Green Bay Packers vs San Francisco 49ers Matchup

Check out our free 49ers vs Packers pick and preview for this NFL week 12 game in Green Bay. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 12 regular season matchup.

The 49ers and Packers will face off at 4:25 ET on Sunday, November 24th, with FOX handling the television coverage. The game, being played at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, has the Packers favored at -138 on the money line. The 49ers are +116 on the money line and +2.5 on the point spread. The over/under line is set at 48 points.

49ers vs. Packers Matchup At A Glance

  • Sport: NFL
  • Teams: San Francisco 49ers at Green Bay Packers
  • Where: Green Bay at Lambeau Field
  • Date: Sunday, November 24th
  • Betting Odds GB -2.5, SF +116 | GB -138 O/U 48

49ers Preview:

Heading into week 12, the 49ers are 5-5, placing them 4th in the NFC West. Our projections give San Francisco a 26.8% chance of making the playoffs and an 18.8% chance of winning the division. Despite their record, the 49ers rank 7th in our NFL power rankings.

After winning two straight, the 49ers couldn’t keep the momentum going in week 11, losing 20-17 to the Seahawks. San Francisco was favored by 6 points but couldn’t get the win at home. The O/U line was 49, and the teams combined for 37 points. The under has hit in two straight 49ers games.

49ers Offense Breakdown

In our offensive power rankings, the 49ers sit 10th in the NFL, and they are 8th in points per game, averaging 25. San Francisco is 4th in passing yards per game (251.1) despite ranking 19th in pass attempts. They are also 7th in rushing attempts and rushing yards per game, with an average of 147.8. On 3rd down, the 49ers have been efficient, converting 45.4% of their attempts, which ranks 4th in the league. However, they are 20th in red zone conversion percentage, despite ranking 4th in red zone attempts.

In week 11, Brock Purdy threw for 159 yards, completing 21 of 28 passes, with 1 touchdown and 1 interception. Jauan Jennings led the team with 10 receptions for 91 yards, while Christian McCaffrey had 79 rushing yards on 19 carries. The 49ers scored 7 points in the 1st and 4th quarters, finishing with 17 points in their loss to the Seahawks.

49ers Team Defense

In their 20-17 loss to the Seahawks, the 49ers' defense allowed just 195 passing yards on 25 completions. They also came up with four sacks and one interception, while Seattle converted 46.2% of their third down attempts. Despite their efforts, the 49ers couldn't come up with a win, as their offense struggled to put up points.

On the ground, the 49ers gave up 94 rushing yards to the Seahawks, with Seattle finishing with 289 total yards. The 49ers' defense did a good job in limiting big plays, as the Seahawks averaged just 6.1 yards per pass attempt.

Packers Preview:

With a 7-3 record, the Packers have an 88.2% chance of making the playoffs, according to our projections. They rank 5th in our NFL power rankings, but they are 3rd in the NFC North with a 1-2 division record. Green Bay is 4-1 on the road and 3-2 at home this season.

The Packers have lost four straight against the spread and are 4-6 ATS this season. They narrowly beat the Bears in week 11 but failed to cover as 6-point favorites. The O/U line was 41, and the teams combined for 39 points, giving Green Bay two straight unders.

Packers Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 12, the Packers sit 12th in our offensive power rankings. They’re 8th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 25, and 4th in yards per game with 387.6. Despite ranking 21st in passing attempts, they’re 8th in passing yards, averaging 237.7 per game. On the ground, they rank 6th in rushing attempts and 4th in rushing yards, with 149.9 per game. Green Bay ranks 20th in 3rd-down conversions and 18th in red zone conversion percentage, despite being 5th in red zone attempts.

In week 11, Jordan Love threw for 261 yards on 13/17 passing, with 1 touchdown and 1 interception. Christian Watson led the team with 4 catches for 150 yards. Josh Jacobs had 18 carries for 76 yards and a touchdown. The Packers scored 7 points in the 1st and 3rd quarters and 6 in the 4th, converting 3 of 5 red zone attempts and 1 of 5 3rd-down attempts.

Packers Team Defense

Despite giving up 179 rushing yards on 34 attempts, the Packers' defense held the Bears to just 19 points in their 20-19 win. The Packers' run defense allowed 5.3 yards per attempt, but they were tough to score on. They also gave up 212 passing yards, with Chicago converting on 56.2% of their third downs.

The Packers' defense managed three sacks and held the Bears without a touchdown through the air. Chicago did complete 74.2% of their passes, but the Packers limited big plays and made key stops when needed.

49ers vs Packers Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

  • When looking at their past ten road matchups, San Francisco has an ATS record of 6-4 while averaging 30 per game. The team went 7-3 overall in these games.
  • Across the Packers last five home games, the team averaged 26 points per game while allowing 22. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 4-1 straight-up.
  • Through their last five games as the betting underdog, the 49ers have a strong record vs the spread going 3-2. Their straight up mark in these contests is 2-3.
  • Through their previous five contests as the betting favorite, the Packers have a strong record of 5-0. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is 2-3.

49ers vs Packers Free Pick

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