The Utah State Aggies are hitting the road for Week 7 of the 2025 season, heading to Hawaii to take on the Rainbow Warriors. Utah State enters this contest with a 3-2 record, struggling on the road with a 0-2 record while showing dominance at home. This matchup will unfold at the Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex, providing a challenging environment for the visiting Aggies. Hawaii holds a 4-2 record with a solid 3-1 performance at home this season. They will look to leverage their home field advantage against the Aggies in this late-night game under the lights. The Rainbow Warriors are set to be slight favorites with a spread of -1.5 points. Both teams are part of the Mountain West Conference, adding an extra layer of significance to this game. The Aggies’ previous road encounters have been tough, evidenced by their recent loss against Vanderbilt. Meanwhile, Hawaii aims to recover from their narrow defeat at home to Fresno State in Week 4.
Hawaii vs Utah State At a Glance
- Game Location: Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex in Honolulu, HI
- Game Time: Saturday, October 11, 2025, at 11:59 PM
- TV Broadcast: SPEC
- Utah State Record: 3-2 overall, 0-2 on the road
- Hawaii Record: 4-2 overall, 3-1 at home
- Betting Odds: Hawaii favored with a moneyline of -124
The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors Set Their Sights on the Utah State Aggies
Hawaii’s Recent Performance
The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors have shown a mixture of resilience and determination throughout their 2025 season. Their recent victory over the Air Force Falcons, with a score of 44-35, highlights their offensive prowess, especially in passing. Despite some setbacks, the team has consistently performed well, maintaining a strong overall record.
One of Hawaii’s notable strengths is their passing game, currently ranked 10th in the nation. With 1653 passing yards accumulated so far, their aerial attack has been a cornerstone of their offensive strategy. Quarterbacks Micah Alejado and Luke Weaver have been pivotal, contributing significantly to the team’s success through the air.
Defensive Capabilities
Defensively, the Rainbow Warriors have shown remarkable improvement compared to last season. With 12 sacks and 4 interceptions, they rank impressively high in these defensive categories. Their ability to disrupt opposing offenses has been a critical factor in their success.
Despite some challenges, such as ranking 86th in points against, Hawaii’s defense remains a formidable force on the field. Their proficiency in recovering fumbles, with a rank of 8th, adds another layer of complexity for opponents trying to penetrate their defense.
Key Players to Watch
On the offensive side, wide receiver Pofele Ashlock stands out with his impressive performance, ranking 7th in receptions. His ability to make crucial plays has provided a reliable target for Hawaii’s quarterbacks. Additionally, kicker Kansei Matsuzawa has been an essential asset, making all 16 of his field goal attempts.
Running back Landon Sims has also contributed significantly, with 241 rushing yards and a touchdown to his name. His versatility, combined with Hawaii’s potent passing game, makes their offense a multifaceted threat to any opponent.
Hawaii Betting Trends
- O/U – After Loss: 5-0 (100.0%)
- SU – As Favorite: 14-3 (82.4%)
- SU – After Loss: 3-0 (100.0%)
- ATS – After Loss: 3-0 (100.0%)
- ATS – Home Games: 6-1 (85.7%)
- ATS – As Underdog: 5-1 (83.3%)
Upcoming Game Analysis
As they prepare for their upcoming game against the Utah State Aggies, the Rainbow Warriors will need to leverage their strong passing game and defensive capabilities. Playing at home, they are positioned as 1.5-point favorites, with the total set at 58.0. Their recent performances suggest they are well-equipped to handle the challenges posed by the Aggies.
With Hawaii’s impressive home record and solid betting trends as favorites, the team will aim to extend their winning streak. The combination of their offensive firepower and defensive resilience makes them a challenging opponent for Utah State.
Utah State Aggies Prepare for Challenging Away Game
Offensive Performance Overview
The Utah State Aggies have had a mixed season offensively so far, with 182 points scored, ranking them 29th. Their passing game has accounted for 1,259 yards, placing them 61st in the nation. On the ground, they have amassed 849 rushing yards, earning a 67th rank.
In their recent game against Vanderbilt, Utah State managed to score 35 points. Despite the loss, the Aggies showcased their ability to put up points against a formidable opponent.
Defensive Insights
Defensively, the Aggies have conceded 152 points this season, positioning them 94th nationally. Their defense has been effective in terms of creating turnovers, with 5 interceptions, ranking 6th. Additionally, they have recovered 1 fumble, tying them for 8th place in that category.
The Aggies’ defensive line has been successful in getting to the quarterback, recording 11 sacks and ranking 13th. This pressure will be crucial in their upcoming games.
Key Players to Watch
Quarterback Bryson Barnes has been a standout, accumulating 1,143 passing yards over five games. He also ranks 8th in fantasy points with 148.2, highlighting his dual-threat ability. His performance will be vital for Utah State’s success on the road.
Miles Davis has been the primary force in the rushing attack with 314 yards, while Braden Pegan has been a key target in the passing game with 369 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns.
Recent Game Recaps
In their recent victory against McNeese State, the Aggies dominated with a 48-7 win, showcasing both offensive and defensive prowess. They racked up 293 passing yards and 337 rushing yards in that game.
However, their recent road challenges include losses to Texas A&M and Vanderbilt, where they struggled defensively, allowing over 40 points in each game.
Injury Concerns
The Aggies face injury challenges, notably with Bryson Barnes listed as questionable, which could impact their offensive rhythm. Additionally, wide receiver Demick Starling is out for the season, affecting their receiving corps depth.
On the defensive side, several key players are also questionable, which might impact their ability to stop the opposition effectively.
Betting Trends for Utah State
- O/U – As Underdog: Last 10 Games (2024–2025) → 10-0 (100.0%)
- SU – As Favorite: Last 15 Games (2022–2025) → 14-1 (93.3%)
- ATS – All Games: Last 8 Games (2024–2025) → 8-0 (100.0%)
- ATS – Totals ≥ 50: Last 8 Games (2024–2025) → 8-0 (100.0%)
- ATS – As Underdog: Last 5 Games (2024–2025) → 5-0 (100.0%)
- O/U – Away Games: Last 4 Games (2024–2025) → 4-0 (100.0%)
Hawaii vs Utah State Prediction: Hawaii -1.5
Hawaii is coming into this game with a solid home record, having won three out of four games at Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex. Their strong performance at home is further supported by an impressive ATS record of 6-1 in their last seven home games. Given these trends, Hawaii is well-positioned to cover the -1.5 spread against Utah State.
Utah State has struggled on the road this season, going 0-2 away from home. Despite their solid overall record, their inability to secure a win on the road raises concerns about their chances in a challenging environment like Hawaii. The combination of their road woes and Hawaii’s home field advantage makes Hawaii -1.5 a favorable pick.
Hawaii’s offense has been performing well, ranking 10th in passing yards with 1,653 yards so far this season. Their ability to move the ball through the air could exploit Utah State’s defense, which has allowed 152 points against them. This sets up a scenario where Hawaii’s offensive strengths could shine, leading to a likely victory.
Considering the current form of both teams and the matchup dynamics, Hawaii is expected to not only win but also cover the spread with a projected final score of Hawaii 34 – Utah State 28. This outcome aligns with Hawaii’s recent trend of success as favorites, and their overall strong play at home.
- Hawaii vs Utah State Prediction: Hawaii -1.5
- Hawaii vs Utah State Score: Hawaii 34 – Utah State 28
