Green Bay Packers vs Houston Texans Matchup

Check out our week 7 Texans vs. Packers pick and preview to get our insight on to who will win and cover in Green Bay.

The Texans and Packers will face off at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 20th at Lambeau Field in Green Bay. The Texans are the road underdogs with a point spread of +3 and a money line of +127. The game is being televised on CBS, and the Packers are favored at -151 on the money line. The over/under line is set at 47.5 points.

Texans vs. Packers Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: Houston Texans at Green Bay Packers
Where: Green Bay at Lambeau Field
Date: Sunday, October 20th
Betting Odds GB -3, HOU +127 | GB -151 O/U 47.5

Texans Preview:

With three straight wins, the Texans are now 5-1, putting them in first place in the AFC South. They have a 2-0 division record and are 4-0 against conference opponents. Our projections give Houston a 93.2% chance of making the playoffs and an 83.1% chance of winning the division. They rank 9th in our NFL power rankings heading into week 7.

Houston has been favored in all of their games this season and is 2-4 against the spread. They have covered in two straight games, including a 20-point win over the Patriots in week 6. The 62 combined points in that game easily hit the over, which was set at 39.5 points.

Texans Offense Breakdown

Houston’s offense has been strong early in games, ranking 4th in the NFL in 1st-quarter scoring. They are 12th in the league in points per game (23.8) and 6th in yards per game (375.2). C.J. Stroud has been playing well, posting a passer rating of 100 in week 6, with 192 yards and 3 touchdowns against the Patriots. Before that, he threw for 331 yards in week 5 and 345 yards in week 4.

In the passing game, the Texans rank 5th in passing yards per game, with 256.3, on 37 attempts per game. On the ground, they are 14th in rushing yards per game, averaging 118.8 yards on 26.3 attempts. Joe Mixon led the team in week 6 with 102 rushing yards, while Stefon Diggs had 77 receiving yards. However, they will be without Nico Collins, who is on injured reserve with a hamstring injury.

Texans Team Defense

Despite giving up 3 passing touchdowns, the Texans' defense came up with a pair of interceptions in their 41-21 win over the Patriots. New England finished with 209 passing yards on 20 completions. Houston defended well on third downs, allowing only a 23.1% conversion rate.

The Texans' defense also put good pressure on the quarterback, with 4 sacks and forcing the Patriots to a 60.6% completion rate. They also performed well against the run, allowing just 82 yards on 26 attempts.

Packers Preview:

Heading into week 7, the Packers have won two straight games, improving their record to 4-2. After a narrow home loss to the Vikings in week 4, Green Bay bounced back with wins over the Rams and Cardinals. They covered the spread in both games, including a 21-point victory over Arizona as 5.5-point favorites.

Our projections give the Packers a 65.7% chance of making the playoffs and a 14.8% chance of winning the NFC North. They rank 6th in our NFL power rankings and are 4-2 against the spread, with an average scoring margin of +6.8 points per game.

Packers Offense Breakdown

Jordan Love has been solid for the Packers, throwing for 258 yards and 4 touchdowns in week 6, with a passer rating of 119. He bounced back after a 3-interception game in week 4, going 15/26 for 224 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 5. Josh Jacobs had 18 carries for 62 yards in week 6, following his 73-yard performance in week 5. Christian Watson led the team with 68 receiving yards in week 6.

Green Bay ranks 9th in our offensive power rankings. They are 7th in the NFL, scoring 27 points per game, and 4th in total yards, averaging 400 per game. The Packers rely heavily on their run game, ranking 3rd in rushing attempts and 2nd in rushing yards per game (167.2). They are 10th in passing yards, averaging 232.8 per game.

Packers Team Defense

In their 34-13 win over the Cardinals, the Packers' defense gave up 214 passing yards on 22 completions. Arizona finished with 303 total yards, and Green Bay limited them to 89 yards on 23 rushing attempts. The Packers' defense allowed just one passing touchdown and held the Cardinals to a 40% conversion rate on third down. However, they didn't record any sacks in the game.

Texans vs Packers Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Through their last five road games, Houston has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 3-2 while averaging 22 points per game.
In their last three home games, Green Bay has averaged 27 points per game while allowing 22. The team's record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Houston has an ATS mark of 7-3 while going 6-4 straight up.
As the betting favorite, the Packers have an ATS mark of just 5-5 in their last ten games. Green Bay posted a straight up mark of 6-4 in these matchups.