Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans Matchup

Check out our free Titans vs Texans pick and preview for this NFL week 12 game in Houston. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 12 regular season matchup.

The Texans are heavily favored in their week 12 matchup against the Titans, with their money line odds at -430 compared to the Titans' +332. The game, set for 1:00 ET on Sunday, November 24th at NRG Stadium in Houston, is being televised on CBS. The Texans are favored by -8.5 points, and the over/under line is at 41.5 points.

Titans vs. Texans Matchup At A Glance

  • Sport: NFL
  • Teams: Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans
  • Where: Houston at NRG Stadium
  • Date: Sunday, November 24th
  • Betting Odds HOU -8.5, TEN +332 | HOU -430 O/U 41.5

Titans Preview:

Heading into week 12, the Titans are on a two-game losing streak, dropping their record to 2-8. Tennessee ranks 28th in our NFL power rankings and has just a 0.5% chance of making the playoffs. In week 11, they couldn’t take advantage of being at home, losing 23-13 to the Vikings. The Titans were 6-point underdogs but couldn’t cover the spread, bringing their ATS record to 1-9 this season.

On average, the Titans have a scoring margin of -9.3 points per game. Their O/U record is 5-4-1, with their games averaging 43.3 points. The O/U line for their week 11 matchup with the Vikings was 40 points, and the teams combined for 36.

Titans Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 12, the Titans are 30th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 26th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 17, and are 25th in yards per game with 295.4. Tennessee is 27th in passing yards per game (178.4) on 30.7 attempts per game, and they are 18th in rushing yards per game, averaging 117 on 26.8 attempts. The Titans have struggled on third down, converting just 33.6% of their attempts, which ranks 26th in the league. However, they have been efficient in the red zone, converting 48.3% of their trips, ranking 7th in the NFL.

Will Levis threw for 295 yards (17/31) with one touchdown and one interception in week 11 against the Vikings, but he was sacked five times. Nick Westbrook-Ikhine had two catches for 117 yards and a touchdown. Before week 11, Levis had a passer rating of 127 in week 10, going 18/23 for 175 yards and two touchdowns. In week 9, Mason Rudolph threw for 240 yards and two touchdowns.

Titans Team Defense

Despite holding the Vikings to 82 yards on 2.5 yards per attempt, the Titans gave up 236 passing yards and two touchdowns in their 23-13 loss to the Vikings. They allowed Minnesota to convert on 35.7% of their third down attempts and finish with 318 total yards. Tennessee's defense recorded two sacks and limited Minnesota to 20 completions on 32 attempts (62.5% completion percentage).

Texans Preview:

Heading into week 12, the Texans sit atop the AFC South with a 7-4 record, including a perfect 3-0 mark in division play. Our projections give Houston a 96.8% chance of making the playoffs and a 94.6% chance of winning the division. In our power rankings, the Texans currently rank 9th. They are 5-6 against the spread this season, but they have covered in two straight games, including their 34-10 win over the Cowboys in week 11.

Houston’s O/U record is 3-7-1, with their games averaging 44.9 points compared to an average line of 45.3. In their week 11 matchup with Dallas, the teams combined for 44 points, going over the 41.5-point line. Before that, the Texans’ week 10 game against the Lions resulted in a push, and the under hit in their previous three games.

Texans Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 12, the Texans sit 17th in our offensive power rankings. They are 13th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 23.5, and 14th in yards per game with 342.9. Houston ranks 16th in 3rd-down conversions (38.2%) and is 22nd in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 6th in red zone attempts. They’ve been strong early in games, ranking 3rd in 1st-quarter scoring.

In week 11, C.J. Stroud threw for 257 yards on 23/34 passing, with 1 interception, in the win over Dallas. Joe Mixon rushed for 109 yards and 3 touchdowns, while Tank Dell led the team with 54 receiving yards. Houston scored 14 points in the 4th quarter against the Cowboys.

Texans Team Defense

The Texans' defense forced five sacks and limited the Cowboys to just 33.3% on third down in their 34-10 win over Dallas. Despite giving up 324 passing yards, Houston's defense held the Cowboys to just 10 points. The Texans' defense also came away with one interception and allowed only 58.9% completions.

On the ground, the Texans gave up 64 rushing yards on 18 attempts. Even though they allowed 388 total yards, the Texans were effective in slowing down the Cowboys' offense when it mattered most.

Titans vs Texans Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

  • Across their ten previous road games, Tennessee has an ATS mark of 2-8. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-8 while averaging 15 points per game.
  • Across their ten previous home games, Houston has an ATS mark of 5-5. Their straight up record in these matchups was 5-5 while averaging 20 points per game.
  • The last five games that Tennessee was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 1-4 while going 1-4 straight up.
  • Looking back on the team's last ten games as the favorite, the Texans have a straight up record of 9-1. Their record vs the spread in these games was 5-5.

Titans vs Texans Free Pick

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