  • ATS – As Favorite: 9-4 in the last 13 games.
  • O/U – Home Games: 4-1 in the last 5 games.
  • ATS – After Loss: 4-1 in the last 5 games.
  • ATS – Totals ≥ 50: 17-11 in the last 28 games.
  • SU – Away Games: 12-7 in the last 19 games.
  • SU – Totals ≥ 50: 10-6 in the last 16 games.
  • O/U – All Games: 13-9 in the last 22 games.
  • SU – After Loss: 3-1 in the last 4 games.
  • O/U – As Underdog: 14-14 in the last 28 games.

Louisiana-Monroe vs Troy Prediction: Troy -6.0

The Troy Trojans come into this game with a solid 4-2 overall record and a strong conference play performance, standing undefeated at 2-0. Their road record of 2-1 demonstrates their capability to perform well away from home, which is crucial as they visit Malone Stadium. With a spread of -6.0, Troy’s consistent play and superior record provide a compelling case for covering the spread.

On the other hand, the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks, while showing promise at home with a 2-0 record, have struggled overall, sitting at a 3-3 record. Their recent performance, including a 23-8 loss to Coastal Carolina, suggests inconsistencies that could be exploited by a more seasoned Troy team. Despite the home advantage, the Warhawks’ form does not inspire confidence in their ability to cover the +6.0 spread.

Statistically, Troy ranks better defensively, especially in generating sacks and interceptions, which can be pivotal in shutting down Louisiana-Monroe’s offensive drives. With a more efficient offense and a sturdy defense, Troy is well-positioned to not only win but cover the 6-point spread effectively.

Considering all factors, including team stats, recent performances, and spread odds, Troy should manage a comfortable win, potentially by a two-score margin. The projected final score, reflecting Troy’s defensive prowess and offensive balance, supports this spread pick.

  • Louisiana-Monroe vs Troy Prediction: Troy -6.0
  • Louisiana-Monroe vs Troy Score: Troy 31 – Louisiana-Monroe 17
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