As Week 7 of the 2025 regular season unfolds, the TCU Horned Frogs travel to Bill Snyder Family Stadium to take on the Kansas State Wildcats. TCU enters the game with a 4-1 overall record and a 1-1 mark in conference play. Kansas State, with a 2-4 record, seeks to improve its standing within the Big 12. The Horned Frogs have shown strength on their home turf, going 3-0, but their road performance stands at 1-1, indicating room for improvement away from Fort Worth. Their recent win against Colorado at home, 35-21, highlights their ability to perform under pressure. On the other side, Kansas State has secured both of their wins at home, including a 34-20 victory over UCF, showing they can take advantage of the home field. Betting odds suggest a closely contested game, with TCU slightly favored by a 1.5-point spread. With both teams needing a win to bolster their conference records, this matchup at 3:30 PM on FOX promises to be an exciting contest. The key question is whether TCU can translate their home success into a road victory against a Kansas State team that plays well at home.
Kansas State vs TCU At a Glance
- Game Date & Time: Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 3:30 PM
- Venue: Bill Snyder Family Stadium in Manhattan, KS
- TV Channel: FOX
- TCU Record: 4-1 overall, 1-1 in conference
- Kansas State Record: 2-4 overall, 1-3 in conference
- Game Odds: TCU Moneyline -118, Kansas State Moneyline -102
Kansas State Wildcats: A Season of Highs and Lows
Team Overview
The Kansas State Wildcats are navigating the 2025 season with a 3-3 record. Despite early struggles, they have shown potential in both offensive and defensive statistics.
The Wildcats rank 40th in points scored with 165 points, highlighting their capability to generate offense. Defensively, their ability to create turnovers is notable, ranking 3rd in fumbles recovered.
Offensive Performance
Kansas State’s passing game stands out, ranking 41st with 1,358 yards. Quarterback Avery Johnson has played a pivotal role, leading the team with 1,358 passing yards and 10 touchdowns.
The rushing attack has been moderate, ranking 63rd with 867 yards. Running back Joe Jackson has contributed significantly with 203 rushing yards in five games.
Defensive Insights
The Wildcats’ defense has allowed 161 points, placing them 100th in points against. However, they have excelled in pressuring quarterbacks, ranking 10th with 14 sacks.
Interceptions have also been a strength for Kansas State, where they rank 5th with four interceptions. This turnover capability remains a crucial component of their defensive strategy.
Recent Game Performances
The Wildcats recently endured a narrow 35-34 loss to Baylor. In that game, they managed to secure 30 first downs, displaying their ability to sustain drives.
Previously, Kansas State secured a 34-20 win against UCF, showcasing their ability to control the game with a robust rushing attack, gaining 270 yards on the ground.
Betting Trends
- SU – Home Games: 14-3 in last 17 games (82.4%)
- O/U – As Underdog: 12-3 in last 15 games (80.0%)
- SU – After Loss: 12-3 in last 15 games (80.0%)
- SU – Totals ≥ 50: 19-7 in last 26 games (73.1%)
- SU – As Favorite: 21-9 in last 30 games (70.0%)
TCU Horned Frogs Eye Win Against Kansas State
Team Overview
The TCU Horned Frogs are hitting the road to take on the Kansas State Wildcats, fresh off a 35-21 victory over the Colorado Buffaloes. This game marks an opportunity for TCU to continue their momentum in the 2025 season as they hold a record of success in recent matchups. TCU’s offensive performance has been noteworthy, ranking 20th in passing yards with 1,558 and 28th in points with 184.
Despite their offensive strengths, the Horned Frogs have faced challenges in the running game, currently ranking 101st in rushing yards with 634. However, their defense has been a formidable force, especially in forcing turnovers, where they rank 5th in fumbles recovered and 7th in interceptions. This defensive prowess will be crucial against Kansas State.
Key Players
Quarterback Josh Hoover leads the TCU offense with 1,517 passing yards, ranking 10th in the league. His 15 touchdown passes have been instrumental in TCU’s success, and he will look to continue that trend against Kansas State. On the receiving end, Eric McAlister has been a standout performer, amassing 385 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns.
In the backfield, Trent Battle has been the primary ball carrier, although his 154 rushing yards indicate room for improvement. TCU’s reliance on the passing game has been evident, and Battle will aim to provide a more balanced offensive attack. On special teams, kicker Nate McCashland has been consistent with 19 extra points made this season.
Recent Form
TCU’s recent form has been impressive, boasting a 4-1 record in their last five games. Notably, they secured a dominant 48-14 win against North Carolina in their season opener. However, they faced a setback with a narrow 27-24 loss to Arizona State, highlighting areas for improvement on the road.
In their last outing against Colorado, TCU showcased their offensive capabilities with a balanced attack, gaining 275 passing yards and 94 rushing yards. Defensively, they capitalized on Colorado’s mistakes, forcing three interceptions. These elements will be vital against a competitive Kansas State team.
Betting Trends
- SU – As Favorite: Last 8 Games (2024–2025) → 8-0 (100.0%)
- SU – Home Games: Last 6 Games (2024–2025) → 6-0 (100.0%)
- SU – After Loss: Last 4 Games (2024–2025) → 4-0 (100.0%)
- ATS – After Loss: Last 4 Games (2024–2025) → 4-0 (100.0%)
- SU – All Games: Last 8 Games (2024–2025) → 7-1 (87.5%)
TCU’s strong track record as favorites and their ability to bounce back after a loss highlight their resilience. They have been effective against the spread, particularly after a defeat, with a 100% success rate in their last four games.
As they head into the game against Kansas State, TCU will aim to extend their winning streak as favorites and maintain their strong form on the road. Their ability to capitalize on turnovers and execute a balanced offensive strategy will be key factors in determining the outcome of this game.
Kansas State vs TCU Prediction: Kansas State +1.5
Kansas State has been a strong performer at home, holding a 14-3 record over their last 17 games. Their performance against the spread (ATS) at home is impressive as well, covering in 19 of their last 29 home games. This makes them a compelling pick as the +1.5 underdog against TCU.
TCU has a solid record this season at 4-1, but their road performance shows vulnerability, with a 1-1 record. Their passing game, ranked 20th in the country, will test the Wildcats’ defense, but Kansas State’s ability to rebound after losses (12-3 straight up in such situations) indicates they are well-prepared to challenge the Horned Frogs.
Kansas State’s betting trends as an underdog are particularly noteworthy, with a 4-1 ATS record in their last five games in this position. Given their impressive home and recovery statistics, and TCU’s inconsistency on the road, Kansas State is well-positioned to cover the spread.
Considering all factors, I predict a close game with Kansas State emerging victorious at home. Their resilience and home advantage should give them the edge in a competitive contest.
- Kansas State vs TCU Prediction: Kansas State +1.5
- Kansas State vs TCU Score: Kansas State 28 – TCU 24
