Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings Matchup

Keep reading to see our NFL week 17 Packers vs Vikings pick and preview. In this article we will outline who will come away with the win and cover the spread.

The Vikings are favored at -123 on the money line as they host the Packers at 4:25 ET on Sunday, December 29th at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis. The Vikings are -1.5 point favorites on the point spread. FOX is handling the television coverage of this week 17 NFC North matchup, with the over/under line set at 48.5 points.

Packers vs. Vikings Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings
Where: Minneapolis at U.S. Bank Stadium
Date: Sunday, December 29th
Betting Odds MIN -1.5, GB +101 | MIN -123 O/U 48.5

Packers Preview:

With a 34-0 win over the Saints in week 16, the Packers improved to 11-4, putting them 2nd in our power rankings and giving them a 100% chance of making the playoffs. However, their 1-3 division record means they can’t win the NFC North. Green Bay is 6-2 at home and 5-2 on the road, and they’ve now won two straight games.

Against the spread, the Packers are 8-6-1 this season, including two consecutive wins. They covered the 14-point spread vs the Saints and also beat the Seahawks by 17 points as 3-point favorites in week 15. Their O/U record is 6-8-1, with the under hitting in two straight games.

Packers Offense Breakdown

Green Bay enters week 17 ranked 6th in our offensive power rankings. They are 7th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 27.5 points per game, and 4th in total yards, with 377.3 per game. The Packers have relied heavily on the run game, ranking 6th in rushing attempts and 4th in rushing yards, with 147.3 per game. On 3rd down, they rank 14th in the NFL, converting 38.6% of their attempts, but they have struggled in the red zone, ranking 27th in conversion percentage despite being 2nd in attempts.

Jordan Love has gone three straight games without an interception, posting a passer rating of 88 in week 16 against the Saints. He threw for 182 yards and a touchdown in that game. Josh Jacobs led the team with 69 rushing yards on 13 carries, and Jayden Reed had 3 catches for 76 yards. Christian Watson, who had 56 yards in week 15 and 114 yards in week 14, is questionable for week 17 with a knee injury.

Packers Team Defense

The Packers' defense was dominant in their most recent game, coming away with a 34-0 win over the Saints. They allowed just 196 total yards and held the Saints to 129 passing yards on 15 completions. Green Bay didn't allow a single point and forced one interception. Additionally, they limited the Saints to 67 rushing yards on 20 attempts.

Green Bay's defense recorded three sacks and held the Saints to a 36.4% conversion rate on third down. They also won the quarterback hit differential by +3 and had two more tackles for loss than the Saints.

Vikings Preview:

With an eight-game winning streak, the Vikings are now 13-2 after a 27-24 win over the Seahawks in week 16. Minnesota covered the 2.5-point spread, improving their ATS record to 10-4-1. They have covered in three straight games, including a 30-12 win over the Bears in week 15 and a 21-point victory over the Falcons in week 14.

Our power rankings have the Vikings 7th heading into week 17, and they have a 100% chance of making the playoffs. However, they only have a 23.7% chance of winning the NFC North. Minnesota is 3-1 in division games and 8-2 in conference play. They are 7-1 at home and 6-1 on the road.

Vikings Offense Breakdown

Sam Darnold threw for 246 yards and 3 touchdowns in week 16, completing 22 of 35 passes without an interception. Justin Jefferson had 10 receptions for 144 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Aaron Jones rushed for 67 yards on 18 carries. Minnesota scored 7 points in the 1st and 4th quarters, with 10 in the 2nd and 3 in the 3rd. They converted 2 red zone attempts and struggled on 3rd down, going 3/12.

Heading into week 17, the Vikings are 9th in the NFL with 26.4 points per game. They lead the league in 1st quarter scoring and are 8th in passing yards per game, averaging 235.3. Minnesota ranks 11th in 3rd-down conversions and 24th in red zone conversion percentage.

Vikings Team Defense

In their 27-24 win over the Seahawks, the Vikings' defense allowed 302 passing yards on 31 completions, but they did force two interceptions. Seattle managed only 59 rushing yards on 15 attempts. The Vikings' defense held the Seahawks to a 20% third-down conversion rate and came away with two interceptions. Despite this, the Seahawks still managed to put up 24 points and 361 yards of total offense.

Packers vs Vikings Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Although Green Bay has a straight up record of 4-1 in their last five road games, they have not held up as well vs. the spread going 2-2-1. The team averaged 27 points per game in these games.
Through their last ten home contests, the Vikings offense has averaged 21 points per game while allowing an average of 19. Minnesota posted an overall record of 7-3 while going 4-3-3 ATS.
The last three games that Green Bay was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 1-1-1 while going 1-2 straight up.
The Vikings have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 3-0 straight up and 3-0 against the spread.