Houston Texans vs Jacksonville Jaguars Matchup

Keep reading to see our NFL week 13 Texans vs Jaguars pick and preview. In this article we will outline who will come away with the win and cover the spread.

FOX will broadcast the week 13 AFC South matchup between the Jaguars and Texans from EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville. The Texans are the road favorite with a point spread of -5 and a money line of -232. The Jaguars' money line odds are +191, and the over/under line is set at 43.5 points. Kickoff is at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 1st.

Texans vs. Jaguars Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars
Where: Jacksonville at EverBank Stadium
Date: Sunday, December 1st
Betting Odds HOU -5, HOU -232 | JAX +191 O/U 43.5

Texans Preview:

Heading into week 13, the Texans hold a 7-5 record, putting them atop the AFC South with a 3-1 division record. Our projections give them a 92.5% chance of making the playoffs and a 90.9% chance of winning the division. Houston ranks 12th in our NFL power rankings. They are 5-7 against the spread this season, with a +1.4 average scoring margin. Their O/U record is 4-7-1, with the over hitting in two straight games.

After a big win over the Cowboys in week 11, the Texans couldn’t keep the momentum going, losing 32-27 to the Titans in week 12. They were 8-point favorites in that game, and the 59 combined points easily went over the 40.5-point line. Before that, Houston had a 3-game losing streak, including a 26-23 loss to the Lions in week 10 and a 21-13 loss to the Jets in week 9.

Texans Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 13, the Texans rank 19th in our offensive power rankings. They sit 12th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 23.8, and are 16th in total yards per game with 336. Houston ranks 15th in passing yards per game (221.4) and 20th in rushing yards per game (114.6). They have struggled on 3rd down, converting just 37% of their attempts, which ranks 22nd in the league. Despite being 6th in red zone attempts, they rank 23rd in red zone conversion percentage at 14.3%.

C.J. Stroud threw for 247 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 12, completing 20 of 33 passes, but he also had 2 interceptions and was sacked 4 times. Joe Mixon was held to just 22 yards on 14 carries, while Nico Collins led the team with 5 receptions for 92 yards and a touchdown.

Texans Team Defense

Despite their 32-27 loss to the Titans, the Texans' defense came away with eight sacks and one interception in their most recent game. Houston allowed 237 passing yards on 18 completions, with Tennessee rushing for 132 yards on 33 attempts. The Texans' defense forced the Titans to convert on just 28.6% of their third down attempts.

However, the Texans did give up big plays in the passing game, as the Titans averaged 9.5 yards per attempt. Houston also struggled to stop the run, allowing Tennessee to control the game on the ground and finish with 369 total yards.

Jaguars Preview:

Jacksonville’s 52-6 loss to the Lions in week 11 extended their losing streak to four games, dropping them to 2-9 this season. The Jaguars are now 28th in our power rankings and have just a 0.5% chance of making the playoffs. They are 4th in the AFC South with a 1-1 division record and are 2-4 in conference play.

Jacksonville is 6-5 against the spread, including a 5-2 record as underdogs. Their O/U record is 7-4, with their games averaging 47.6 points per game. The average line in their games has been 45.3 points.

Jaguars Offense Breakdown

Jacksonville's offense has struggled to find consistency, ranking 24th in our offensive power rankings. They are 23rd in the NFL in scoring, averaging 18.9 points per game, and 30th in total yards per game with 290.8. In the passing game, they rank 21st in attempts and 27th in yards per game, averaging 189.2. On the ground, they are 28th in rushing attempts and 25th in rushing yards per game, with 101.6. The Jaguars have also struggled on 3rd down, converting just 31.9% of their attempts, which ranks 30th in the league.

Mac Jones has started the last two games for Jacksonville, throwing for 138 yards on 17/29 passing in week 11. Before Jones, Trevor Lawrence threw for 169 yards and 2 interceptions in week 9. Travis Etienne Jr. led the team in rushing in week 11 with 27 yards on 12 carries, while Brian Thomas Jr. had 5 catches for 82 yards.

Jaguars Team Defense

In their most recent game, the Jaguars' defense gave up 52 points to the Lions, allowing 645 total yards and 196 yards on the ground. They struggled to defend the pass, giving up 449 yards through the air, with Detroit averaging 13.6 yards per passing attempt. The Jaguars allowed the Lions to complete 81.8% of their passes and score four passing touchdowns. Additionally, Jacksonville failed to record a sack and allowed the Lions to convert on 60% of their third down attempts.

Texans vs Jaguars Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Across their last five road contests, Houston has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 2-3, while averaging 23 points per game.
Across the Jaguars last three home games, the team averaged 15 points per game while allowing 38. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 0-3 straight-up.
Through their last three games as the betting underdog, the Jaguars have a strong record vs the spread going 2-1. Their straight up mark in these contests is 0-3.
As the betting favorite, the Texans have an ATS mark of just 4-6 in their last ten games. Houston posted a straight up mark of 8-2 in these matchups.