Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots Matchup

In this week 7 NFL regular season preview between Patriots and Jaguars, see who like to win the game and cover the spread.

The Jaguars are the heavy favorite in their week seven matchup against the Patriots, which is being played at Wembley Stadium in London at 9:30 ET. The Jaguars are -239 on the money line, while the Patriots' money line odds are +195. The Jaguars are -5.5 on the point spread, and the over/under line is 42.5 points. This game is being televised on NFLN.

Patriots vs. Jaguars Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: New England Patriots at Jacksonville Jaguars
Where: London at Wembley Stadium
Date: Sunday, October 20th
Betting Odds JAX -5.5, NE +195 | JAX -239 O/U 42.5

Patriots Preview:

Heading into week 7, the Patriots are looking to snap a five-game losing streak, which includes a 41-21 home loss to the Texans in week 6. New England was a 6.5-point underdog in that game and failed to cover the spread, bringing their ATS record to 1-4-1 this season. They have been the underdog in all of their games so far and rank 32nd in our NFL power rankings.

With a 1-5 record, the Patriots have just a 0.3% chance of making the playoffs and a 0.1% chance of winning the AFC East. Their only win this season came in week 1, when they beat the Bengals 16-10 on the road. Since then, they’ve lost two home games and three on the road.

Patriots Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 7, the Patriots rank 29th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 13.8 points per game, which is 28th in the NFL. They are 30th in total yards per game (257.5) and last in passing yards, with 134.3 per game, on 29.3 attempts (22nd). On the ground, New England ranks 16th in rushing attempts and 12th in rushing yards per game, averaging 123.2 yards. They have struggled on 3rd down, converting just 31% of their attempts, but they are 4th in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 12th in red zone attempts.

Drake Maye took over at quarterback in week 6, throwing for 243 yards, 3 touchdowns, and 2 interceptions in the Patriots' 41-21 loss to the Texans. Demario Douglas led the team with 6 catches for 92 yards, while Maye also led the team in rushing with 38 yards on 5 carries. New England converted just 3 of 13 3rd downs in the game but scored on their only red zone trip.

Patriots Team Defense

The Patriots' defense gave up 192 rushing yards on just 28 attempts in their 41-21 loss to the Texans. Despite this, they held Houston to 176 passing yards on 20 completions. New England's defense struggled to defend the run, giving up a 6.9-yard average per attempt, but they did force one interception.

On third downs, the Patriots allowed the Texans to convert 36.4% of their chances. New England's defense also allowed three passing touchdowns in the game and managed only two sacks while losing the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials.

Jaguars Preview:

Heading into week 7, the Jaguars sit at 1-5, ranking 24th in our NFL power rankings. Following their week 5 win over the Colts, Jacksonville couldn’t keep the momentum going, losing 35-16 to the Bears in week 6. The Jags were 1.5-point favorites in that game but couldn’t get the job done, dropping their ATS record to 2-4 this season.

Jacksonville currently has a -10.8 scoring margin and a 4.8% chance of making the playoffs. Their O/U record stands at 3-3, with the over hitting in their last two games.

Jaguars Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 7, the Jaguars rank 22nd in our offensive power rankings. They are 20th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 18.8, and 19th in total yards per game, with 319.5. Jacksonville ranks 10th in passing attempts but is 20th in passing yards, averaging 203 per game. On the ground, they are 28th in rushing attempts and 19th in rushing yards per game, with 116.5. The Jaguars have struggled on 3rd down, converting just 30.4% of their attempts, which ranks 25th in the league. They are 17th in red zone conversion percentage, despite ranking 6th in red zone attempts.

Trevor Lawrence threw for 234 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 6 against the Bears, completing 23 of 35 passes. He was sacked 3 times and had 1 interception. Evan Engram led the team with 10 catches for 102 yards, while D’Ernest Johnson had 6 carries for 28 yards. Jacksonville scored 3 points in the 1st quarter, 0 in the 2nd, 7 in the 3rd, and 6 in the 4th.

Jaguars Team Defense

In their 35-16 loss to the Bears, the Jaguars' defense struggled to defend the pass, allowing four passing touchdowns and a completion rate of 79.3%. Chicago's passing game put up 221 yards on Jacksonville, with three sacks coming from the Jaguars' defense. However, they did force one interception.

Jacksonville's run defense also had a tough outing, giving up 152 yards on 29 attempts. Overall, the Jaguars allowed 373 total yards and allowed the Bears to convert on 45.5% of their third down attempts.

Patriots vs Jaguars Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

When looking at their past ten road matchups, New England has an ATS record of 4-6 while averaging 14 per game. The team went 3-7 overall in these games.
Across their ten previous home games, Jacksonville has an ATS mark of 5-5. Their straight up record in these matchups was 3-7 while averaging 19 points per game.
In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Patriots have a straight up record of 0-3 and an ATS mark of 0-3.
As the betting favorite, the Jaguars have an ATS mark of just 1-4 in their last five games. Jacksonville posted a straight up mark of 2-3 in these matchups.