Buffalo Bills vs Tennessee Titans Matchup

Read on to get betting odds and analysis in our week 7 Titans vs Bills pick and preview and see who we think will win and cover in Orchard Park.

The Titans and Bills are set to kick off at 1:00 ET on Sunday, October 20th at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, NY. The Bills are the heavy favorite with a money line of -450, while the Titans' money line odds are +355. The Bills are favored by -8.5 points, and the over/under line is at 42.5 points. This week seven AFC matchup is being televised on CBS.

Titans vs. Bills Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: Tennessee Titans at Buffalo Bills
Where: Orchard Park at Highmark Stadium
Date: Sunday, October 20th
Betting Odds BUF -8.5, TEN +355 | BUF -450 O/U 42.5

Titans Preview:

Heading into week 7, the Titans sit 23rd in our NFL power rankings and have just a 7.8% chance of making the playoffs. They are 1-4 this season, including a 0-3 record at home and a 1-1 mark on the road. Their lone win came in week 4, when they defeated the Dolphins 31-12 in Miami. However, they couldn’t carry that momentum into week 6, losing 20-17 at home to the Colts.

Against the spread, Tennessee is 1-4, with an average scoring margin of -2.8 points per game. They are 0-2 ATS as favorites and 1-2 as underdogs. Their O/U record is 2-2-1, with their games averaging 41.2 points (the O/U line has been 40 on average).

Titans Offense Breakdown

Will Levis returned as the Titans' starting QB in week 6, finishing with 95 yards on 16/27 passing, including one touchdown and one interception. He had a passer rating of 63, after his 260-yard performance in week 3. DeAndre Hopkins led the team with 4 catches for 54 yards, and Tony Pollard rushed for 93 yards on 17 carries. Tennessee scored 17 points, with 7 in the first quarter, 3 in the second, and 7 in the third.

Heading into week 7, the Titans rank 27th in our offensive power rankings. They are 19th in the NFL in scoring, averaging 19.2 points per game, but rank 31st in passing yards (135 per game) and total yards (253.2 per game). On third down, they are 27th in the league, converting 29.3% of their attempts, but they are 6th in red zone conversion percentage.

Titans Team Defense

The Titans' run defense was a bright spot in their 20-17 loss to the Colts, as they held Indianapolis to just 2.9 yards per attempt on 28 carries. However, Tennessee's defense gave up 189 passing yards on 22 completions, with two of those completions resulting in touchdowns. They were unable to generate any sacks and allowed the Colts to convert 46.7% of their third down attempts.

Despite their struggles against the pass, the Titans did come up with one interception and limited the Colts to 269 total yards in the game. The Titans' offense had a tough time in this one, managing just 17 points, and the defense did not get much help as they were on the field for 31:50 of the game.

Bills Preview:

After two straight losses, the Bills got back on track with a 23-20 win over the Jets in week 6, improving their record to 4-2. Buffalo is now 2-0 at home and 2-2 on the road, and they sit atop the AFC East with a 2-0 division record. Our projections give the Bills an 86.1% chance of winning the division and a 94.7% chance of making the playoffs. They rank 5th in our NFL power rankings heading into week 7.

Buffalo has a +6.5 scoring margin this season and is 3-3 against the spread. They covered the 1-point spread in their win over the Jets but failed to cover in their previous two games. Their O/U record is also 3-3, with their games averaging 48.5 points compared to an average line of 46.2.

Bills Offense Breakdown

Josh Allen bounced back in week 6, posting a passer rating of 127 after completing 19 of 25 passes for 215 yards and 2 touchdowns against the Jets. This followed a 131-yard performance in week 5, where he completed just 9 of 30 passes. Buffalo's offense put up 13 points in the 2nd quarter against the Jets, but they were held to just 3 points in the 2nd half.

Buffalo ranks 6th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 27.5, despite being 21st in total yards. They are 28th in passing attempts and 25th in passing yards per game, while their rushing attack ranks 11th in both attempts and yards. The Bills are 22nd in the league in 3rd-down conversion percentage.

Bills Team Defense

The Bills' defense came up with three sacks and one interception in their 23-20 win over the Jets. Despite giving up 121 rushing yards on just 21 attempts, the Buffalo defense held the Jets to a 33.3% conversion rate on third down. The Jets had 393 total yards, with 272 yards coming through the air, averaging 7.8 yards per attempt.

Buffalo allowed two passing touchdowns and the Jets completed 65.7% of their passes. The Bills also had three more QB hits and tackles for loss than the Jets.

Titans vs Bills Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

Across the Titans last ten road games, the team averaged 14 points per game while allowing 22. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 3-7, while going 2-8 straight-up.
The Bills are 3-2 ATS in their last home games and 3-2 straight-up.
Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Titans have a straight up record of 3-7. But, their mark vs the spread was just 3-6-1.
In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Bills have a strong straight up record of 4-1. In addition, their ATS record was 3-2 in these scenarios.