CFB Game Prediction

Kansas vs Cincinnati Prediction & Betting Tips for CFB Week 5 on 9/27/2025

Want our best Kansas vs Cincinnati prediction for 9/27/25? Get our College Football betting tip as the Cincinnati travel to Kansas in Week 5 on 9/27/25 at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium, in Kansas. Knup Sports has your free CFB pick!

The Cincinnati Bearcats, with a 2-1 record this season, will play their first road game of the year in Week 5 of the 2025 Regular Season. They recently showcased their offensive strength in a dominant 70-0 victory over Northwestern State Demons. As they prepare for this Big 12 conference game, the Bearcats will aim to maintain their momentum on the road. The Kansas Jayhawks, holding a 3-1 record, have been perfect at home this season. Their latest victory was a commanding 41-10 win against the West Virginia Mountaineers. Playing at David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium, they will look to capitalize on their home-field advantage once again. Scheduled for Saturday, September 27, 2025, at 12:00 PM, this game promises to be a key matchup in the Big 12. With the Jayhawks favored by 5.5 points, both teams will be eager to strengthen their conference standings. Viewers can catch the action live on TNT.

Kansas vs Cincinnati At a Glance

  • Game Location: David Booth Kansas Memorial Stadium in Lawrence, KS
  • Game Time: Saturday, September 27, 2025 at 12:00 PM
  • TV Broadcast: TNT
  • Kansas Jayhawks Record: 3-1 overall, 3-0 at home
  • Cincinnati Bearcats Record: 2-1 overall, 0-0 on the road
  • Betting Odds: Kansas is favored with a -5.5 spread (-109)

Kansas Jayhawks Prepare for Another Showdown

Offensive Analysis

The Kansas Jayhawks have been impressive on the offensive end this season. They rank 18th nationally with 149 points, illustrating their scoring capability. Their rushing attack is particularly strong, sitting at 35th with 782 rushing yards.

In the passing game, Kansas has accumulated 891 yards, placing them 59th in the country. Quarterback Jalon Daniels is a significant contributor with 817 passing yards and 12 touchdowns. The offensive unit also excels in moving the chains, with 86 first downs, ranking them 24th.

Defensive Stalwarts

Defensively, Kansas has shown resilience, allowing only 66 points, placing them 41st nationwide. They have been effective at pressuring opposing quarterbacks with 12 sacks, ranking 6th. Their secondary is opportunistic, ranking 4th with 3 interceptions.

The Jayhawks’ ability to force turnovers is further highlighted by their 3 fumbles recovered, ranking 3rd. This defensive pressure has been crucial in their success so far. Consistent defensive performances have been vital in securing their wins.

Key Players and Performances

Jalon Daniels stands out as a key player with impressive numbers. His 97.8 fantasy points place him 14th, showcasing his dual-threat capability. Running back Leshon Williams leads the ground game with 186 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns.

On the receiving end, Emmanuel Henderson Jr. has been a reliable target with 221 yards and 2 touchdowns. Tight end DeShawn Hanika has also contributed significantly with 97 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns. Their contributions have been essential to Kansas’ offensive success.

Upcoming Challenges

Kansas’ upcoming schedule includes tough matchups, starting with a home game against the Cincinnati Bearcats. Following this, they face the UCF Knights on the road. The team will need to maintain their performance to continue their winning streak.

The Jayhawks’ depth will be tested, especially with several players listed on the injury report. Managing these injuries effectively will be crucial in maintaining their momentum. The team’s ability to adapt and adjust will be key in upcoming games.

Kansas Betting Trends

  • SU – Home Games: Last 6 Games (2024–2025) → 6-0 (100.0%)
  • SU – After Loss: Last 4 Games (2024–2025) → 4-0 (100.0%)
  • ATS – After Loss: Last 4 Games (2024–2025) → 4-0 (100.0%)
  • O/U – After Loss: Last 21 Games (2021–2025) → 16-5 (76.2%)
  • O/U – Away Games: Last 29 Games (2020–2025) → 20-8-1 (69.0%)
  • SU – As Favorite: Last 3 Games (2025) → 3-0 (100.0%)
  • ATS – Home Games: Last 6 Games (2024–2025) → 5-1 (83.3%)
  • ATS – As Underdog: Last 11 Games (2023–2025) → 8-3 (72.7%)
  • SU – All Games: Last 8 Games (2024–2025) → 6-2 (75.0%)
  • SU – Totals ≥ 50: Last 8 Games (2024–2025) → 6-2 (75.0%)

The Cincinnati Bearcats: A Statistical Look at the Away Team’s Performance

Team Offense Overview

The Cincinnati Bearcats have scored 121 points this season, ranking them 38th in the nation. Their passing game has accumulated 764 yards, placing them at 87th, while the rushing attack is slightly better with 553 yards, ranking 80th. The team has secured 61 first downs, earning a respectable 45th ranking.

Comparing this to last season, the Bearcats finished with 302 points, ranking 76th. Their passing yards totaled 2,838, ranking them 71st, and they had a strong rushing performance with 2,229 yards, placing them 55th. The team managed 265 first downs, ranked 48th overall.

Defensive Performance

The Bearcats have allowed 40 points this season, ranking them 17th defensively. Their defensive line has been active with nine sacks, placing them 9th in the nation. Despite not recording any interceptions, they have recovered one fumble, ranking 5th.

Last season, Cincinnati allowed 295 points, ranking 80th. Their defense achieved 19 sacks, ranking 31st, with five interceptions ranking them 6th. Additionally, they recovered nine fumbles, earning a 7th place rank.

Quarterback Contributions

Brendan Sorsby has led the Bearcats’ offense with 655 passing yards, ranking him 90th nationally. He has thrown eight touchdowns, placing him 25th in the nation, with just one interception. Sorsby’s performances have yielded 97.7 fantasy points, ranking him 15th.

Samaj Jones, with limited playing time, has managed 53 passing yards and one touchdown. Brady Lichtenberg has contributed with 56 passing yards and a single touchdown as well. Both quarterbacks have been secondary options to Sorsby.

Running Back and Receiver Contributions

Tawee Walker leads the Bearcats’ rushing attack with 151 yards, ranking him 203rd. He has also scored one rushing touchdown and has four receptions for 17 yards. Evan Pryor follows with 100 rushing yards and one reception.

Cyrus Allen is Cincinnati’s top receiver, with 12 receptions for 145 yards and three touchdowns. Jeff Caldwell has nine receptions for 172 yards and one touchdown, while Caleb Goodie has eight receptions for 160 yards and one touchdown.

Betting Trends

  • SU – As Favorite: 25-5 (83.3%) over the last 30 games
  • SU – After Win: 22-8 (73.3%) over the last 30 games
  • O/U – As Favorite: 3-0 (100.0%) over the last 3 games
  • SU – Home Games: 19-11 (63.3%) over the last 30 games
  • SU – Away Games: 16-9 (64.0%) over the last 25 games
  • O/U – Home Games: 17-13 (56.7%) over the last 30 games
  • O/U – After Win: 6-3-1 (60.0%) over the last 10 games
  • O/U – All Games: 16-13-1 (53.3%) over the last 30 games
  • O/U – Totals ≥ 50: 16-13-1 (53.3%) over the last 30 games
  • ATS – As Favorite: 4-2 (66.7%) over the last 6 games
  • O/U – Away Games: 6-4-1 (54.5%) over the last 11 games
  • O/U – As Underdog: 9-8-1 (50.0%) over the last 18 games

Kansas vs Cincinnati Prediction: Over 55.5

The Kansas Jayhawks have demonstrated a strong offensive presence, scoring 149 points over their first four games of the 2025 season, which ranks them 18th nationally. Coupled with their solid home record of 3-0, they have shown the capability to put up significant points, particularly when playing at home. This offensive firepower, along with Cincinnati’s average defense, suggests a high-scoring outcome.

On the other hand, the Cincinnati Bearcats have a respectable offensive output, with 121 points scored so far this season, ranking 38th. Their ability to score, combined with a Kansas defense that has allowed 66 points, could contribute to a game where both teams find the end zone frequently. The combination of these factors points towards a game that could easily surpass the 55.5 total.

Historically, when these two teams met in 2023, the game ended with a total of 65 points, well above the current line of 55.5. Given both teams’ offensive potential and the trends in their recent performances, another high-scoring game seems likely. This is further supported by Kansas’ betting trend of hitting the over after a loss, which they have done consistently over the past few seasons.

With all these considerations in mind, the expectation is for both teams to engage in a dynamic contest, leading to a total score that exceeds 55.5. A projected final score might see Kansas winning 38-24, comfortably hitting the over.

  • Kansas vs Cincinnati Prediction: Over 55.5
  • Kansas vs Cincinnati Score: Kansas 38 – Cincinnati 24
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