Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins Matchup

Read our Bills vs Dolphins pick and preview for this NFL pre-season week 2 game in Miami Gardens. Check out who we like to win and cover the spread in this regular season NFL matchup.

The Dolphins are favored at -127 on the money line as they host the Bills at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL. This AFC East matchup is set for Thursday, September 12th at 8:15 ET, with AMZN handling the television coverage. The Bills are +106 on the money line and +1.5 on the point spread, and the over/under line is at 48.5 points.

Bills vs. Dolphins Matchup At A Glance

Sport: NFL
Teams: Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins
Where: Miami Gardens at Hard Rock Stadium
Date: Thursday, September 12th
Betting Odds MIA -1.5, BUF +106 | MIA -127 O/U 48.5

Bills Preview:

Buffalo picked up a 34-28 win over the Cardinals, despite trailing 7-0 after the 1st quarter. The Bills led 31-20 in the 4th quarter and held on for the win. Buffalo's record is now 1-0 for the season. Favored by -6.5, the Bills didn't cover the spread. The combined 62 points went over the total line of 45.5.

Josh Allen had a big game for the Bills, throwing three touchdowns and rushing for another. He found the endzone twice each in the 3rd and 4th quarters. Tyler Bass added a 37-yard field goal for Buffalo in the 2nd quarter.

Bills Offense Breakdown

The Bills' offense put up 34 points in their 34-28 win over the Cardinals, with Josh Allen throwing for 232 yards and two touchdowns, completing 78% of his passes. Buffalo had 23 first downs and 222 yards passing. Allen also had two rushing touchdowns and ran for 39 yards.

James Cook led the team in rushing with 71 yards on 19 attempts. Keon Coleman was the top receiver with 51 yards on four catches. Buffalo's running game finished with 130 yards, and Allen was sacked twice. They converted on 33.3% of their third down attempts.

Bills Team Defense

In their 34-28 win over the Cardinals, the Bills' defense gave up 124 rushing yards on 25 attempts, allowing Arizona to average 5.0 yards per attempt on the ground. However, Buffalo was tough against the pass, giving up just 146 yards through the air. The Bills also recorded four sacks and held the Cardinals to a 67.7% completion percentage. On third downs, the Cardinals converted 53.8% of their chances.

Buffalo's defense was also able to limit big plays in the passing game, as the Cardinals' longest completion was for 22 yards. Despite giving up over 100 yards rushing, the Bills' defense was effective in slowing down Arizona's passing attack and creating pressure on the quarterback.

Dolphins Preview:

Dolphins Offense Breakdown

The Dolphins' offense put up 319 yards passing in their 20-17 win over the Jaguars, with Tua Tagovailoa going 23/37 for 338 yards and one touchdown. Miami's running game struggled, managing only 81 yards on 25 carries. They picked up 18 first downs and converted 50% of their third down chances.

Tyreek Hill had a big game, going for 130 yards receiving and catching a 80-yard touchdown pass. Tagovailoa was sacked three times but finished with a passer rating of 100.

Dolphins Team Defense

In their 20-17 win over the Jaguars, the Dolphins' defense allowed just 139 passing yards on 12 completions. Jacksonville struggled on third down, converting only 20% of their chances. Miami did give up 128 rushing yards on 26 attempts, with the Jaguars averaging 4.9 yards per attempt. The Dolphins also allowed one passing touchdown and recorded three sacks in the game.

Bills vs Dolphins Betting Odds, Trends & Analysis

When looking at their past three road matchups, Buffalo has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 21 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
Through their last ten home games, Miami has an ATS record of just 5-5. However, their overall record was 4-6 while averaging 24 points per game.
Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Bills have gone 5-5 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 5-5.
Through their last three games as the favorite, the Dolphins have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 3-0.