Kansas City Chiefs vs New Orleans Saints Matchup

Keep reading to see our NFL week 5 Saints vs Chiefs pick and preview. In this article we will outline who will come away with the win and cover the spread.

The Saints and Chiefs will face off on Monday, October 7th at 8:15 ET, with the Chiefs favored on the money line at -227. The Saints are +5 point underdogs on the road at Arrowhead Stadium. This week five non-conference matchup can be viewed on ESPN, with the over/under line set at 42.5 points.

Saints vs. Chiefs Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: New Orleans Saints at Kansas City Chiefs
Where: Kansas City at Arrowhead Stadium
Date: Monday, October 7th
Betting Odds KC -5, NO +187 | KC -227 O/U 42.5

Saints Preview:

The Saints were on the wrong end of a 26-24 score in their most recent game, dropping them to 2-2 for the season. New Orleans fell behind early vs. the Falcons, but Taysom Hill's two rushing touchdowns helped them take a 14-10 lead in the 2nd quarter. After the Falcons took a 20-14 lead in the 3rd quarter, the Saints closed the gap to 20-17 with a 43-yard field goal from Blake Grupe.

With 29 seconds left in the 4th, the Saints took a 24-23 lead on an Alvin Kamara touchdown, but the Falcons still managed to pull out the win with a 58-yard field goal from Younghoe Koo with seven seconds left. The Saints were +2.5 point underdogs heading into the game, and their straight-up loss came by just two points.

Saints Offense Breakdown

Despite their 26-24 loss to the Falcons, the Saints' offense picked up 25 first downs and put up 315 yards of total offense. They were efficient on third down, converting 53.8% of their chances, and Alvin Kamara led the ground game with 77 yards on 19 carries, including one touchdown and a long run of 15 yards. New Orleans' passing attack, led by Derek Carr, threw for 235 yards without a touchdown. Carr completed 77% of his passes, was sacked once, and threw one interception.

Chris Olave was the top target for the Saints, finishing with 87 yards on eight receptions. New Orleans had a chance to win this one, as Carr and the offense drove the team into field goal range in the final seconds, but missed a potential game-winning field goal as time expired. The Saints will look to finish drives with touchdowns in their next game.

Saints Team Defense

In their 26-24 loss to the Falcons, the Saints' defense gave up 227 passing yards and 88 rushing yards on just 15 attempts. They held Atlanta to a 36.4% third-down conversion rate and didn't allow any passing touchdowns, but the Falcons did enough to pull out the win.

New Orleans' defense also came up with one interception and limited the Falcons to 315 total yards. They recorded one sack and had a slight edge in quarterback hits while losing out on the tackles for loss battle.

Chiefs Preview:

Despite falling behind early, the Chiefs rallied to win 17-10 over the Chargers, moving to 4-0 for the season. Kansas City trailed 10-0 after the 1st quarter but fought back to tie the game at 10 heading into the 4th quarter. Samaje Perine's 2-yard touchdown run in the 4th sealed the comeback for the Chiefs. The game ended in a push vs. the spread, as the Chiefs were 7-point road favorites.

After the Chargers' early touchdown, the Chiefs responded with a touchdown in the 2nd quarter, as Xavier Worthy caught a pass from Patrick Mahomes. In the 3rd quarter, Harrison Butker's field goal leveled the score at 10. The Chiefs' defense kept the Chargers off the board in the 2nd half, giving the offense a chance to come back and pull out the win.

Chiefs Offense Breakdown

Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs' passing game had 228 yards through the air in their 17-10 win over the Chargers. Mahomes completed 65% of his passes and threw one touchdown. He was sacked three times and finished with a passer rating of 89. Travis Kelce led the team with 89 receiving yards.

Kansas City struggled to get the running game going, finishing with just 101 yards on 26 attempts. Kareem Hunt led the team with 69 yards on 14 carries, including a long run of 10 yards. The Chiefs finished with 16 first downs and converted 56.2% of their third down attempts.

Chiefs Team Defense

The Chiefs' defense played a big role in their 17-10 win over the Chargers, holding Los Angeles to just 55 yards rushing on 24 attempts. They allowed only 169 passing yards and limited the Chargers to a 30.8% conversion rate on third down. Kansas City's defense also recorded two sacks and held the Chargers to 10 points.

Despite allowing one passing touchdown, the Chiefs defended the pass well, holding the Chargers to a 59.3% completion percentage. They also had a good day in terms of generating pressure, with a +6 advantage in quarterback hits over the Chargers.

Saints vs Chiefs Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Through their last ten road games, New Orleans has an ATS record of just 5-5. However, their overall record was 4-6 while averaging 24 points per game.
Across their last five home contests, Kansas City has been good against the spread posting a mark of 4-0-1. Their overall mark in these games was 5-0, while averaging 19 points per game.
Looking back on the team's last five games as the underdog, the Saints have a straight up record of 2-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 3-2.
In their last three contests as the favorite, Kansas City has a poor record vs the spread going 1-1-1. But, they still put together a straight up mark of 3-0.