Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our week 18 Bears vs Packers pick and preview and see who we think will win and cover in Green Bay.

With the Bears' money line at +362 and the Packers at -480, the Packers are heavily favored as they host the Bears at 1:00 ET on Sunday, January 5th at Lambeau Field. The over/under line is set at 41 points, and the Bears are +10 point underdogs on the road. The week 18 NFC North matchup is being televised on FOX.

Bears vs. Packers Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers
Where: Green Bay at Lambeau Field
Date: Sunday, January 5th
Betting Odds GB -10, CHI +362 | GB -480 O/U 41

Bears Preview:

Heading into week 18, the Bears are on a 10-game losing streak, dropping their record to 4-12. Chicago’s last win came in week 6, when they defeated the Jaguars 35-16. Since then, they’ve lost six straight, including a 6-3 defeat to the Seahawks in week 17. The Bears were 4-point underdogs in that game, but they managed to cover the spread.

With a 0-7 road record, the Bears have no chance of making the playoffs. They are 0-5 in division games and rank 4th in the NFC North. Our power rankings have them 23rd going into week 18. Chicago has an average scoring margin of -3.9 points per game and is 8-7-1 against the spread this season.

Bears Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 18, the Bears rank 27th in our offensive power rankings. They are 26th in the league in points per game, averaging 17.9, and they sit last in yards per game with 287.2. Chicago is 29th in passing yards per game (184.1) despite ranking 13th in passing attempts. On the ground, they rank 25th in rushing yards per game, with 103.2, on 25.3 attempts per game.

In week 17, the Bears struggled to score, putting up just 3 points in their loss to Seattle. Caleb Williams threw for 122 yards on 16/28 passing and was sacked 7 times. D.J. Moore led the team with 54 receiving yards, and D'Andre Swift had 53 rushing yards on 12 carries.

Bears Team Defense

In a 6-3 loss to the Seahawks, the Bears' defense held Seattle to just 143 passing yards. However, they did allow 122 rushing yards on 25 attempts, giving up 3.9 yards per attempt on the ground. Seattle's only score in this game was a field goal, despite Chicago's offense struggling to put up points.

Chicago's defense managed three sacks and held Seattle to a 38.5% third-down conversion rate. The Bears also forced Seattle to settle for a lot of short passes, as the Seahawks had a completion percentage of 73.9%. Even though the Bears' defense played well, their inability to stop the run effectively and their offense's struggles led to a tough loss.

Packers Preview:

Despite their 11-5 record, the Packers are just 1-4 in division games, putting them 3rd in the NFC North. However, they have already clinched a playoff spot and rank 3rd in our NFL power rankings. Green Bay has a +7.8 scoring margin and is 8-7-1 against the spread. They are 6-5 as favorites and 2-2-1 as underdogs.

After three straight wins, including a 34-0 blowout over the Saints in week 16, the Packers lost 27-25 to the Vikings in week 17. They were 0.5-point favorites in that game. The O/U line was 49 points, and the teams combined for 52.

Packers Offense Breakdown

Heading into week 18, the Packers are 8th in our offensive power rankings, averaging 27.4 points per game. They rank 7th in the NFL with 370.7 yards per game, and despite being 29th in passing attempts, they are 12th in passing yards, with 226.1 per game. On the ground, they rank 6th in rushing attempts and 5th in rushing yards, averaging 144.6 per game. Green Bay is 11th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a 40% success rate, and they are 3rd in red zone attempts, although they rank 27th in red zone conversion percentage.

In week 17, Jordan Love threw for 185 yards and a touchdown, completing 19 of 30 passes without an interception. Josh Jacobs had 69 rushing yards on 17 carries, and Romeo Doubs led the team with 58 receiving yards on 7 catches. The Packers scored 15 points in the 4th quarter and converted 8 of 14 3rd-down attempts, while going 3/4 in the red zone.

Packers Team Defense

In their 27-25 loss to the Vikings, the Packers' defense allowed 372 passing yards, with Minnesota completing 33 passes for 8.7 yards per attempt. The Packers' defense struggled to get off the field, allowing the Vikings to convert on 50% of their third down attempts. Despite this, they did manage to force one interception.

On the ground, the Packers' defense fared better, giving up just 69 yards on 26 attempts (2.7 yards per attempt). They also had six more tackles for loss than the Vikings. However, the Packers' defense still gave up a total of 441 yards in the game.

Bears vs Packers Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Through their last three road contests, the Bears offense has averaged 15 points per game while allowing an average of 30. Chicago posted an overall record of 0-3 while going 1-2 ATS.
Across the Packers last ten home games, the team averaged 28 points per game while allowing 24. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 5-4-1, while going 6-4 straight-up.
The last five games that Chicago was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 0-5 straight up.
Green Bay has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games.