New England Patriots vs Tennessee Titans Matchup

In this week 9 NFL regular season preview between Patriots and Titans, see who like to win the game and cover the spread.

The Patriots are +150 on the money line as they head to Tennessee to take on the Titans at 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 3rd. The Titans are favored at -179 on the money line and -3.5 on the point spread. This week nine AFC matchup is being televised on FOX, and the over/under line is set at 38 points.

Patriots vs. Titans Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: New England Patriots at Tennessee Titans
Where: Nashville at Nissan Stadium
Date: Sunday, November 3rd
Betting Odds TEN -3.5, NE +150 | TEN -179 O/U 38

Patriots Preview:

After six straight losses, the Patriots finally got back in the win column in week 8, defeating the Jets 25-22. New England was a 7-point underdog at home but managed to pull off the upset, improving their record to 2-6. The combined 47 points in the game went over the 41-point line, marking the Patriots’ third straight over.

Heading into week 9, New England ranks 31st in our NFL power rankings and has just a 0.5% chance of making the playoffs. They are 2-5-1 against the spread this season and have been the underdog in all of their games. Their average scoring margin is -9.1 points per game.

Patriots Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 9, the Patriots rank 26th in our offensive power rankings. They are 29th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 15.5, and 31st in passing yards per game, with 149.9, on 30.4 attempts per game. On the ground, they are 23rd in rushing yards per game, with 111, on 25.6 attempts per game. New England ranks 22nd in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion percentage but is 5th in red zone conversion percentage.

In week 8, Jacoby Brissett threw for 132 yards on 15/24 passing in the Patriots' win over the Jets. Rhamondre Stevenson had 48 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns on 20 carries, while Kayshon Boutte led the team with 46 receiving yards. New England scored 11 points in the 4th quarter and converted 7 of 15 3rd-down attempts.

Patriots Team Defense

In their 25-22 win over the Jets, the Patriots' defense allowed 224 passing yards on 17 completions, with two passing touchdowns. New York finished with 336 total yards, hitting on 60.7% of their passes and converting 40% of their third down attempts. The Patriots' run defense held the Jets to 112 yards on 28 attempts.

New England's defense managed just one sack in the game and came up short in the tackles for loss battle, trailing by a margin of -3.

Titans Preview:

Heading into week 9, the Titans are looking to snap a three-game losing streak, which includes a 52-14 blowout loss to the Lions in week 8. This leaves Tennessee at 1-6, putting them 30th in our NFL power rankings and giving them just a 1.7% chance of making the playoffs. They are 0-3 at home this season and 1-3 on the road, with their only win coming against the Dolphins in week 4.

Against the spread, the Titans are 1-6, including three straight losses. They were unable to cover as 12.5-point underdogs against the Lions, and they also failed to cover as favorites in week 6, losing to the Colts. Tennessee’s O/U record is 4-2-1, with the over hitting in their last two games.

Titans Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 9, the Titans rank 31st in our offensive power rankings. They sit 28th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 17.1, and are 29th in yards per game with 281.6. Tennessee ranks 30th in passing yards per game (161.9) on 31.4 attempts per game, which is 17th in the league. On the ground, they are 15th in rushing attempts and 17th in rushing yards per game, averaging 119.7. The Titans have struggled on 3rd down, converting just 30.6% of their attempts, but they are 8th in red zone conversion percentage, scoring on 60% of their trips.

Mason Rudolph threw for 266 yards in week 8, completing 22 of 38 passes with 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions. Tony Pollard led the rushing attack with 94 yards on 20 carries, while Calvin Ridley had 10 receptions for 143 yards. The Titans scored 14 points against the Lions, all in the first half, and converted 2 of 4 red zone opportunities.

Titans Team Defense

The Titans' defense gave up 52 points in a blowout loss to the Lions, despite their offense managing only 225 yards. They really struggled to stop the run, allowing 164 yards on just 24 attempts, with Detroit averaging 6.8 yards per attempt. In the passing game, the Titans gave up just 61 yards but allowed four touchdowns and a completion percentage of 78.9%.

Even though they gave up 52 points, the Titans did get four sacks and held the Lions to a 33.3% third-down conversion rate. However, Tennessee couldn't generate much pressure outside of their four sacks, as the QB hit differential was even.

Patriots vs Titans Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

In their last three games away from home, the Patriots have a straight up record of 0-3 while going 0-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 10 points per game in this stretch.
When looking at their past ten home matchups, Tennessee has an ATS record of 2-8 while averaging 15 per game. The team went 2-8 overall in these games.
The last ten games that New England was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 4-5-1 while going 3-7 straight up.
Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Titans have gone 3-7 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 3-7.