Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our week 1 Patriots vs Bengals pick and preview and see who we think will win and cover in Cincinnati.

The Patriots are +8.5 point underdogs on the road as they take on the Bengals at 1:00 ET on Sunday, September 8th at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati. The Bengals are the heavy favorite with a money line of -431, while New England's money line odds are +332. CBS is covering this week one matchup, and the over/under line is set at 40.5 points.

Patriots vs. Bengals Matchup At A Glance

  • Sport: NFL
  • Teams: New England Patriots at Cincinnati Bengals
  • Where: Cincinnati at Paycor Stadium
  • Date: Sunday, September 8th
  • Betting Odds CIN -8.5, NE +332 | CIN -431 O/U 40.5

Patriots Preview:

The Patriots' ATS record of 5-11-1 reflected their struggles last season, as they managed only four wins, going 4-13 overall. New England's only win as a favorite came in one of their four wins, and they went 3-9 as the underdog. Their ATS record was 1-4 when favored and 4-7-1 as the underdog. The Patriots' ATS record was 1-4 at home and 4-4 on the road.

New England's 2023 season was tough on their home field, as they went only 1-8 at home. Their only home win came against below .500 teams, as they were 2-5 against such teams. On the road, they were 3-5 and 2-8 against above .500 teams. The Patriots finished the season with a 7-10 over/under record, and their games averaged 35.4 combined points. Their ATS record vs. the over/under line was 7-10.

Patriots Offense Breakdown

New England's offense was one of the worst in the league last season, finishing 31st in the power rankings and averaging only 13.9 points per game, which was also 31st. They struggled equally at home and on the road, scoring just 12.1 points per game at home and 15.9 on the road. The Patriots were 30th in yards per game, averaging only 276.2 yards per contest, and 29th in yards per play.

In the passing game, the Patriots were 28th, averaging only 180.5 yards per game. They ran the ball 24.4 times per game, which was 26th in the league, and averaged 95.7 rushing yards per game and 3.8 yards per attempt. On third downs, the Patriots converted only 30.2% of their chances.

Patriots Team Defense

Despite finishing 14th in points allowed at 21.5 per game, the Patriots' defense was the 4th best unit in the league last season. They were tough against the pass, allowing the 3rd fewest passing touchdowns and the 10th fewest passing yards. New England also excelled in run defense, giving up just 3.3 yards per attempt, the best mark in the league.

The Patriots' defense also limited big plays, allowing the 6th fewest yards in the league, giving up just 301.6 yards per game. Additionally, they held opposing offenses to the 3rd best third down conversion rate in the NFL, at 36.3%.

Bengals Preview:

The Patriots' ATS record of 5-11-1 reflected their struggles last season, as they managed only four wins, going 4-13 overall. New England's only win as a favorite came in one of their four wins, and they went 3-9 as the underdog. Their ATS record was 1-4 when favored and 4-7-1 as the underdog. The Patriots' ATS record was 1-4 at home and 4-4 on the road.

New England's 2023 season was tough on their home field, as they went only 1-8 at home. Their only home win came against below .500 teams, as they were 2-5 against such teams. On the road, they were 3-5 and 2-8 against above .500 teams. The Patriots finished the season with a 7-10 over/under record, and their games averaged 35.4 combined points. Their ATS record vs. the over/under line was 7-10.

Bengals Offense Breakdown

The Bengals' ATS record was 7-9-1 last season, and they were 4-4-1 ATS at home and 3-5 on the road. Cincinnati's over/under record was 10-7, with their games averaging a combined 44.1 points per game. When favored, the Bengals went 7-4 straight-up, but as underdogs, they went 2-4.

Against teams with above .500 records, the Bengals went 7-7, and they were 2-1 against teams with below .500 records. Overall, the Bengals finished the 2023 season with a 9-8 record, placing them 8th in the AFC and 4th in the AFC North. Despite going only 5-0 in non-conference games, they struggled within their division, going 1-5 and winning just one of their six matchups against division rivals.

Bengals Team Defense

Despite forcing 26 takeaways, the Bengals' defense struggled last season, finishing 26th in the NFL. They allowed 374.6 yards per game and 22.6 points per game, ranking 20th in the league. Cincinnati's defense was tough at home, giving up 19.1 points per game (9th), but on the road, they allowed 26.5 points per game.

They were 8th in quarterback hits but finished 24th in road points allowed. Opposing offenses frequently attacked them through the air, as they faced the 8th most passing attempts per game.

Patriots vs Bengals Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, New England has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 18 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
  • In their last three games at home, the Bengals have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 20 points per game in this stretch.
  • Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Patriots have gone 2-0-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.
  • The last ten games that Cincinnati was favored, they have an ATS mark of 5-4-1 while going 7-3 straight up.

Patriots vs Bengals Free Pick

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