New England Patriots vs New York Jets Matchup

In this week 8 NFL regular season preview between Jets and Patriots, see who like to win the game and cover the spread.

The Patriots are the underdog at +272 on the money line as they host the Jets at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 27th at Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA. The Jets are favored by -7 on the road in this week eight AFC East matchup. The over/under line is set at 41 points, and this game will be televised on CBS.

Jets vs. Patriots Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: New York Jets at New England Patriots
Where: Foxborough at Gillette Stadium
Date: Sunday, October 27th
Betting Odds NYJ -7, NYJ -339 | NE +272 O/U 41

Jets Preview:

The Jets are looking to snap a four-game losing streak in week 8, which includes a 37-15 loss to the Steelers in week 7. New York was a 2.5-point favorite in that game but couldn’t get the win, dropping their record to 2-5. They are now 3rd in the AFC East and 12th in the conference, with a 25% chance of making the playoffs according to our projections.

Heading into week 8, the Jets are 13th in our power rankings and have an average scoring margin of -2.4 points per game. Against the spread, they are 2-5 and have failed to cover in four straight games. Their O/U record is 3-3-1, with the over hitting in their last two games.

Jets Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 8, the Jets rank 24th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 18.3 points per game (21st in the NFL) and 307 yards per game (23rd). They are 3rd in passing attempts per game, with 37.7, and 11th in passing yards, averaging 224.6. On the ground, they rank 30th in rushing attempts and 29th in rushing yards, with 82.4 per game. New York is 15th in the league in 3rd-down conversion rate (39.8%) and 12th in red zone conversion percentage.

Aaron Rodgers threw for 276 yards (24/39) with one touchdown and two interceptions in week 7. Breece Hall led the team in rushing with 38 yards on 12 carries and also had 6 receptions for 103 yards. The Jets scored 15 points against the Steelers, with all of them coming in the first half.

Jets Team Defense

In their 37-15 loss to the Steelers, the Jets' defense allowed 409 yards and 37 points. They struggled to defend the run, giving up 149 rushing yards on 36 attempts. In the passing game, the Jets allowed just 16 completions but gave up 260 yards, including two touchdowns. The Jets' defense managed only one sack and allowed the Steelers to convert on 35.7% of their third downs. New York also allowed Pittsburgh to hit the quarterback more often, with a negative QB hit differential of -3.

Patriots Preview:

Heading into week 8, the Patriots are looking to snap a six-game losing streak, which includes a 32-16 loss to the Jaguars in week 7. This dropped New England to 1-6, with their only win coming in week 1 against the Bengals. Since then, they’ve lost five straight, including a 20-point home loss to the Texans in week 6 and a 17-point road loss to the 49ers in week 4.

Our power rankings have the Patriots 31st, and they have just a 0.2% chance of making the playoffs. Against the spread, New England is 1-5-1, with five straight ATS losses. They’ve been the underdog in all of their games so far. Their O/U record is 4-3, with the over hitting in their last two games.

Patriots Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 8, the Patriots rank 27th in our offensive power rankings. They are 26th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 14.1, and 30th in yards per game with 262.9. New England ranks 17th in passing attempts but is 31st in passing yards per game, averaging 151.9. They are 24th in rushing attempts and 21st in rushing yards per game, with 111. On third down, the Patriots are 26th in the league, converting 33.3% of their attempts, but they have been efficient in the red zone, ranking 4th with a 75% conversion rate.

Drake Maye is expected to start against the Jets after throwing for 276 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 7. He finished with a passer rating of 109 and was not intercepted. Hunter Henry led the team with 8 catches for 92 yards. Before Maye's week 7 performance, Demario Douglas had 6 catches for 92 yards in week 6 and 59 yards in week 5. Rhamondre Stevenson is questionable for week 8 after missing practice on Wednesday.

Patriots Team Defense

In their 32-16 loss to the Jaguars, the Patriots' defense gave up 171 rushing yards on 39 attempts. Despite this, they allowed just 15 completions for 193 yards through the air. The Patriots gave up one passing touchdown and allowed Jacksonville to convert on 60% of their third down attempts. New England failed to record a sack in the game and had a tackles for loss differential of -3.

Jets vs Patriots Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

When looking at their past five road matchups, New York has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 18 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
Across the Patriots last three home games, the team averaged 10 points per game while allowing 28. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 0-3, while going 0-3 straight-up.
Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Patriots have gone 0-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 0-3.
Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Jets have a straight up record of 4-6. But, their mark vs the spread was just 2-7-1.