Detroit Lions vs Houston Texans Matchup

Check out our free Lions vs Texans pick and preview for this NFL week 10 game in Houston. See who we like to win and cover the spread in this week 10 regular season matchup.

The Lions are favored on the road as they take on the Texans at 8:20 ET on Sunday, November 10th. The Lions' money line odds are -187, while the Texans are at +154. This week 10 non-conference matchup is being televised on NBC, and the Lions are -3.5 point favorites, with the over/under line set at 49.5 points.

Lions vs. Texans Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: Detroit Lions at Houston Texans
Where: Houston at NRG Stadium
Date: Sunday, November 10th
Betting Odds DET -3.5, DET -187 | HOU +154 O/U 49.5

Lions Preview:

Heading into week 10, the Lions sit at 7-1, putting them atop the NFC and our power rankings. Detroit has won six straight, including a 24-14 victory over the Packers in week 9. They also picked up a 38-point win over the Titans in week 8 and narrowly defeated the Vikings in week 7. Their last loss came in week 2 against the Buccaneers, but they’ve bounced back with four road wins, giving them a 4-0 record away from home.

Our projections give the Lions a 98.2% chance of making the playoffs and a 77.7% chance of winning the NFC North. Against the spread, they are 7-1, including six straight covers. Their O/U record is 4-4, with their games averaging 50.8 points per game.

Lions Offense Breakdown

Detroit's offense leads the NFL in points per game (32.2) and ranks 7th in yards per game (369.6). They are 15th in passing yards per game, despite being 26th in pass attempts, averaging 217 yards per game. Jared Goff has been efficient, posting a passer rating of 109 in week 9, going 18/22 for 145 yards and a touchdown, without an interception.

On the ground, the Lions are 6th in rushing yards per game, with 152.6, on 31 attempts per game. David Montgomery had 73 yards on 17 carries in week 9, and Jahmyr Gibbs had 127 yards in week 8 and 116 yards in week 7. Detroit ranks 7th in 3rd-down conversions and 25th in red zone conversion percentage.

Lions Team Defense

In their 24-14 win over the Packers, the Lions' defense allowed 138 rushing yards on just 23 attempts, giving up 6.0 yards per attempt on the ground. Despite this, they held Green Bay to a 25% conversion rate on third down. The Lions gave up 273 passing yards on 23 completions (59% completion percentage) and didn't record any sacks, although they did come away with one interception. Detroit's defense forced the Packers to throw for 273 yards and didn't allow any passing touchdowns.

Texans Preview:

Heading into week 10, the Texans sit atop the AFC South with a 6-3 record, including a 3-0 mark in division play. Our projections give them a 93.2% chance of making the playoffs and an 88.2% chance of winning the division. Houston ranks 12th in our power rankings this week.

Houston is 3-6 against the spread this season and has failed to cover in two straight games. They were 2.5-point underdogs in their week 9 loss to the Jets, and they couldn’t cover the 5-point spread in their 23-20 win over the Colts in week 8. The under has hit in three straight Texans games, including week 9, when the teams combined for 34 points against a 43-point line.

Texans Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 10, the Texans are 17th in our offensive power rankings. They sit 16th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 22.3, and are 11th in yards per game with 348.1. Houston ranks 9th in passing attempts and 13th in passing yards per game (221.7). On the ground, they are 11th in both rushing attempts and rushing yards per game (126.4). The Texans are 14th in the league in 3rd-down conversion percentage, converting 38.4% of their attempts, and they rank 19th in red zone conversion percentage.

C.J. Stroud struggled in week 9, completing just 11 of 30 passes for 191 yards and taking 8 sacks. Joe Mixon rushed for 106 yards on 24 carries, and Tank Dell led the team with 6 catches for 126 yards. Before Dell's performance, Stefon Diggs had 5 catches for 81 yards in week 8, and Dalton Schultz led the team with 28 receiving yards in week 7. Diggs is now out for the season with a knee injury, and Nico Collins is also on injured reserve with a hamstring injury.

Texans Team Defense

In their 21-13 loss to the Jets, the Texans' defense gave up three passing touchdowns and allowed the Jets to complete 68.8% of their passes for 193 yards. Despite holding the Jets to 100 yards rushing on just 21 attempts, the Texans allowed two of those attempts to go for touchdowns. The Texans' defense also struggled on third downs, allowing the Jets to convert 41.7% of their third down attempts.

Houston's defense did manage two sacks in the game, but they also lost the tackles for loss battle, finishing with -3 compared to the Jets.

Lions vs Texans Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

The Lions are 5-0 ATS in their last road games and 4-1 straight-up.
When looking at their past ten home matchups, Houston has an ATS record of 5-5 while averaging 20 per game. The team went 5-5 overall in these games.
As the betting underdog, the Texans have an ATS mark of just 1-2 in their last three games. Houston posted a straight up mark of 0-3 in these matchups.
Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Detroit has an ATS mark of 8-2 while going 9-1 straight up.