Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia Eagles Matchup

Read our Chiefs vs Eagles pick and preview for this NFL Super Bowl game in New Orleans. Check out who we like to win and cover the spread in this Super Bowl NFL matchup.

Even though the Eagles are the home team, their week 10 matchup against the Chiefs is being played at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, LA. This neutral site game is set for 6:30 ET on Sunday, February 9th, with no TV coverage. The Chiefs are the slight favorite with a money line of -119, while the Eagles' money line odds are +101. The Chiefs are -1 point favorites and the over/under line is 48.5 points.

Chiefs vs. Eagles Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: Kansas City Chiefs at Philadelphia Eagles
Where: New Orleans at Caesars Superdome
Date: Sunday, February 9th
Betting Odds KC -1, KC -119 | PHI +101 O/U 48.5

Chiefs Preview:

With a 15-2 record, the Chiefs finished the regular season atop the AFC and our power rankings. They went 10-0 at home and 7-2 on the road, including a 38-0 loss to the Broncos in week 18. Kansas City bounced back with playoff wins over the Texans (23-14) and Bills (32-29) to reach the Super Bowl, where they’ll face the Eagles.

Heading into week 4, the Chiefs rank 6th in our power rankings. They have a +3.7 scoring margin and are 8-10-1 against the spread. Their O/U record is 8-11, with the under hitting in their last two games.

Chiefs Offense Breakdown

Patrick Mahomes has been solid in the playoffs, posting a passer rating of 111 in the AFC Championship game, with 245 yards and a touchdown on 18/26 passing. He threw for 177 yards and a touchdown in the Divisional Round, without an interception in either game. Kareem Hunt led the ground game with 64 yards on 17 carries, while Xavier Worthy had 6 catches for 85 yards and a touchdown against the Bills.

In our offensive power rankings, the Chiefs are 8th, and they rank 12th in the NFL with 23.2 points per game. They are 19th in total yards, averaging 323.7 per game, and 16th in passing yards with 219.7 per game. On the ground, they rank 23rd in rushing yards, with 103.9 per game.

Chiefs Team Defense

The Chiefs' defense gave up 147 rushing yards on 32 attempts to the Bills in their 32-29 win. Buffalo finished with 374 total yards, but Kansas City's defense was tough on third downs, allowing just a 35.7% conversion rate. They also had two sacks and held the Bills to 2-of-8 on third down.

In the passing game, Buffalo had 227 yards through the air, completing 64.7% of their passes. The Chiefs gave up two passing touchdowns in the game.

Eagles Preview:

After finishing the regular season 14-3, the Eagles have won two straight, including a 55-23 win over the Commanders in the NFC Championship. Philadelphia was a 6-point favorite and easily covered, with the 78 combined points going over the 47-point line. The Eagles didn’t cover the 7-point spread in their 28-22 divisional round win over the Rams, but the 50 points in that game went over the 43.5-point line.

Philadelphia ranks 5th in our power rankings heading into the Super Bowl. They have an average scoring margin of +10.5 and are 13-7 ATS this season. They are 10-7 as favorites and 3-0 as underdogs. The Eagles’ O/U record is 9-11, with their games averaging 46.3 points compared to an average line of 45.

Eagles Offense Breakdown

Philadelphia's offense is ranked 4th in our power rankings. They are 6th in the NFL in points per game (28.4) and 7th in yards per game (367). The Eagles lean heavily on their run game, leading the league in rushing attempts and ranking 2nd in rushing yards per game with 186.6. On the other hand, they are 31st in both passing attempts and passing yards per game. They are 10th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a 41.7% success rate, and 26th in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 4th in red zone attempts.

Jalen Hurts had a strong performance in the NFC Championship, throwing for 246 yards and a touchdown with a passer rating of 110. Saquon Barkley rushed for 118 yards and 3 touchdowns on 15 carries, while A.J. Brown caught 6 passes for 96 yards and a touchdown. The Eagles scored 21 points in the 4th quarter and converted all 7 of their red zone attempts after struggling in that area in previous playoff games.

Eagles Team Defense

In their 55-23 win over the Commanders, the Eagles' defense allowed 350 yards and 23 points. Washington managed just 99 yards on 25 rushing attempts (4.0 yards per attempt). The Eagles gave up 251 passing yards on 30 completions, with one passing touchdown allowed and one interception. They also held Washington to a 41.2% conversion rate on third downs and recorded three sacks.

Chiefs vs Eagles Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

In their last five games away from home, the Chiefs have a straight up record of 3-2 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team's offense averaged 20 points per game in these contests.
When looking at their past ten home matchups, Philadelphia has an ATS record of 6-4 while averaging 24 per game. The team went 6-4 overall in these games.
Philadelphia has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS in their last three games.
The last ten games that Kansas City was favored, they have an ATS mark of 4-6 while going 10-0 straight up.