Denver Broncos vs Indianapolis Colts Matchup

Keep reading to see our NFL week 15 Colts vs Broncos pick and preview. In this article we will outline who will come away with the win and cover the spread.

The Colts and Broncos will face off on Sunday, December 15th at 4:25 ET on CBS. The Broncos are favored at -203 on the money line, with the Colts at +170. The Colts are the underdog on the road, with the point spread at -4 in favor of the Broncos. The over/under line is set at 44 points for this week 15 AFC matchup. The game is being played at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, CO.

Colts vs. Broncos Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: Indianapolis Colts at Denver Broncos
Where: Denver at Empower Field at Mile High
Date: Sunday, December 15th
Betting Odds DEN -4, IND +170 | DEN -203 O/U 44

Colts Preview:

Heading into week 15, the Colts are 6-7 and rank 8th in the AFC. Our projections give them a 25.7% chance of making the playoffs and a 5.9% chance of winning the AFC South. Indianapolis is 1-3 in division games and 5-4 in conference play. They are 3-3 at home and 3-4 on the road.

After two straight losses, the Colts bounced back with a 25-24 win over the Patriots in week 13. This brought their record to 6-7, but they couldn’t cover the 2.5-point spread as favorites. They are 8-5 ATS this season, with a 6-3 record as underdogs. Their O/U record is 6-7, with their games averaging 43.5 points compared to an average line of 44.5.

Colts Offense Breakdown

Our offensive power rankings have the Colts sitting at 25th in the NFL, and they are 20th in scoring, averaging 20.5 points per game. They rank 23rd in total offense with 311.5 yards per game and are 25th in passing yards, with 192.7 per game on 29.7 attempts. On the ground, they are 14th in rushing yards per game, averaging 118.8 on 26.7 carries. Indianapolis ranks 21st in the NFL in 3rd-down conversion percentage (36.6%) and 13th in red zone conversion percentage.

Anthony Richardson threw for 109 yards in week 13, completing 12 of 24 passes with 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Jonathan Taylor rushed for 96 yards on 25 carries, while Michael Pittman Jr. led the team with 5 catches for 42 yards. The Colts scored in every quarter against the Patriots, putting up 7 in the 1st, 7 in the 2nd, 3 in the 3rd, and 8 in the 4th.

Colts Team Defense

In their 25-24 win over the Patriots, the Colts' defense gave up 200 yards on the ground, with New England averaging 6.5 yards per attempt on 31 rushes. Despite this, the Colts' defense made key plays in the passing game, including four sacks and one interception. The Patriots completed 80% of their passes for 222 yards, and Indianapolis allowed just one passing touchdown.

The Colts also forced four sacks and held the Patriots to 54.5% on third down conversions. Indianapolis will be looking to improve their run defense in the next game, as they allowed a big day on the ground to the Patriots.

Broncos Preview:

Denver heads into week 15 against the Colts on a three-game winning streak, which includes a 41-32 win over the Browns in week 13. This puts the Broncos at 8-5, giving them a 73.6% chance of making the playoffs. They currently rank 7th in the AFC and 22nd in our power rankings.

Against the spread, the Broncos are 10-3 this season, with a +5.5 scoring margin. They have covered in four straight games, including a 6.5-point win over the Browns in week 13. The over has hit in two consecutive games, with Denver’s O/U record now at 8-5.

Broncos Offense Breakdown

Bo Nix has been under center for the Broncos, throwing for 294 yards (18/35) with one touchdown and two interceptions in week 13 against the Browns. Before that, he posted a 273-yard, 2-touchdown game in week 12 and a 307-yard, 4-touchdown performance in week 11. Marvin Mims Jr. led the receiving corps in week 13 with 105 yards on three catches, while Jaleel McLaughlin rushed for 84 yards on 14 carries.

Denver ranks 22nd in our offensive power rankings, sitting 12th in the NFL with 23.5 points per game. They are 21st in total yards per game (320.2) and 20th in passing yards (209) and rushing yards (111.2) per game. The Broncos rank 16th in 3rd-down conversions and 19th in red zone efficiency, despite being 9th in red zone attempts.

Broncos Team Defense

Despite giving up 552 yards, the Broncos' defense came up with three interceptions in their 41-32 win over the Browns. Cleveland had 34 completions for 475 yards through the air, with four passing touchdowns. Denver's defense struggled to get off the field, allowing the Browns to convert 47.4% of their third down attempts.

On the ground, the Broncos did a better job, holding the Browns to 77 yards on just 23 attempts. Even though they allowed a high yardage total, the three interceptions were crucial in securing the victory.

Colts vs Broncos Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Across the Colts last three road games, the team averaged 22 points per game while allowing 24. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 2-1 straight-up.
Across their last three home contests, Denver has a 2-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-2, while averaging 17 points per game.
As the betting underdog, the Colts have an ATS mark of just 1-2 in their last three games. Indianapolis posted a straight up mark of 1-2 in these matchups.
As the betting favorite, the Broncos have an ATS mark of just 8-2 in their last ten games. Denver posted a straight up mark of 9-1 in these matchups.