Indianapolis Colts vs Miami Dolphins Matchup

Read our Dolphins vs Colts pick and preview for this NFL pre-season week 7 game in Indianapolis. Check out who we like to win and cover the spread in this regular season NFL matchup.

The over/under line is set at 43.5 points as the Colts, who are favored by -3.5, host the Dolphins at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. The Dolphins are +155 on the money line, and this week seven AFC matchup is set to kick off at 1:00 ET on FOX. The Colts are also looking to add to their record, and the Dolphins need to add their record as well.

Dolphins vs. Colts Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts
Where: Indianapolis at Lucas Oil Stadium
Date: Sunday, October 20th
Betting Odds IND -3.5, MIA +155 | IND -189 O/U 43.5

Dolphins Preview:

Heading into week 7, the Dolphins sit 31st in our NFL power rankings and have a 9% chance of making the playoffs. Miami is 2-3 this season, putting them 2nd in the AFC East. They are 1-1 in division games and 2-2 in conference play. On the road, the Dolphins are 1-1, and they are 1-2 at home.

Against the spread, Miami is 1-4, with an average scoring margin of -10.6 points per game. Their O/U record is 1-4, with their games averaging 34.6 points per game. In week 5, the Dolphins snapped a 3-game losing streak by beating the Patriots 15-10. They covered the 2-point spread, but the game went under the 37-point line.

Dolphins Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 7, the Dolphins rank 31st in our offensive power rankings. They are 29th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 12, and 23rd in yards per game, with 302.4. Miami ranks 13th in passing attempts per game but is 26th in passing yards, averaging 185.6. On the ground, they are 9th in rushing attempts and 18th in rushing yards per game, with 116.8. The Dolphins have struggled on 3rd down, converting just 30.3% of their attempts, which ranks 26th in the league. However, they have been efficient in the red zone, ranking 2nd in the NFL with a 109.1% conversion rate.

In week 5, Tyler Huntley threw for 194 yards on 18 of 31 passing, with one interception. Miami leaned on the run game, with Jaylen Wright carrying the ball 13 times for 86 yards. Tyreek Hill led the team in receiving, with 6 catches for 69 yards. Miami scored 6 points in both the 3rd and 4th quarters against New England.

Dolphins Team Defense

In their 15-10 win over the Patriots, the Dolphins' defense allowed just 148 passing yards. Although they struggled against the run, giving up 151 yards on only 19 attempts, their performance in the passing game was impressive. Miami held New England to just 30.8% on third down and limited them to 299 total yards.

Miami's defense also recorded two sacks and held New England to a 52.9% completion rate. Despite their issues against the run, the Dolphins didn't allow a single touchdown and gave up only 10 points in the game.

Colts Preview:

Heading into week 7, the Colts sit at 3-3, putting them 2nd in the AFC South. After a week 5 loss to the Jaguars, they bounced back with a 20-17 win over the Titans in week 6. The Colts were 2.5-point underdogs in that game, but they came away with the win, improving their ATS record to 5-1 this season.

Indianapolis has a 51.8% chance of making the playoffs and a 13.8% chance of winning the division. They rank 17th in our power rankings. Their O/U record is 3-3, with their games averaging 46.3 points per game.

Colts Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 7, the Colts rank 15th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 23.2 points per game (14th) and 336.8 yards per game (13th). They’ve been efficient on 3rd down, converting 42.7% of their attempts, which ranks 7th in the NFL. Despite being 6th in red zone attempts, they are 22nd in red zone conversion percentage, scoring on just 19% of their trips inside the 20.

Joe Flacco threw for 189 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 6, finishing 22/38 with 1 interception. Josh Downs led the team with 66 receiving yards on 7 catches, while Tyler Goodson had 51 rushing yards on 8 carries. The Colts scored 10 points in the 4th quarter against the Titans.

Colts Team Defense

In their 20-17 win over the Titans, the Colts' defense allowed just 95 passing yards on 16 completions. However, they did struggle against the run, giving up 146 yards on 28 attempts, including a 5.2 yards per attempt average. The Colts' defense picked off one pass, held the Titans to 36.4% on third down, and limited them to 241 total yards.

Despite their strong performance in the passing game, the Colts didn't record any sacks and allowed one passing touchdown. Indianapolis also won the quarterback hit battle by a margin of +2, but they did have a -4 differential in tackles for loss.

Dolphins vs Colts Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

In their last three games away from home, the Dolphins have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 8 points per game in this stretch.
Through their last five home contests, the Colts offense has averaged 17 points per game while allowing an average of 26. Indianapolis posted an overall record of 1-4 while going 2-3 ATS.
In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Dolphins have a straight up record of 0-3 and an ATS mark of 0-3.
In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Colts have a strong straight up record of 4-1. In addition, their ATS record was 3-2 in these scenarios.