Indianapolis Colts vs Tennessee Titans Matchup

Check out our week 16 Titans vs. Colts pick and preview to get our insight on to who will win and cover in Indianapolis.

The Colts are favored at -218 on the money line as they host the Titans at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 22nd at Lucas Oil Stadium. The Colts are -4.5 point favorites on the point spread in this week 16 AFC South matchup. CBS is set to broadcast the game, with the over/under line currently at 42.5 points.

Titans vs. Colts Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts
Where: Indianapolis at Lucas Oil Stadium
Date: Sunday, December 22nd
Betting Odds IND -4.5, TEN +180 | IND -218 O/U 42.5

Titans Preview:

Heading into week 16, the Titans are 3-11 and rank 28th in our power rankings. Tennessee has lost three straight games, including a 37-27 defeat to the Bengals in week 15. The Titans were 6-point underdogs at home but couldn’t cover the spread, bringing their ATS record to 2-12 this season. They are 0-4 as favorites and 2-8 as underdogs. Tennessee’s average scoring margin is -8.9 points per game.

With a 1-2 division record, the Titans are 4th in the AFC South and have been eliminated from playoff contention. They are 1-6 at home and 2-5 on the road this season. Their O/U record is 8-5-1, with their games averaging 45.2 points compared to an average line of 41.2.

Titans Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 16, the Titans rank 30th in our offensive power rankings. They are 24th in the NFL in points per game (18.1) and 26th in both passing yards (190.6) and total yards per game (301). Tennessee is 19th in passing attempts and 18th in rushing attempts, averaging 110.4 rushing yards per game. They rank 22nd in 3rd-down conversions but are 8th in the league in red zone conversion percentage, scoring on 39.5% of their trips.

In week 15, the Titans scored 27 points in a loss to the Bengals, with 13 coming in the 4th quarter. Mason Rudolph threw for 209 yards and 2 touchdowns on 21/26 passing. Tony Pollard had 45 rushing yards on 17 carries, while Tyjae Spears led the team with 87 receiving yards on 6 catches.

Titans Team Defense

In their most recent game, the Titans' defense gave up 269 yards through the air on 26 completions to the Bengals. They also allowed three passing touchdowns and a 70.3% completion percentage to Cincinnati. The Titans' defense struggled on third downs, allowing the Bengals to convert 76.9% of their third down attempts. Despite this, they did force two interceptions.

The Titans' defense struggled to generate consistent pressure, managing only one sack and losing the tackles for loss battle by -4. Overall, the Bengals put up 37 points on 370 total yards, handing the Titans a 37-27 loss.

Colts Preview:

Heading into week 16, the Colts sit at 6-8, placing them 2nd in the AFC South. Our power rankings have them 23rd, and they have an 8.7% chance of making the playoffs. They are 3-3 at home and 3-5 on the road, and their division record is 1-3. In week 15, they lost 31-13 to the Broncos, leaving them at 6-8. Before that, they beat the Patriots in week 13 but lost to the Lions in week 12.

Indy has an average scoring margin of -3.5 points per game and is 8-6 against the spread. They have failed to cover in three straight games. Their O/U record is 7-7, with the over hitting in two consecutive games.

Colts Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 16, the Colts are 28th in our offensive power rankings. They are 20th in the NFL in both points per game (20) and yards per game (311.4). Indianapolis ranks 23rd in passing attempts and 27th in passing yards, with 190.4 per game. On the ground, they are 13th in rushing attempts and 12th in rushing yards, averaging 120.9 per game. The Colts have struggled on 3rd down, converting just 35.8% of their attempts, which ranks 24th in the league.

Anthony Richardson threw for 172 yards in week 15, completing 17 of 38 passes with 2 interceptions. Jonathan Taylor led the team with 107 rushing yards on 22 carries, while Michael Pittman Jr. had 6 receptions for 58 yards. The Colts scored 13 points against Denver, all in the first half, and went 0/1 in the red zone while converting 4 of 15 3rd-down attempts.

Colts Team Defense

In their 31-13 loss to the Broncos, the Colts' defense allowed just 121 passing yards but gave up three passing touchdowns. They struggled to generate pressure, with only one sack and losing the QB hit differential by nine. The Colts' run defense was solid, allowing just 72 yards on 27 attempts.

Despite their struggles against the pass, the Colts' defense did manage to force three interceptions. Offenses converted on 35.3% of their third down attempts against Indianapolis.

Titans vs Colts Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Through their last three road contests, the Titans offense has averaged 22 points per game while allowing an average of 32. Tennessee posted an overall record of 1-2 while going 1-2 ATS.
Across their five previous home games, Indianapolis has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-3 while averaging 19 points per game.
Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Titans have gone 1-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.
Indianapolis has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS in their last three games.