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Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets Prediction & Free Betting Pick | April 28, 2025

The Golden State Warriors will host the Houston Rockets at the Chase Center on Monday, April 28, 2025. The game is set to start at 10:00 PM and will be broadcast on TNT. This is the fourth game in the Western Conference First Round of the NBA Playoffs.

The Warriors lead the series 2-1. In their last game, they won against the Rockets by 11 points with a score of 104-93. Stephen Curry was a standout player, scoring 36 points. The Warriors have shown strong performance at home, winning two out of the three games in this series.

The Rockets won Game 2 of the series at home with a 15-point lead, scoring 109-94. Jalen Green was a key player in that game, scoring 38 points. However, they have struggled in the other games, losing both by 10 and 11 points. The Rockets will aim to even the series in this upcoming game.

Warriors Preview

The Golden State Warriors are in Game 4 of the Western Conference First Round in the NBA Playoffs. They have a postseason record of 3-1. At home, they have won both games they played. Their head coach is Steve Kerr.

In the regular season, the Warriors had a record of 48-34. They ranked 7th in the Western Conference and 3rd in the Pacific Division. Their home and away records were both 24-17. In their last 10 regular-season games, they went 7-3.

Stephen Curry is a key player for the Warriors. In the postseason, he averages 31 points per game. His field goal percentage is 49.4%, and he makes 5 three-pointers per game. Jimmy Butler III also contributes with 22 points per game and a field goal percentage of 56.1%.

Defensively, the Warriors allow 100.8 points per game, ranking 6th. They are strong in blocking shots, averaging 4 per game. Their field goal percentage allowed is 43.2%, which ranks 2nd. They also rank 1st in two-point percentage allowed at 47.3%.

Rockets Preview

The Houston Rockets are in the Western Conference First Round of the NBA Playoffs. They have a postseason record of 1-2. At home, they have won one game and lost one. Their away record is 0-1. In the regular season, the Rockets had a strong performance with a record of 52-30. They ranked second in the Western Conference and first in the Southwest Division.

In recent games, the Rockets played against the Golden State Warriors. They lost Game 3 by 11 points, scoring 93 points. Alperen Sengün was a key player with 15 points and 11 rebounds. In Game 2, they won by 15 points, scoring 109 points. Jalen Green led with 38 points. In Game 1, they lost by 10 points, scoring 85 points.

The Rockets have some standout players this postseason. Alperen Sengün averages 19.3 points and 12.0 rebounds per game. Jalen Green contributes 18.0 points per game. Fred VanVleet and Amen Thompson also add to the team’s efforts. Dillon Brooks scores 13.3 points per game.

During the regular season, the Rockets had strong stats. They scored 95.7 points per game and led the league in rebounds with 50.0 per game. Their defense allowed 97.7 points per game, ranking second. The team also ranked high in blocked shots and steals. They have a balanced approach on both offense and defense.

Statistical Breakdown for Warriors vs Rockets

The game between the Golden State Warriors and the Houston Rockets will focus on defense and shooting. The Warriors have a strong defense, allowing only 100.8 points per game, while the Rockets allow 97.7 points per game. The Warriors’ shooting strength is evident with 14.5 three-pointers made per game, ranking 4th. The Rockets lead in rebounds with 50.0 per game, which could help them control the pace.

  • Warriors Points Per Game: 103.5 (14th)
  • Warriors Three Pointers Made Per Game: 14.5 (4th)
  • Warriors Points Per Game Allowed: 100.8 (6th)
  • Rockets Points Per Game: 95.7 (19th)
  • Rockets Rebounds Per Game: 50.0 (1st)
  • Rockets Points Per Game Allowed: 97.7 (2nd)

Betting Insights

The Houston Rockets and Golden State Warriors are set for another game in the 2025 postseason. Both teams have shown different patterns against the spread (ATS) and in over/under results. The Rockets have struggled with a 1-2 ATS record in the postseason, while the Warriors are slightly better at 2-2. Over/under trends show both teams leaning towards the under in recent games. Here are the top betting insights for this game:

  1. Houston Rockets are on a 3-game under streak in the postseason.
  2. Golden State Warriors have a 3-game under streak in the postseason.
  3. Rockets have a 1-2 ATS record in the postseason.
  4. Warriors have a 2-2 ATS record in the postseason.
  5. Rockets’ average combined score in the postseason is 193.33, below their average over/under line of 207.67.

Free Betting Prediction for Warriors vs Rockets

The Golden State Warriors have shown strong performance at home in the postseason. They have a 3-1 record and have won both home games. Stephen Curry’s scoring ability and the team’s defensive strength make them a tough opponent. The Warriors’ ability to block shots and limit opponents’ field goals gives them an edge.

The Houston Rockets have struggled on the road, with an 0-1 away record in the playoffs. They have strong rebounding, which can help control the game’s pace. However, their scoring has been inconsistent, as seen in their recent games against the Warriors. Alperen Sengün and Jalen Green need to step up for the Rockets to compete.

Given the Warriors’ strong home performance and the Rockets’ road struggles, the Warriors are likely to win. The betting odds favor the Warriors, and their defense and shooting make them a solid choice. The game may lean towards the under, considering both teams’ recent trends.

  • Our Free Prediction: Warriors -3.5
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