Chicago Bears vs Jacksonville Jaguars Matchup

Keep reading to see our NFL week 6 Jaguars vs Bears pick and preview. In this article we will outline who will come away with the win and cover the spread.

The Jaguars and Bears will face off at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London at 9:30 ET on Sunday, October 13th. This week six matchup is being played at a neutral site, with the Bears favored at -2.5. The over/under line is set at 44 points, and the Bears are -133 on the money line. The game will be televised on NFLN.

Jaguars vs. Bears Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: Jacksonville Jaguars at Chicago Bears
Where: London at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Date: Sunday, October 13th
Betting Odds CHI -2.5, JAX +112 | CHI -133 O/U 44

Jaguars Preview:

Jacksonville picked up their first win of the season in week 5, narrowly defeating the Colts 37-34. This improved their record to 1-4, but they remain 4th in the AFC South. The Jaguars have a -9.2 scoring margin and rank 24th in our NFL power rankings. According to our projections, they have a 10% chance of making the playoffs and a 2.7% chance of winning the division.

Jacksonville is 2-3 against the spread this season, with both of their ATS wins coming as underdogs. Their O/U record is also 2-3, with their games averaging 48 points compared to an average line of 45.3.

Jaguars Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 6, the Jaguars sit 19th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 19.4 points per game, which ranks 20th in the NFL. They are 14th in total yards per game (327.8) and 19th in passing yards per game (201.6) on 32.8 attempts per game. On the ground, Jacksonville ranks 11th in rushing yards per game, despite being 25th in rushing attempts. One area of concern is their 3rd-down conversion rate, where they rank 27th in the league, converting just 25.9% of their attempts.

Trevor Lawrence is coming off a strong week 5 performance, throwing for 371 yards and 2 touchdowns, with a passer rating of 119. Brian Thomas Jr. led the team with 5 catches for 122 yards, while Tank Bigsby rushed for 101 yards and 2 touchdowns on 13 carries.

Jaguars Team Defense

In their 37-34 win over the Colts, the Jaguars' defense gave up 447 yards. Indianapolis had success through the air, completing 75.6% of their passes for 348 yards, with three passing touchdowns. The Jaguars struggled to get off the field, as the Colts converted 50% of their third down attempts. Despite this, Jacksonville's defense managed to come up with four sacks and pressured the quarterback effectively, with a positive QB hit differential and one more tackle for loss than the Colts. On the ground, the Colts ran for 99 yards on just 20 attempts.

Bears Preview:

After two straight wins, the Bears are now 3-2 on the season. Following a week 3 loss to the Colts, Chicago bounced back with home victories over the Rams (28-14) and Panthers (36-10) in weeks 4 and 5. They covered the spread in both games, including a 26-point win over Carolina as 4-point favorites.

Chicago currently has a +5.6 scoring margin and is 4-1 against the spread. They rank 18th in our power rankings and have a 33.2% chance of making the playoffs. Their O/U record is 2-3, with the over hitting in their last two games.

Bears Offense Breakdown

Caleb Williams has been on a roll, posting a passer rating of 126 in week 5, with 304 passing yards and 2 touchdowns against the Panthers. This followed his 157-yard, 1-touchdown performance in week 4 and a 363-yard outing in week 3. Williams has also cut down on sacks, going from 4 in week 3 to just 1 in week 5.

D'Andre Swift led the Bears' rushing attack in week 5, with 73 yards on 21 carries. He also had 93 yards in week 4. DJ Moore was the top receiver in week 5, with 5 catches for 105 yards and 2 touchdowns, while Rome Odunze had 112 yards in week 3.

Bears Team Defense

In their most recent game, the Bears' defense allowed just 172 passing yards in their 36-10 win over the Panthers. They were tough on third downs, allowing only a 25% conversion rate, and came away with four sacks. Chicago's defense also came up with one interception and limited the Panthers to 292 total yards.

Despite giving up 120 rushing yards on just 19 attempts, the Bears were able to keep the Panthers out of the endzone and held them to just 10 points. They also allowed only 4.9 yards per attempt in the passing game and held Carolina to a 62.9% completion percentage.

Jaguars vs Bears Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Across their last three road contests, Jacksonville has a 2-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 0-3, while averaging 15 points per game.
Through their last ten home games, Chicago has an ATS record of just 5-5. However, their overall record was 2-8 while averaging 17 points per game.
As the betting underdog, the Jaguars have an ATS mark of just 2-3 in their last five games. Jacksonville posted a straight up mark of 0-5 in these matchups.
Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Bears have a straight up record of 8-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 6-2-2.