Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our week 14 Packers vs Lions pick and preview and see who we think will win and cover in Detroit.

The Lions are favored at -185 on the money line as they host the Packers at 8:15 ET on Thursday, December 5th at Ford Field in Detroit. Amazon Prime is handling the broadcast as the Lions are -3.5 point favorites, and the over/under line is set at 51 points. The Lions and Packers both need to add to their records in this NFC North matchup.

Packers vs. Lions Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions
Where: Detroit at Ford Field
Date: Thursday, December 5th
Betting Odds DET -3.5, GB +156 | DET -185 O/U 51

Packers Preview:

With a 99.1% chance of making the playoffs, the Packers have won three straight games, bringing their record to 9-3. After a narrow 20-19 win over the Bears in week 11, Green Bay followed up with a 38-10 victory over the 49ers and a 30-17 win over the Dolphins. The Packers covered the spread in both of those games, including a 13-point win over Miami as 3.5-point favorites.

Heading into week 14, the Packers rank 4th in our NFL power rankings. They are 6-6 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of +6.5 points per game. Their O/U record is 5-6-1, with their games averaging 46.5 points per contest.

Packers Offense Breakdown

Jordan Love has been on a roll, posting a passer rating of 129 in week 13, going 21/28 for 274 yards and 2 touchdowns without an interception. In week 12, he threw for 163 yards and 2 touchdowns, and in week 11, he had 261 yards and a touchdown. Against Miami, the Packers scored 14 points in the 1st quarter and 10 in the 2nd.

Green Bay is 7th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 26.5 points per game, and they rank 3rd in yards per game with 382.4. They are 8th in passing yards per game, despite being 29th in passing attempts, and they rank 5th in rushing yards per game.

Packers Team Defense

In their 30-17 win over the Dolphins, the Packers' defense gave up 336 passing yards on 37 completions. However, they were tough against the run, allowing just 39 yards on 14 attempts. Despite the high number of completions, the Packers limited the Dolphins to 2.8 yards per attempt on the ground.

Green Bay's defense recorded five sacks and held Miami to a 28.6% conversion rate on third down. Even though they allowed 375 total yards, the Packers still managed to come out on top.

Lions Preview:

With a 10-game winning streak, the Lions sit atop our NFL power rankings and have a 100% chance of making the playoffs. They are 11-1 this season, including a 3-0 record in the NFC North and a 7-1 record in conference play. Detroit is 6-0 on the road and 5-1 at home.

Against the spread, the Lions are 9-3, with a +15 scoring margin. In week 13, they narrowly defeated the Bears 23-20, failing to cover the 9.5-point spread. The O/U line was 47.5, and the teams combined for 43 points, giving Detroit their second straight under.

Lions Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 14, the Lions are 2nd in our offensive power rankings and lead the NFL in scoring, averaging 31.9 points per game. They rank 2nd in total yards per game (395.2) and 5th in passing yards (240.8), despite being 26th in passing attempts. Detroit is 4th in rushing yards per game, with 32.4 attempts per game, and they are 4th in 3rd-down conversions, converting 45.7% of their attempts. However, they rank 27th in red zone conversion percentage.

Jared Goff has been playing well, posting a passer rating of 100 in week 13 against the Bears, with 221 yards and 2 touchdowns. Amon-Ra St. Brown led the team with 73 receiving yards on 5 catches, while David Montgomery had 88 rushing yards on 21 carries. Detroit scored 20 points in the first half but was held scoreless in the 4th quarter.

Lions Team Defense

In their 23-20 win over the Bears, the Lions' defense allowed just 78 rushing yards on 15 attempts. Despite giving up three passing touchdowns, they held Chicago to 223 yards through the air. The Lions' defense put pressure on the quarterback throughout the game, recording five sacks and coming away with a win in both the QB hit and tackles for loss differentials.

Detroit's defense limited the Bears to a 51.3% completion percentage and 20 points. However, they did struggle on third downs, allowing Chicago to convert 46.7% of their third down attempts.

Packers vs Lions Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Through their last five road games, Green Bay has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 4-1 while averaging 26 points per game.
In their last five home games, Detroit has averaged 30 points per game while allowing 16. The team's record in this stretch was 5-0 while going 4-1 vs. the spread.
Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Packers have gone 8-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 7-3.
In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Lions have a strong straight up record of 5-0. In addition, their ATS record was 3-2 in these scenarios.