Denver Broncos vs New Orleans Saints Matchup

In this week 7 NFL regular season preview between Broncos and Saints, see who like to win the game and cover the spread.

The Saints are the underdog in their week seven matchup against the Broncos, which will be played at 8:15 ET on Thursday, October 17th at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans. The game is being televised on AMZN, and the Saints are +105 on the money line, while the Broncos are favored at -124. The over/under line is currently at 37 points.

Broncos vs. Saints Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: Denver Broncos at New Orleans Saints
Where: New Orleans at Caesars Superdome
Date: Thursday, October 17th
Betting Odds DEN -1.5, DEN -124 | NO +105 O/U 37

Broncos Preview:

After two straight wins, the Broncos couldn’t keep their streak going in week 6, falling 23-16 at home to the Chargers. Denver was a 3-point underdog and couldn’t cover the spread, but the 39 combined points were enough to hit the over (37). The Broncos are now 3-3 this season, with a +2.7 scoring margin and a 4-2 record against the spread. They’ve gone 1-0 ATS as favorites and 3-2 as underdogs.

Heading into week 7, Denver ranks 25th in our NFL power rankings and has a 25.7% chance of making the playoffs. They have a 1.4% chance of winning the AFC West and are currently 3rd in the division. The Broncos are 1-2 at home and 2-1 on the road this season.

Broncos Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 7, the Broncos sit 30th in our offensive power rankings. They rank 22nd in the NFL in points per game, averaging 18.7, and 29th in yards per game with 278.2. Denver is 12th in passing attempts but only 27th in passing yards per game, averaging 170.8. On the ground, they rank 20th in rushing attempts and 23rd in rushing yards per game, with 107.3.

Bo Nix threw for 216 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 6, completing 19 of 33 passes against the Chargers. Denver scored all 16 of their points in the 4th quarter. Devaughn Vele led the team with 4 catches for 78 yards, while Nix also rushed for 61 yards on 6 carries.

Broncos Team Defense

In the Broncos' 23-16 loss to the Chargers, they allowed 350 yards and 128 rushing yards on 38 attempts. Despite this, they did record three sacks and held the Chargers to a 3.4 yards per attempt rushing average. Against the pass, Denver gave up 222 yards, with the Chargers completing 21 passes. On third downs, the Broncos allowed the Chargers to convert 61.1% of their attempts.

Denver's defense also forced 11 quarterback hits and won the tackles for loss battle. The Broncos gave up one passing touchdown and allowed the Chargers to convert 61.8% of their passes.

Saints Preview:

After starting the season with two straight wins, the Saints have now dropped four in a row, including a 51-27 home loss to the Bucs in week 6. This puts New Orleans at 2-4, which ranks 3rd in the NFC South. Our power rankings have them 29th heading into week 7, and they have a 14.7% chance of making the playoffs.

Against the spread, the Saints are 3-3, with two straight ATS losses. Their average scoring margin is +3.3 points per game. Their O/U record is 4-2, with their games averaging 52.3 points (the average line is 44.2).

Saints Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 7, the Saints rank 14th in our offensive power rankings. They are 4th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 27.8, and they rank 7th in 1st quarter scoring. They are 18th in yards per game (319.8) and 21st in passing yards per game (200.3), despite being 22nd in passing attempts. On the ground, they rank 13th in rushing yards per game, with 119.5, on 29 attempts per game.

After a 2-touchdown performance in week 5, Derek Carr did not play in week 6. Spencer Rattler threw for 243 yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions in the loss to Tampa Bay. Alvin Kamara had 40 rushing yards on 13 carries, and Foster Moreau led the team with 54 receiving yards.

Saints Team Defense

In their 51-27 loss to the Buccaneers, the Saints' defense struggled to stop the run, giving up 277 yards on the ground. Despite forcing three interceptions, they allowed four passing touchdowns and 317 yards through the air. The defense also allowed Tampa Bay to convert on 60% of their third down attempts.

New Orleans' defense gave up a total of 594 yards in the game, and the Buccaneers averaged 8.8 yards per passing attempt. The Saints' offense allowed 24 completions to Tampa Bay.

Broncos vs Saints Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Across their last five road contests, Denver has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 2-3, while averaging 17 points per game.
Across their last five home contests, New Orleans has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 2-3, while averaging 25 points per game.
The last ten games that New Orleans was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 5-5 straight up.
Denver has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS in their last three games.