Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets Matchup

Keep reading to see our NFL week 17 Jets vs Bills pick and preview. In this article we will outline who will come away with the win and cover the spread.

The Jets are +372 on the money line as they take on the Bills at 1:00 ET on Sunday, December 29th. Buffalo is heavily favored at -498 in this week 17 AFC East matchup. The Bills are -9.5 on the point spread, with the over/under line set at 46.5 points. You can watch this one on CBS.

Jets vs. Bills Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: New York Jets at Buffalo Bills
Where: Orchard Park at Highmark Stadium
Date: Sunday, December 29th
Betting Odds BUF -9.5, NYJ +372 | BUF -498 O/U 46.5

Jets Preview:

Heading into week 17, the Jets sit 18th in our power rankings and have no chance of making the playoffs. They are 4-11 on the season, which includes a 1-3 record in the AFC East. New York is 2-5 at home and 2-6 on the road. Against the spread, the Jets are 5-10, with a -3.5 average scoring margin.

In week 15, the Jets snapped a six-game losing streak by beating the Jaguars 32-25, but they couldn’t keep the momentum going in week 16, losing 19-9 to the Rams. They were 3-point underdogs in that game and failed to cover the spread. The combined 28 points fell short of the 47-point O/U line.

Jets Offense Breakdown

In our offensive power rankings, the Jets sit 16th in the NFL. They are 24th in points per game (19.5) and 23rd in yards per game (307.9). New York ranks 8th in passing attempts, with 35.9 per game, and they are 17th in passing yards, averaging 219.2 per game. On the ground, they are 28th in rushing attempts and 31st in rushing yards, with 88.7 per game. The Jets are 12th in the league in 3rd-down conversions and red zone attempts, converting 39.2% of their 3rd-down tries.

Aaron Rodgers threw for 256 yards (28/42) and a touchdown in week 16, with a passer rating of 90. Davante Adams led the team with 7 catches for 68 yards and a touchdown, while Breece Hall had 52 rushing yards on 14 carries. The Jets scored all 9 of their points in the first half against the Rams, failing to score in the 3rd and 4th quarters.

Jets Team Defense

In their 19-9 loss to the Rams, the Jets' defense allowed 132 rushing yards on 31 attempts, with Los Angeles gaining 4.3 yards per attempt on the ground. Despite giving up some yardage on the ground, they held the Rams to 110 yards passing and limited them to 5.8 yards per attempt through the air. The Jets' defense also forced one interception and held the Rams to a 50% conversion rate on third down.

New York's defense struggled to generate pressure, as they didn't record any sacks and had even hits on the quarterback. The Rams finished the game completing 73.7% of their passes and added one passing touchdown.

Bills Preview:

The Bills head into week 17 with a 12-3 record, including a 4-0 mark in the AFC East. They have a 100% chance of winning the division and making the playoffs. Buffalo ranks 4th in our NFL power rankings and is 7-0 at home this season.

Buffalo has won two straight games, including a 24-21 win over the Patriots in week 16. The Bills were 14-point favorites but couldn’t cover the spread. They are 9-6 ATS this season, with an average scoring margin of +9.2 points per game.

Bills Offense Breakdown

Josh Allen has been on a roll, throwing for 154 yards and one touchdown in week 16 against the Patriots, following a 362-yard performance in week 15 and a 342-yard game in week 14. James Cook rushed for 100 yards on 11 carries in week 16, and he also led the team in receiving with 26 yards. Buffalo ranks 2nd in the NFL in points per game, averaging 31.3, and they are 7th in the league in 3rd-down conversions.

Despite ranking 2nd in red zone attempts, the Bills are 31st in the NFL in red zone conversion percentage. They are 9th in passing yards per game (233) and 9th in rushing yards per game (133.5). Heading into week 17, Buffalo is 2nd in our offensive power rankings.

Bills Team Defense

Buffalo's defense came up with a key interception in their most recent game, a 24-21 win over the Patriots. Despite giving up 126 rushing yards on 30 attempts, the Bills held New England to 2-of-12 on third down and allowed just 21 points. The Patriots finished with 253 passing yards on 22 completions, averaging 7 yards per attempt through the air.

The Bills' defense recorded two sacks and came away with one interception. New England also had two passing touchdowns in the game. Buffalo's defense helped force New England to go 2-of-12 on third down.

Jets vs Bills Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

When looking at their past ten road matchups, New York has an ATS record of 4-6 while averaging 19 per game. The team went 3-7 overall in these games.
In their last ten games at home, the Bills have a straight up record of 7-3 while going 6-4 vs. the spread. The team averaged 28 points per game in this stretch.
Looking back on the team's last three games as the underdog, the Jets have a straight up record of 0-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-2.
As the betting favorite, the Bills have an ATS record of 3-2 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 4-1.